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Michael O'Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack: There They Go Again
In [yesterday's] New York Times Michael O'Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack make their same tired argument for permanently occupying Iraq they've been making for the last five years. There's nothing new in this piece. They might as well have run one of their old articles under a snazzier title. President Barack Obama, they argue, must show "strategic wisdom" and keep American troops in Iraq until the United States realizes "our goals of sustainable stability in Iraq." Never mind that the Bush administration didn't bother to tell us before invading Iraq that "our" objective was to spread "democracy" and "stability" there; and never mind that the war and occupation have killed 100,000 Iraqi civilians, 4,300 Americans and will probably end up costing us as much as $3 trillion, O'Hanlon and Pollack once again tell us that "we" must stay there indefinitely and throw away even more lives and treasure, even in these dire economic times.
"Young democracies are fragile entities," they write. Yet they ignore the fruits of the democracy they laud. Iraqis voted for candidates in the recent elections, in part, because they promised American troops would be out of Iraq's cities by June 30th. Now O'Hanlon and Pollack criticize even this modest goal. They talk up once again "Iraq's enormous progress" but argue (yet again) this "progress" doesn't mean U.S. soldiers can now come home. "Iraq's calendar this year is also jam-packed with other important political events," they note. But when will there be a "calendar" in such a volatile country where "important political events" won't be happening? This is a red herring that never gives the United States the "right" time to get out.
They ignore the fruits of American democracy, which in the past two election cycles registered the people's disdain for continuing the occupation of Iraq. O'Hanlon and Polllack claim to be experts on "democracy" yet they discount the election results in Iraq and in their own country because they don't fit into their pre-conceived objective, for whatever reason, of staying in Iraq indefinitely. It's the same argument they've made together for years. At least they're consistent.
They give no evidence that "new democracies" behave in the predictable and formulaic ways they claim for Iraq. They never point to an example in the real world of a "new democracy" behaving in their pre-programmed way to prove their thesis. More often than not "new democracies" express through popular will strong nationalistic tendencies that run counter to the kind of open-ended foreign occupation O'Hanlon and Pollack are advocating for Iraq. In fact, if the recent Iraqi elections proved anything it is that the Iraqi people want their nation back. They do not want the occupation to continue and demanded through their elected officials a date certain for an American troop withdrawal.
O'Hanlon and Pollack warn President Obama of the "serious risk" of any timetable for American soldiers to come home even though both the Iraqis and the Americans have voted for this outcome in recent elections. And of course they love the idea of a "residual force" staying in Iraq indefinitely, which is consistent with what they've been saying for years; they offer high praise for President Obama on this score.
"We have no choice but to see Iraq through to stability," they write, but they never define "stability." Does "stability" mean that Iraq will have about the same level of violence as Mexico or Columbia? Or is "stability" turning Iraq into Peoria, Illinois?
At another point in the article O'Hanlon and Pollack even resort to using "Friedman Units." The United States, they write, "faces one last crucially intense period in the coming 12 to 18 months." Where have we heard that before?
They emphasize Iraq's "strategic significance" and its "enormous regional significance" but these concerns fly in the face of their pronouncements about altruistically spreading "democracy" as their motivation. In fact, the opposite could be true: The endless occupation could make it more likely that nationalist sentiment will be fueled to the point of throwing out the occupiers on worst terms than if we withdrew responsibly on our own. O'Hanlon and Pollack's prescriptions for staying in Iraq could lead to a nationalist backlash that undermines their stated "strategic" goals for the region.
The most disingenuous part of the article is where O'Hanlon and Pollack write: "It is worth remembering that our current economic disaster started with a great rise of oil prices from 2004 to 2007, which then helped set off the mortgage and credit meltdowns." Here they are using economic scare tactics to drive home their point of continuing the occupation that are not only poppycock but distasteful given that so many Americans are scared and suffering from the current crisis. "Pull out of Iraq and expect to see $4 gas again!" I suggest O'Hanlon and Pollack review the record-breaking windfall profits of the oil conglomerates in exactly that period they mention. This type of fear mongering is disgraceful, especially coming from two supposedly "apolitical" policy wonks. So fellas, is it about "democracy" or is it about oil?
Their conclusion once again reflects their neo-colonial mindset: "[W]e should not baby-sit Iraq through all of its problems as a young democracy." Viewing the Iraqis as "children" who need to be "baby-sat" was one of the favorite throwaway lines of Paul Wolfowitz and Donald Rumsfeld. It must sound a bit strange to Iraqi ears coming from people whose nation was formed in 1787 while Iraqi politics go back to the beginning of recorded history.
As O'Hanlon and Pollack make the rounds talking up their tired old ideas on the PBS/NPR latte and arugula circuit, the hosts of these shows should at least remind their viewers and listeners that they made the same basic argument for occupying Iraq in 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008.
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8 Comments so far
Show AllThis pair of bunco artists reminds me of the Duke and the Dauphin from "Huckleberry Finn".
· Yr Obd't Servant
racom40
Here we go again, another thoughtless, brainless opinion piece from 'dumb and dumber', they are like a pair of sycophants that can't seem to get their foot in the door of the neo-conservative animal house. Very similar to WP wills, NYT kristol, failed and refailed wolfowitz, worlds stupidest f**king person feith and a host of others, can't leave out WP krauthammer. How do they keep getting the space to post this crap?
Yet you will continue to see Pollack — who has never been right about one goddamn thing — trotted out on all the news shows as an "expert" on the Middle East, terrorism, Islam and Arabs.
Gee, I wonder why?
I have questioned the qualifications and conclusions of frick and frack since day one. The statistics they blithely serve up as fact seem to have no basis in reality, and their "ideas" are worse. Like Kristol, these two have been wrong about everything they've said in the last 7 years - why to we continue to hear from them?
Bring America Back !!!! Repetitive as it is, the two authors are very correct that the soaring gas pump prices of unregulated , corrupt Big Oil , started this Depression and ruined the US Economy.
****That is why--to stabilize, to prevent, and to control our future destiny, the Big Oil companies must once again be Federally Regulated and the prices fixed--regardless of the OPEC fat cats. When we control our own economy, the
Arab oil producers will fall into line.
**Absolutely none of those oil producing states could stand on their own two legs had it not been for decades of US economic and military assistance. We would sell them a shiny new jet plane once in a while, just to make them feel good that they had something inside their tunics besides crude.
Congress needs to get back to Re:Regulating oil prices and production in USA!
Never again gas above $2 per gallon==we deserve it, and it is our future.
Isn't Pollack good shark chum? Don't know about O'Hanlon - but chop him up and throw him in, too. Along with the NY Times editors, and the Post's, and CBS's, Fox's, NBC's....they're all traitors who don't deserve the funds wasted on trying them for their treasonous support of American fascism and imperialism. As far as I'm concerned, the fascist facilitators in the elite press are right up there with the worst Nazi propagandists and American-Zionist neoconservatives (who deserve a special hell on earth before they expire), and they have no right to continue to disseminate the words that justify the occupations of sovereign nations and the deaths of innocent civilians.
Bring America Back !!!!...You Go, sand flea ! I forgot to add to my post that every penny of the Big Oil Windfall Profits Billions $$$$ should be marshalled and commandeered by IRS to replenish our US Treasury for at least some of the Bailouts which runaway oil prices have caused !!!!!!!!
Yes, I believe Pollack is used as a substitute for shellfish in some recipes; hence, the colloquial term "poor man's crab".
· Yr Obd't Servant