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2009 Brings Hard Choices Over the Future of Capitalism
Either a large part of humankind has to be excluded from the happy benefits of growth or our way of life has to change
Happy new year? You must be joking. 2009 will begin with a wail, and then get worse. Millions of people have already been put out of work, across the world, by this first truly globalized crisis of capitalism. Tens of millions more will be made jobless soon. Those of us lucky enough still to have work will feel poorer and less secure. To celebrate his Nobel prize in economics, Paul Krugman promises us months of "economic hell". Thank you, Paul, and a happy new year to you too.
Economic troubles will exacerbate political tensions. But rumours of the death of capitalism have been exaggerated. I don't think 2009 will be to capitalism what 1989 was to communism. Maybe on 1 January 2010 I'll have to eat these words. Prediction is a mug's game. (In the Economist's predictive almanac, The World in 2009, the editor has a brave and amusing little column titled "About 2008: Sorry".) But as this year begins I don't see any serious systemic competitor on the horizon - in the way there appeared to be in the days of Soviet communism before 1989. The Hugo Chávez model of socialism depends on capitalists buying his oil, and if you fancy the North Korean model you need to see a doctor.
Something will be very wrong, however, if the assumptions of the kind of free-market capitalism - sometimes called "neoliberal" - that has appeared triumphant since 1989 are not re-examined in this 20th anniversary year. First there's the balance between state and market, public and private, the visible and invisible hand. Even before last September's meltdown, Barack Obama was trying to nudge his compatriots towards the idea that government is not always a dirty word. Subsequent months have seen a dramatic shift towards a larger role for the state, usually in spasms of desperate governmental improvisation, sometimes (as in Gordon Brown's London) ideologically legitimated as Keynesianism, sometimes (as in George Bush's Washington) just plain, unvarnished Desperationism.
How much of that shift is temporary and how much will endure is something we won't know by the end of this year. While most of the movement is towards strengthening the visible hand of government, it may not all go that way. A leading Chinese economic reformer recently argued to me that the Asian financial crisis of a decade ago had catalysed more market-oriented reform of the Chinese economy, and this one would do the same.
If he is right, one could even imagine a kind of global convergence on some version of a European-style social market economy, with the US and China approaching from different ends. But it's important to stress the words "some version". Even within Europe, there are large variations in the mix of state and market, and in the way that mix is organized. What works for one small northern country may not work for a large southern one. There's no universal formula. What matters is what works for you.
A second rethink for 2009 concerns what is needed for sustainable, green, low-carbon growth, to avert the tipping-point in global warming. At issue is how much and what kind of growth. Again, Obama is trying to discover the chance of this crisis, orienting part of his Keynesian fiscal stimulus towards investment in alternative energy. Yet on balance, this seems likely to be a bad year for the fight against global warming.
Moving towards a sustainable, low-carbon economy requires both companies and governments to pay short-term costs for long-term benefits. When they have their backs to the wall they usually do the opposite. Probably the best we can hope for is that they will avoid the beggar-my-neighbor economic nationalism of the 1930s. To get them beyond that will require a deeper shift in the expectations of voters and shareholders. So long as we, the people, are guided in our personal financial and political choices by the lodestar of short- to medium-term economic gain, we shouldn't blame our leaders for trying to give us what we ask for.
So a third essential prise de conscience involves looking again at our personal lodestars. How much more in money and things do we need? Is enough as good as a feast? Could we manage with less? What really matters to you? What contributes most to your individual happiness?
Believe it or not, there's now a whole academic subfield of happiness studies. The economist Richard Layard has written an interesting book, Happiness: Lessons from a New Science. Is this what Freidrich Nietzsche meant by "the gay science"? A Dutch scholar, Ruut Veenhoven, has created a World Database of Happiness, including national rankings. Its results were reported on a Canadian website under the headline "Canada beats US in global happiness index" - beating the United States being itself a clear material contribution to Canadian happiness. A rival ranking and "world map of happiness" has emerged from Leicester University. Denmark scores top in both of them. There's even a Journal of Happiness Studies. Whatever you think of the substantive value of this stuff - sorry, science - you can spend a happy hour surfing it on the web, and wondering how much of it has been invented.
Seriously, though, some of the choices do come back to individual middle-class citizens of richer countries. It must be obvious that the planet cannot sustain 6.7 billion people living as does today's middle class in North America and western Europe - let alone the projected 9 billion world population in mid-century. Either a large part of humankind has to be excluded from the benefits of prosperity or our way of life has to change.
The mantra with which most political and business leaders enter 2009 is "back to economic growth, whatever it costs". Like the crew of a sailing boat in a storm, they just want to keep it afloat and moving through the waves in some direction - never mind which. But even as we weather the worst of the storm, which has not hit us yet, we should be taking a hard look at the course we are steering. That requires leadership of a high order, but also citizens demanding such leadership. Would I personally be happy making the changes in my way of life that would be necessary? Almost certainly not. But I'd at least like to know what they would be.

39 Comments so far
Show All.It would seem that Capitalism has avoided much of a taint in the face of the excesses and greedy theft that has brought the worlds economy to the brink. I myself am convinced that what we see is the natural evolution of the capitalist system, yet my views are certainly a minority . Most, hopefully, will be willing to concede that the restoration of regulatory mandates to our government is a necessity if we hope to avoid such as this in the future.
The real damage will not be done to the wealthiest among us, it never is, but to the social programs that benefit those who need our help the most. As Capitalism is viewed as the only way of doing business, every effort will be made to ensure the survival of those most responsible for this economic collapse, and at the expense of education, welfare, infrastructure, social programs, new and clean energy technologies, etc.
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We see things, not as they are, but as we are.
Anais Nin
I like this one as much, if not more: "The world shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." Anais Nin
Capitalism will certainly eventually end up on the trash heap of civilization. It's a matter of when, not if. The longer it takes, the more painful it will be.
Mr. Ashe refers to the study of "Happiness" as a new thing, but he is mistaken. Studies regarding such things as the marginal utility of money, various measures of measuring "production," and on the real nature of "consumption" have been around since at least the 60s. See EF Schumaker. British retail economics alsu utilizes these concepts. These ideas are challenging to the standard tenants of continual-growth-is-neccessary econmics. In fact these contrarian viewpoints, if taken seriously, would lead us to believe that the basic principals of classical economics may be wrong. Obviously supply and demand and other functional concepts are valid, but the motivational concepts may not be sound. Human society has been around a lot longer than economics, in fact the field is very recent. Unfortunately, economists and economic theorists have become so full of themselves that they are blind to what went before investment banks and corporate structure of enterprises. The old three factors of production still matter. And production of goods that are useful to human beings is what it is still all about. Over the long haul, you can't outrun compound interest. It is time for a very back to basics re-think.
Let's see, the poorest 90% can become much poorer, or the richest 1% can admit they were wrong about capitalism and come down off their perch---gee, I wonder which the ruling class will choose.
My wife, children, and I have been used to living in poverty status for the past decade and we've been doing our darndest to avoid the dangers of capitalism. Half the country is already in worse than Great Depression mode.
Terrance Mitchell
Redfield, South Dakota
that is so sad to hear..Terrance. There are so many americans who are individually just as HUMANE and decent as ANY in the world..but are swallowed up by this EVIl, EVIL system.
and today - another of perhaps the "better" americans has died,...senator Claiborne Pell -- who spearheaded the Pell Grants for college who couldn't afford college otherwise...which was critical but still just a TINY fraction of DECENCY in America's grand "Capitalism"..
"The strength of the United States is not the gold at Fort Knox or the weapons of mass destruction that we have, but the sum total of the education and the character of our people," he once said.
Truly -- as capitalism shows -- where america is the leading proponent...a nation that places MONEY over people will rue the day it EVER began that project. and its own people will suffer just as those their system had caused great suffering to others.
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Ex-Sen. Claiborne Pell, sponsor of student grants, dies
* Story Highlights
* Claiborne Pell was largely responsible for Pell grant program for college students
* Pell, 90, died Thursday at his Rhode Island home, his family says
* Pell was U.S. senator from Rhode Island from 1961 to 1997
* He had Parkinson's disease for a number of years
* Next Article in Politics »
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(CNN) -- Former U.S. Sen. Claiborne Pell, who was largely responsible for the Pell grant program for U.S. college students, died Thursday morning at his Rhode Island home, his family said.
Then-Sen. Claiborne Pell meets with Cuban leader Fidel Castro in 1988.
Then-Sen. Claiborne Pell meets with Cuban leader Fidel Castro in 1988.
Pell, 90, "died peacefully in the presence of his wife Nuala and family members" in Newport, the family statement said. He had Parkinson's disease for a number of years.
Pell was first elected to the U.S. Senate from Rhode Island in 1960, and served from January 3, 1961, to January 3, 1997, when he retired.
He was the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee from 1987 to 1994, and was named U.S. delegate to the United Nations in 1997.
"Claiborne Pell was a man of extraordinary integrity, grace and decency," said Vice President-elect Joe Biden, who served with Pell in the Senate and who chaired the Foreign Relations Committee from 2001 to 2003 and for the past two years.
"Chairman Pell was a mentor to me and one of our nation's most important voices in foreign policy for over 30 years."
But Pell's great passion lay in education and the arts and humanities, believing that the country's people were its greatest asset. Largely through his efforts, Congress created the Pell grants, which are need-based awards to low-income undergraduate and certain other students, in 1973.
He also was the main sponsor of the bill creating the National Endowment for the Arts and the National Endowment for the Humanities.
"The strength of the United States is not the gold at Fort Knox or the weapons of mass destruction that we have, but the sum total of the education and the character of our people," he once said.
Describing his job as a senator, Pell said his work was to "translate ideas into actions and help people."
"Public service was stamped in Claiborne Pell's DNA," said Sen. John Kerry, D-Massachusetts. "He was a quiet giant and a gentleman to the core, a dignified man who always did what he thought was right. Claiborne Pell will be recorded in history as a leader whose moral compass pointed him to do great things."
After Pell's retirement from the Senate, Rhode Island renamed its Newport Bridge the Claiborne Pell Bridge, and Salve Regina University established the Pell Center of International Relations and Public Policy in Newport.
Born in New York City, Pell graduated from Princeton in 1940 and Columbia University in 1946, serving in the U.S. Coast Guard in between and later in the Coast Guard Reserve. Pell also worked for the State Department and as a foreign service officer from 1945 to 1952 in Czechoslovakia, Italy and Washington.
Pell is survived by his wife of 64 years, Nuala O'Donnell Pell; a son, Christopher T.H. Pell; a daughter, Dallas Pell; five grandchildren and five great-grandchildren.
Sad to hear it, Pell grants definitely helped me out a lot.
in some way - i hope that your family will find 2009 better than the years before...along with others. we can only hope and wish each other the best.
We don't trust any year to be better than the last just like that. We just look ahead day after day and try not to look back.
Terrance Mitchell
Redfield, South Dakota
Capitalism has become a truly sick and broken system. There's no reason anyone should have so much when so many have nothing.
Check out http://warongreed.org/ for videos and more...
Especially "Henry Kravis and his homes"
or at youtube.com
"Henry Kravis makes $51,369 PER HOUR. You pay more taxes."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8RsFwsODzE
He didn't make it all by himself without help from others.
He just happened to be the biggest hog at the trough.
and while the adherents and promoters of this EVIL system go about worrying on their "dividends" -- children thousands and millions of them elsewhere are left to fend for themselves as a result of western imperialist interferences for geogstrategic Capitalism exploitation.
if americans could see what the policies of imperial interference the USA has done for decades and its consequences to the lives of people that americans don't even know of, until their leaders and media and corporations and politicians find a "new front for the war" -- since it is a WAR state and WAR economy -- they would be so shamed at any complaints they make ...
in afghanistan there are at least 60,000 children fending of for themselves or being the main family earner - this, a result of decades of US interferences INCLUDING the CIA using afghanistan as a "front of war" to encircle Russia -- in a neighborhood the USA has NO business of poking its imperial nose in (which obama wants to "surge") .
have people no shame at all? does the US "OUR BIG BOSS-- OUR SUPERNATIONALISTIC CAPITALISM" (General Smedley Butler) --
possess ANY shame at all? when one reads about things like this - it is heartbreaking to know that one is also too poor to do much for other people and that so many great forces for EVIL are at work that cause such untold , unnecessary suffering .
i wish i could afford that 20 dollars a month to sponsor some child ..but hopefully a 20 dollar "new year" donation will help a little bit and buy them some crayons or something and give them a few moments of just being children rather than the victims of imperial and interference policies wars such as these by the USA.
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As a result of over 25 years of war and conflict, there are an estimated 60,000 working street children in Kabul. These children are girls and boys between the ages of five and sixteen years old. They make a bare livelihood, working and scavenging on the streets.
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thank you for the post and links, gerix.
This video should not be watched by people with high blood pressure.
Joe
Crapitalism is as crapitalism does.
Whatever new system is devised has to contend with 'human nature'. However, the answers are simpler than you think. True democracy and true capitalism should do the trick - at least in the interim, until we figure out some better way to organize society.
True democracy would allow us to question EVERY decision made 'on our behalf', replace suspect institutions such as the Fed with something more legit, devise a monetary system that actually works for the majority of the people, put in place a more equitable tax system, and prevent running up an out-of-control national debt 'in our name'. True democracy would, as a byproduct, actually make us more secure and at a substantially lower defense budget.
True capitalism would shift the costs of 'defending' our oil supplies on to the oil companies - so we would actually pay way more for gas - automatically triggering better alternatives, including a revival of public transportation. The so-called 'free trade' would be replaced simply by trade - to import what we don't produce or grow at home, to be paid for strictly by what we produce as a surplus.
Of course, there will still be winners and losers - but there will be fewer suckers for propaganda.
And, if true democracy and true capitalism were actually to spread worldwide, there will be less exploitation of other nations and less destruction of nature - so people everywhere would actually have to get off their behinds and do their job. Of course, there will be lots of job losses - especially jobs that produce nothing; a lot of 'experts', 'entertainers' and 'media professionals' may have to find other jobs - but that's a small 'price' to pay.
What's preventing this from happening? Simple - a lack of understanding of what democracy means, and what it can do. And a lack of understanding of how the so-called capitalism actually works today, lacking elementary knowledge of economics, money supply and such.
And this doesn't even require any idealism! Imagine the changes that can happen when enough idealism and concepts such as fairness and equity catch on as well!
Educate yourself, think for yourself, and never underestimate the power of the individual or the minority to bring about changes!
Highintel: Can we do better?
"Either a large part of humankind has to be excluded from the benefits of prosperity or our way of life has to change."
----
I vote for way of life has to change, but again, as I'm fond of saying, there's a fallacy in this assumption that ALL people must live in one global monoculture. THIS is what is getting us into trouble right now. We need to live in smaller community with more local "economies". No more crap made in China. In fact, no more crap not made in your home country at all.
Nature has a way of eliminating efficiency.
A mass extinction may be on the way.
Nature has a way of elininating inefficiency. The USA is on the way!
Capitalism??? Happiness??? What can possibly equate one with the other??? Really, as a society and culture, we ought to have learned better by now. The fact that we have not says, well...... Stupid, dumb Americans??? Maybe so. There's still time.
I love the way you put it in questions? hehe.
Capitalism = Happiness? ....BAH , HUMBUG!!!
for me -
Capitalism = Temporary, unsatiated Happiness for the few........Increasing, Unending Misery for the Many.
It is interesting that Timothy chose to reference a Chinese economist that discussed how the Asian financial crisis lead to a more "market-oriented" reform of the economy. For those of you who have not had the chance, you may be interested in reading The Shock Doctrine by Naomi Klein... I have not yet finished the whole book, but it is about how neoliberal policies are often precipitated an economic crisis that creates an environment in which harsh "free market" reforms are able to be forced upon a people who would normally be resistant to such policy, and the role that the Chicago School economists have played throughout the globe in creating, supporting, and accelerating these crises in order to push through radical capitalism... we need to consider just what creates these "crises", for they may hardly be natural...
Unfortunately, discourse surrounding whether "pure" capitalism, or the role the market forces should play in our society, is often distorted by inaccurate reporting and dialogue, and our lexicon itself has led us to irrationally support processes that harm the greater number of us - for those who have not yet considered alternatives, such as the role that a truly representative government could play in ensuring that the market does not leave so many of us behind, may be only considering the information presented by the mainstream media or traditional dialogue that consistently praises capitalism. Regulations, mixed economies, some protectionist policies, government intervention... these ideas may burn some just because of the dialogue we have grown used to.
I think that many of us will be willing to accept some sort of limitations or sacrifice in order to ensure that we all have the basic necessities and a decent standard of living, but in order to get to that point, we have to be able to determine what is creating the conditions that are setting us up to fail.
The studies of happiness that Ashe refers to come out of the field of social psychology. It's a legitimate field of study, and at least within Psychology, the studies are generally well done. In itself, this research has little to do with economics, and unfortunately, it looks like some have misapplied the approach. It's silly, for example, to compare the US to Canada, without controlling for the huge differences in quality of life between the rich and the poor in the US.
I know that Socialism is quite a dirty word in the US (and in the UK to a certain extent), but some form of progressive/democratic Socialism has to be better than the present system, which has caused a World economic crisis. The fact is, that hundreds of millions of people are at the mercy of a system which relies on extortion to maintain the economy. The free market economy as we see it today, is built around greed and short term personal gain, huge rewards for those responsible for the boom bust cycle. The Soviet Union, China and North Korea are not examples of true Socialist/Communist regimes but totalitarian dictatorships, who treat the people like slaves.
Perhaps we need to simplify our lives, and become more self sufficient and less materialistic. The Worlds natural resources are running out, and our gluttony, sloth and envy are responsible for damaging the planet beyond repair. We have the technology at hand to relieve the World of famine and disease, but choose to spend those funds on war. We should be trying to educate people, to encourage less well off nations to improve themselves, instead, we bomb them and set up dictators who will do our bidding, and allow us to pillage their country's natural wealth.
Capitalism in its present form cannot survive.
burt shachter : Whatever you call it we need a REAL safety net. We have the productive capacity to feed, house and medically carefor the people of the world but only if economies are not driven primarily by profit and greed. Milton Friedman,s unresrained free market has brought us disaster.Hope and change must also be REAL.
I'd like to add that Timothy ends this on a note that would probably reverberate with many people - he admits that changes will need to be made in order to ensure that everyone is able to have a decent standard of living and have the basics of stability, and while they may make his life less pleasant than it currently it, he would at least like to know what they would be. This is the sort of dialogue that we need to begin to engage in - discussing what sort of extreme materialistic aspects of our society we simply don't need, and the sorts of "sacrifices" we need to make.
For example, do we really need some people driving cars that cost two or three thousand dollars, while others are driving cars that are worth more than double the first person's salary? Do CEOs really need to be making insanely more than the average worker? We don't need million dollar salaries to be happy.
It also comes back to Alcyon's points - people just aren't aware of how the financial system works, or what democracy really should be like. We don't discuss these sorts of things enough in our everyday lives to arrive at a consensus about what we really expect from our system. I admit, I should know more as well.
How annoying all the pabulum about a "free market." No such thing has ever existed and no such thing ever could exist. The powerful players in the market bend the rules to suit their interests, in part by bending the governments by influencing the minds of those running them to create or interpret rules to suit the interests of the elites. And we know from experience that over time powerful players arise and do not easily or quickly fall, but instead form alliances with other powerful players. And as they continuously form connections with each other for their mutual benefit, they attack socialism based on the fear that the common people may form alliances through creating a socialist government that may challenge the elite capitalists' power to control the economy and the society.
The capitalist system is simply a more sophisticated and less obviously abusive and oppressive system than the royalist systems that preceded it (that with universal education came to be seen as too unjust, oppressive, and abusive to continue). Still the bullies -- the aggressive, ruthless, well-connected, and avaricious -- accumulate power and manipulate and overpower others to maximize their own welfare in capitalist systems. But this class of bullies appears more palatable to the educated masses as some slim justifications may be offered, and repeated endlessly, for the class structure that results (e.g. they "earned" it). And they often top off their justifications with some claims of "democracy" that offer some illusion that the masses actually have a say, making it easier for the common people to be convinced that the system is not abusive and is indeed utilitarian.
If human society can continue to evolve, then soon, within a few decades, capitalist systems will be regarded with the same distaste as royalist systems are today. But the danger is that a number of elite capitalists may accumulate the power to stop this evolution and permanently install themselves and their progeny in secure controlling positions (even using genetic engineering in the future to separate themselves further from common humans). And I believe that danger is great.
I agree in general, but their are plenty of abuses from the public side as well. An example here is instructive. Greed can be found everywhere. Consider, the case of a retired police Lt. and his wife. She works for the local town they live in and collects a nice salary and medical package and one day a pension. He has retired form the police on a nice pension and get full med. benefits as well. He now works once again for the same city he retired from in a new job that pays him a great new salary and benefits. This is how greed works from the public side. I can give example after example of similar situations. Do I blame this man and his wife , no. But let's be fair about this. Greed is not just a relic of Capitalism.
Oh no, a couple who works for a living and gets government benefits they have earned. God forbid!
.Greed exists, but double dipping, as you represent it is not an example thereof. Better luck with your next analogy.
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We see things, not as they are, but as we are.
Anais Nin
Greed would exist in a socialist system but doubtfully to the same extent as it would not be as greatly rewarded, encouraged, and celebrated. And a lack of accountability can be a problem in socialist systems (as any "free marketer" would be quick to point out), but as the Washington to Wall Street Axis of Evil has recently demonstrated to all who would pay attention, the lack of accountability can be just as pervasive a problem in capitalism. Accountability is crucial in any type of economic or political system, and, as is usually the case with regard to the success of any complex system, the devil is in the details.
.Unlike the seemingly hasty effort of blutodog, I find this post particularly insightful, thank you for it.
Anything built by the hand of man is open to distortion and abuse of course. As James Madison once noted,"govt is comprised of men, and men are not angels".
I believe the best govt to be one in which we would find a combination of socialism and regulated capitalism, and I further believe that we will move in that direction, however slowly might the journey be.
.
We see things, not as they are, but as we are.
Anais Nin
Ardee,, you're only the third person besides myself that I've come across who says they believe the best govt is the one that's a combination of socialism and capitalism. I think it'll take that elusive third party, comprised of former dems and repugs, as well as independents to bring it about.
You put regulated with the capitalism, but the socialism needs to be regulated just as badly. Look at how broken the welfare system became.
Although I haven't said here, I too have seen a 'mixed economy' working reasonably well in countries such as India. But I also feel that many Indians - especially the younger ones - do not seem to understand the effectiveness of such an economy, that perhaps laid the foundation for the accelerated growth of today. Instead, I have met some young Indians who feel that they had probably missed out on the benefits of pure capitalism. They do not see the disappearance of mom-and-pop stores or farmers markets, being replaced by supermarket chains as a problem - because it does not affect this yuppie crowd on a personal level. Similar feelings among many Chinese people who benefit from the current rapid growth, and almost zero real concern about the environmental damage.
Just when the 'western' countries are waking up - although slowly, and only in small numbers - to the horrors of a capitalist-system-run-amok, other countries seem to be rushing headlong towards a similar system. It's the elite that benefits maximum in those countries, and it's the elite that often controls the popular media. They seem to feel thrilled when invited to the 'high table' of the capitalists - such as to the 'G20' meeting, not realizing that real power will not be shared so easily by those who are used to wielding it. We are living in interesting times!
Highintel: Can we do better?
.For both Wilmoor and Alcyon
I would look to the Scandinavian model for an amalgam of both Capitalism and Socialism working together successfully. I see the role of socialism in the free education, free cradle to grave health care, free or very inexpensive public transportation and the rest of what is the social contract between govt and the citizens. Heck, even a bastion of free enterprise like Switzerland has most of that list in place.
Here, unfortunately, int e land of the free and the home of the brave profit trumps all else.
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We see things, not as they are, but as we are.
Anais Nin
Capitalism is dead. We are in free fall now and it is to late. We are overpopulated and will not be able to think our way out of this. All we come up with anymore are band aids. Every one has an opinion and nothing will work for very long. We waited to long. Tough.
Change our way of life? A large part of humanity is already being excluded for
our way of life. Gee just observe people. The vast majority at my supermarket
cannot even get themselves to bring their own bags. What a sacrifice that would
be...... and what politician has the guts to tell people about the changes that
need to made? Giving up privilege, in the absence of so much personal happiness,
tends to produce rage. People aren't fools. A lot of them understand that we
went to war in Iraq for oil. There is a barely suppressed complicity. I have
heard people on numerous occasions say it's our oil.
I cannot count the times I have heard decent middle class people begrude other
Americans, especially if they have foreign sounding names, social services or
medical care.....
I hope I am wrong...
A Mexican I once worked with always bitching about not wanting her tax dollars going to worthless welfare people.
"The Hugo Chávez model of socialism depends on capitalists buying his oil"
This is such a stupid thing to say that I didn't finish the article. Venezuela, like EVERY OTHER COUNTRY ON EARTH, depends on trade to thrive. The ideology of neither the buyer nor the seller country matters--it only matters that trade occurs, in which case both countries benefit. This is true whether the buyer/seller dyad is capitalist/socialist, socialist/capitalist, capitalist/capitalist or socialist/socialist.
You might as well have said that the "Augusto Pinochet model of capitalism depended on capitalists buying his copper."
You also could have said that the "American model of capitalism depends on socialists selling us their oil."
Both are equally true, and equally trite, as what was said about the "Hugo Chávez model of socialism."
Without trade, countries fail, utterly regardless of how they organize their economy/society internally. That the author of an article failed to grasp this, essentially the most basic premise of international political economy, didn't exactly motivate me to read his speculations on the future of capitalism.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparative_advantage