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Only Rats Get Fat as Misdirected Bailout and Stimulus Funds go Down the Rat Hole
Congress should do now what it should have done back in the fall: kill the Wall Street bailout program.
After wasting $350 billion on a program that was misrepresented from the outset, and investing hundreds of billions of dollars in failing financial institutions that it could have bought outright for less than it was investing in them (AIG was worth only a few billion dollars in total at the time that the government bailed the company out with an initial investment of $85 billion and Citicorp today is worth less than the $45 billion the government has invested in that failing firm), the Treasury Department, now acting at the direction not of the Bush administration and outgoing Treasurer Hank Paulson, but the Obama administration, is asking for the other half of the Troubled Assets Relief Fund (TARP).
Aside from the corrupt aspect of this $700-billion boondoggle-the handing over of borrowed taxpayer money to the very bankers and investors who created the mess we're in today-the whole TARP program is premised on a false assumption: namely that the US economy's problem is a freeze in bank lending.
This is simply untrue.
Three economists at the Minneapolis Fed, in an article published on the Minneapolis Federal Reserve's website, show using the Fed's own data that at the very point in September that Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke were warning Congressional leaders in a secret session that the bank lending had entirely seized up and that US was "days away" from a meltdown that would lead to riots in the streets and the possible need to impose martial law, in fact interbank lending was at record levels, and that commercial lending was also flowing normally. True, long-term bond interest rates were unusually (though not unprecedentedly) high, but then, that's what you would expect when the treasury is borrowing enormous sums and lowering interest rates, and thus raising inflation expectations long term.
The real point of the damning report by the Minneapolis Fed's plucky trio of economists, is that banks aren't lending not because they don't have enough capital, but because for the first time in a decade, bankers are being prudent the way banks are supposed to be. They are looking at companies seeking loans and saying, "show me your balance sheet and your order book." Companies that are in trouble financially, or that are seeing their sales plummet are being rightly turned away, but companies with solid balance sheets and sales are able to borrow what they need.
The other point is that contrary to the claims being made by both Bush and Obama economic teams about the allegedly urgent importance of the keeping credit flowing so that, as Paulson put it, companies will be able to meet payroll and so that they won't start laying off employees, what is needed is not looser or cheaper credit but programs to protect the incomes of millions of workers who are losing their jobs. (Unemployment, officially now at 7.2 percent, would actually be closer to 17 percent using the more honest methodology in use prior to 1980, before the Reagan administration altered it to hide the impact of the recession of the early '80s.)
The record shows that even as the government has blown $350 billion on a Wall Street bailout, unemployment has soared, housing price declines have accelerated, and retail sales have continued on a six-month death march into the ground. While administration touts are claiming that if there had been no bailout, things would be worse, there is no evidence to support this claim. Things are terrible as it is-in fact the economic collapse is being called the worst since the onset of the Great Depression of the 1930s. How the hell much worse could it have been?
Which brings us back to the current Obama administration demand for the other $350 billion in TARP funds.
It seems clear that what the country is facing is not a unique credit freeze, but rather a classic recession (or depression), in which spiraling industry layoffs of workers is leading to a collapse in spending, which in turn leads to a further slowdown in business and more layoffs. Because the social safety net in America has been systematically shredded, with unemployment benefits only covering a minority of laid-off workers, and then only for a short period and at only a small fraction of their prior wages, the rise in unemployment is crippling the economy. Being laid off in America is an unmitigated disaster: no health care, no income, and a nightmare struggle even to obtain food stamps. (People with homes and savings can be screwed out of assistance because they have too many assets, for example.)
Nor is the other Obama rescue measure-the proposed $800-billion so-called "stimulus" package--adequately addressing the problem. Focusing on tax breaks (especially tax breaks for business) and on large infrastructure projects, is once again wasting precious stimulus resources. In the case of tax cuts, studies have repeatedly shown that business tax cuts do nothing to stimulate business activity but rather just enrich managers and shareholders, while tax cuts to consumers do not even return a dollar-for-dollar stimulus. Meanwhile, investing in infrastructure projects only provides incomes to relatively skilled heavy equipment operators these days, not to the broad masses of people who need help. Moreover, because the pool of workers trained to work on such projects is limited, all boosting that spending does is push up wages in that sector. (Besides, the last thing America needs is more and better roads; it needs a wholly revitalized and expanded mass transit system, inter- and intra-city, and that's getting short shrift in this proposal.)
A stimulus package that works would expand welfare and food stamp benefits for the chronically unemployed, would boost funding for education-K through college--would provide grants to states and local governments to compensate for declining tax bases, with stipulations that the money be used to hire more teachers, more teachers' aides, more librarians, more trash collectors, etc., not just lower taxes. It would expand unemployment insurance coverage to all workers and extend those payments for the duration of the recession while raising the payments to provide a real subsistence wage. It would fund government run programs to hire the unemployed, creating jobs that meet the skill-set of the unemployed. The excellent CETA program, part of the grotesquely maligned War on Poverty of the late 1960s, would be a good model for this.
Meanwhile, of course, since we're talking about big bucks here, the new administration should be looking to the future and figuring out how to get the budget deficit back in check. And there, a first target has to be the military, now chewing through well over $1 trillion a year, most of it wasted and wrongheaded. For starters, the war in Iraq should be ended. Period. Ditto for Afghanistan-a doomed venture. Then too, the 800 overseas military bases should be closed down, along with the nation's nuclear missile and bomb program (okay, as long as China, Russia, France, the UK, Israel, India, Pakistan and a few other countries have the bomb, we could keep a few nukes for negotiating purposes, pending a global nuclear disarmament agreement, which should be a top priority). The truth is, the US military budget could be cut in half or even more, without anyone really noticing. The US would be the stronger for it, not weaker or more vulnerable. Even at half strength, no potential enemy would want to threaten the US. (In fact, arguably, a US that had pulled back from its current global stance would be far more formidable an opponent if directly threatened.)
We are facing a grave economic crisis, but the boneheads in the Bush and Obama economic teams are either clueless, or are too busy protecting their friends on Wall Street (or in New York Fed Chief and Treasury Secretary nominee Timothy Geithner's case, too busy figuring out ways to cheat on his taxes), to either know or care.
Only mass public action will set this right. Hopefully, the public is getting scared enough now to pry their eyes away from the tube and start demanding that it be done, before another trillion dollars is thrown down a rat hole.
- Posted in


25 Comments so far
Show AllSioux Rose
DAVE: PLEASE keep pushing for budget cuts to the military! It is the cancer that brings death instead of life. IF some of the reserve troops were retained not to fight the next (probably already planned) wars, but rather to sponsor job training in the nation's inner city ghettos, then all that manpower could be put to constructive use.
I'll bet companies like Nike and Pepsi would pitch money into these projects with the compensation they'd get a logo painted on the side of a corner brownstone in the neighborhood their funding helped to regenerate. As places improve, people show more pride towards them. Vacant areas can be turned into community gardens, and basketball courts lit at night to induce teenagers to plan ball rather than get hooked on gangs and the criminal activities these breed out of boredom and despair.
The nation has uncultivated GOOD resources, it's the matter of priorities and the leadership to direct the manpower and funding towards that which would truly rejuvenate the infrastructure and morale of this nation. Bullying 3rd world countries to steal their resources can only lead to malice and corruption at home. What goes around comes back around, and it's time to clean the slate and clean house domestically beginning with those regions that cry out for such remedial attention.
Sioux Rose
Though we disagree on the military, there is no doubt we'd have a problem without the best we can get, I'm fully with you on cuts to the military budget. We spend far to much on things, bases, equipment and contracts we do not need.
I beleieve we could strip one third out tomorrow and have a better military and one less likely to be used wrongly.
No troops in our cities for anything except emergencies though.
Nice idea. If that happens, I'll stop bashing income taxes and quit supporting national sales tax as I don't trust government to handle our money that we already feed them in the form of taxes.
Thomas More: "the devil is in the details":last sentence of yours. They've already fiddled with "emergency" definition. The posse comitatus (sic) act that was put in place during/after Reconstruction to get troops out of the South after the Civil War has been wrecked. I don't want troops in cities at all. National Guard for emergencies like used to be....
NYCartist
"I don't want troops in cities at all. National Guard for emergencies like used to be...."
I totally agree!
Just recently for the first time a North American Command was established. Welcome to Palestine!
The North American Command is a consolidation of a number of other ongoing seperate forces under a unified command structure. Its nothing new at all. Other than its a unified command, which is a good thing.
Don't mistake it for anything else. I've heard suggestions about armed troops, active military units, all sorts of things inside the US...where exactly did folks think our military was stationed for the most part?
They are responsible for the defense of the US and our surrounding area..
Thank you Sioux Rose. Beautiful post. I nominate you for the Department of Peace!
Sioux Rose
WINNING T: I accept the post! (LOL) Especially if it includes a fund to support children's literature with more globally unifying themes the emphasis.
Got my vote. Anyone that wants kids to read a book ought to be running something!
Capitalism is so screwed up and poisonous in this country that the Fat Rats now chase the Fat Cats and eat them alive.
Mordechai Shiblikov:Nice. But Lindorff has some good points, although the CETA was too limited and I think education should be free (City colleges of NYC were free during the Great Depression, although women were kept out mostly)from pre-K through graduate school, as high as you can/want to go.
The military is a lousy way to do civic projects. The whole notion of a military heirarchy, with ranks, and discipline, is fundamentally anti-democratic. It's why the Founders feared a standing army, and why we have a Posse Comitatus Act barring the basing of active military in the US (currently being violated!).
If we want public works projects, then we should reconstitute the civilian jobs corps of the Depression era. Civilians don't have to obey orders, they have free speech rights, and they can quit if they want. That's what is needed to protect against abuses, and in any case, there is simply no need to militarize work. It's bad enough that ordinary workers in the private sector don't have the bill of rights.
Visit Dave Lindorff's website at www.thiscantbehappening.net
"The military is a lousy way to do civic projects. The whole notion of a military heirarchy, with ranks, and discipline, is fundamentally anti-democratic."
Absolutely true. And no military can be a democracy or it ceases to be a viable force.
Sioux Rose
DAVE Lindorff: Feel free to use my analogy, "Mars rules." Tom Engelhardt terms it "force first," but in either case it refers to an ethos where the military and its top-down authoritarian structure dictates all orders, no questions asked or allowed. When Mars rules, it's his way or the high way, and his way tends to seek reasons FOR conflict.
Let me say from personal experience that "no questions asked or allowed" isn't true. Not quite the automoton's protrayed.
The training is actually force last.
What a surprise: the bailout money given with no accountability went down the drain (or rather the rat-hole}. Congress couldn't be so stupid, even though I don't suppose there are many capable in that institution fit to do anything but feather their own nests. No, congress is corrupt, the neo-con presidency is beyond corrupt, and it was a case of fat cats giving the fat rats all the cheese they could gobble up. Now the obscenely rich are even richer, the poor are still desperate, and the middle class is still disappearing. Now the bail out package will run into the trillions of tax dollars. Obama had BETTER do better. Even lazy American sheep will put up with only so much fleecing.
The current economic/political system is doomed, regardless of whether Obama has good intentions or not. What will replace it will be some form of fascism (likely) or socialism (unlikely). It was always a crock that liberal corporate capitalism was in any way "ideal," when the economy mainly consists of large impersonal organizations that treat management like royalty and workers like slaves, and the political system is mostly a dishonest fraud with the "representatives" picked by the corporations. The corporate "democracy" was just what our society evolved into as a result of arbitrary but real historical pressures and certain technological advances, as well as a good dose of happenstance. There was never any guarantee that it would continue for any period of years. It is looking more and more likely that the end is near, and there is no good reason to doubt that.
Someone is going to have to "seize the moment" ...
Considering that our 'democracy' was built on the back of slavery and the displacement of the original inhabitants, it should be no surprise that the end is near. In the overall scheme of things, and from the perspective of history, that is a good thing though it might be unpleasant for those who have reaped the benefit of this slavery and land grabbing greed. Hoping that a president who has the blood of Africans (not slaves) can change the inevitable is not realistic. If the United States had kept it's promise to the freed slaves, if it had not pushed Native Americans off the land promised to them and made them relocate with a march than killed a third of them, then we might, just might have a glimmer of hope. There is no hope for a country that produces leaders like Andrew Jackson and George W. Bush.
Quoting Dave "They (banks) are looking at companies seeking loans and saying, "show me your balance sheet and your order book." Companies that are in trouble financially, or that are seeing their sales plummet are being rightly turned away, but companies with solid balance sheets and sales are able to borrow what they need."
This is a classic trick of the banksters, if you don’t need a loan the banksters are more than willing to pony up the bucks, if, on the other hand, you do need a loan the banksters won’t give you one thin dime. This allows those who’ve already got more than their piece of the pie (aka the banksters) to buy up the assets of those feeling the pinch of the downturn for pennies on the dollar.
Secondly there are several sectors of the economy that are in a world of hurt, not just the financial industry. Real Estate prices are in free fall and there is no sign that they are slowing down. Profit margins in much of agriculture are nonexistent, the labor market is nonexistent, all industries that depend on discretionary spending are shot to hell, and retail is going to see a crash when the impact of reduced Holliday consumer spending is felt.
I went to the local small town Radio Shack to get a digital converter for my mom’s TV a few days ago and the owner of the franchise said that were it not for the TV converters his sales for 2008 would have been down 40%, they were out of converters so he placed my name on a waiting list. This tells me several things, a lot of folks haven’t bought a new TV for almost a decade, a lot of folks have canceled cable, network TV is going to be the main source of information for way too many people, the electronic gizmos radio shack sells aren’t selling and rural and small town America is falling even farther behind the technological state of the art.
Quoting Dave again, "Only mass public action will set this right. Hopefully, the public is getting scared enough now to pry their eyes away from the tube and start demanding that it be done, before another trillion dollars is thrown down a rat hole."
The thing about people who haven't got a job is that they have the time to turn out to protest. What else they haven't got is a way to get to the protest, a way to get back from the protest, and instead of cutting up a cardboard box to make a picket sign they view cardboard as an alternative to housing. Anyone attempting to organize a large protest should also provide a framework for cooperative transportation so those without a ride can get one.
The stage is set to organize some truly massive protests but instead of targeting politicians it’s long past time to target the MSM. Let’s face it, over half the cars passing a “Honk if you think Limbaugh is a Jackass” are going to give you a good long blast of the horn. Given that a huge chunk of the blame for the current dire situation is owed to the MSM now is the time to attempt to slap some sense into them, at least to the point where they pretend that they aren’t just the mouthpiece of corporate America. Every radio market in Indiana features a station that broadcasts the Rush Limbaugh show BUT THERE IS NOT A SINGLE COMMERCIAL STATION THAT CARRIES AIR AMERICA. We have a great opportunity to debunk the “Liberal Media BS.
Sioux
THOMAS: I do like your spunk! How about we agree to a 2/3rd reduction, and then we can both celebrate by finding uncommon common ground?
Siouxrose
You too of course. I think we could accomplish it on 50 to 60% as a matter of fact. And if we could persuade some of the countries where we have bases to let us close them, I'd say 50% easily.
Deal?
Sioux Rose
DEAL... now we JUST have to "sell" it to Obama and the MIC!
So, Obama bails out fraudsters in high finance. Is it surprise? Wasn't it high finance that provided the bulk of his campaign funding?
I hope those who stumped for Obama before the election will now do the right thing and become in-your-face protesters against his policies.
Can we count on you, Dave Lindorff?
-TIA
banks aren't lending not because they don't have enough capital, but because for the first time in a decade, bankers are being prudent the way banks are supposed to be.
i can speak to this... i "had" to buy a car in november - mine was totalled in an accident 10/30... 10/31... i went to my credit union... do not do business with commercial banks... told them i want to borrow "up-to" $10K for a used vehicle... will put "up-to" $1-3K down... have 816 combined fico... and zero outstanding revolving credit... have mortgage... and job...
the following week i was approved... at A rates.
i also have made it a point to not run up revolving credit... save a few bucks... and live within my means...
sure... i understand some out there have to go to credit cards... lost their jobs...
but the one of this article is true... this thing won't shape up until the "drunkin sailor spending orgy" of the past 5-10-15-20 yrs gets back down to earth...