Finance to Serve The Economy
How urgent is the financial situation? A Wall Street veteran says problems in finance don't mean the end of the economy.
We have been informed by our leaders and many experts that the US financial system was on the brink of collapse last week. It probably was. And may still be. We've also been told that our entire economy is at risk. I think that's a bit of a stretch and has the unfortunate effect of inciting emotion and panic rather than sound analysis and plain old common sense.
Our "financial system" is not equal to the economy. The economy is the exchange of needed goods and services. The financial system exists to facilitate that exchange. Our financial system has far exceeded that rather modest role. We have come to accept the mainstream message that the financial system creates wealth by creating money. But money isn't wealth at all. Some money is simply air.
If you own a house you have wealth in the form of shelter and security. If you bought the house for $100,000 you have a financial value. If your neighbor's identical house has just sold for $300,000, you may very well increase your personal statement of net worth by $200,000 based on this one transaction. But the house-the tangible wealth-has not changed. This is fairly innocuous until you decide to go to the bank and cash in on that new value by borrowing $200,000 using your house as collateral. Still fairly innocuous, assuming you can make the loan payments. But, what if you discover that your house isn't worth $300,000 anymore? Suppose it's only worth $150,000. Now, you owe $200,000 but don't have enough collateral to back the loan. The wealth you once had has dissipated-you no longer own the house-and you are left with a great big debt. Now, what if you had taken that $200,000 and used it as a down payment for another house? And what if the new house's value goes down? All of a sudden you are saddled with lots of debt but fewer assets.
This is what the experts mean when they use the polite term, "leverage." They really mean debt-too much borrowing against assets. Wall Street took this concept and put it on steroids by using all kinds of tricks, called derivatives, to borrow as much as possible with as low a down payment as possible. It all looked great until the assets at the bottom of the pile of debt started losing value. And then, like a game of Jenga, it all started to fall apart.
As a financial advisor and former Wall Street professional, I find myself caught in alternating waves of nostalgia, sadness, relief and fear. It's sad to say goodbye to the "good old days," as flawed as they were. We lived in a speculative bubble that allowed us to make believe for awhile-fun but fictional. It's a relief to have things finally come to a head. It had to happen sooner or later. There's just too much debt (leverage) backed by now-worthless assets like bad loans and securities structured from these loans. And it's scary to witness the disaster response mentality of our leaders. It's as if we can only deal with problems when they become crises-before that, we deny and ignore them. Perhaps, after scaring us into a war in the Middle East, our leaders have come to believe that this is an effective way to govern.
Was the financial system really on the brink of collapsing? In this environment of crisis management and hyperbole, we may never really know. However it is characterized, what I find fascinating is the presumption of control. As if Congress and the Treasury can swoop in and solve the problem. As if they can possibly believe that a country that has more than $9 trillion in debt can keep on printing money in order to save itself. In reality, it may be possible to ease or defer the pain, but, sooner or later, we will have to begin living within our means. It's actually amusing to listen to the experts talk about "taxpayers" money when, in reality, the funds to rescue our financial system will be borrowed on the world markets. Of course, then it becomes the taxpayers' obligation. So, it really isn't our money-it's our debt.
The one thing I know with certainty is that the people and institutions that got us into this mess are not going to be the ones to get us out of it. Not the Federal Reserve, not Wall Street, not Congress, and not the Administration. Yes, we can engage in discussion and debate about the "right package" and what Paulson had to say today and how the Congressional leadership is doing. But, in the end, my suggestion is that we focus on what we can actually do.
We have been told a horror story, but we don't have to let it paralyze or immobilize us. And we shouldn't believe everything we're told. We need to test every statement, every scare tactic against our own experiences and what we know is true in our lives and communities. And we can choose to see that this "meltdown" is really a cleansing, a time that offers great opportunity to get back to the basics, to focus on what's realistic and what we can accomplish at a local economic level.
Let's get to the task of facilitating the efficient exchange of goods and services, which, in the process, employs people in productive capacities so they can then afford to buy what they need. It sounds simple, and it is simple. We have allowed ourselves to be convinced that the Economy is a god when, in fact, it's our human system for getting things done. Despite the behavior of the Wall Street crowd, the economy is not a casino and does not need gambling to thrive. Much of the financial loss we are seeing is the equivalent of the big winner at the craps table whose luck has all of a sudden turned. If you weren't at the casino, don't be fooled into thinking that you're a loser. Perhaps we're really the winners.
Every one of us can take a leadership role in some aspect of our local economies. We can buy local food, shop at locally owned stores, enjoy neighborhoods and communities, and engage in financial transactions at the local level.
We can take our deposits to a locally owned bank, preferably a community bank. Talk with them about their financial condition, how many bad loans they have, and how they handle problems with borrowers. Look for the bank that tells you they keep the loans they make and work with borrowers to restructure when necessary. Open a checking/savings account with them. Consider putting your IRA in a bank CD. You are then directly facilitating the transfer of your funds to a borrower in your community who needs to use them.
If you have a financial advisor, ask about community loan funds and other opportunities to engage in your local economy. Or visit www.communityinvest.org for ideas.
Our financial system may be dissolving, but our economy is just getting going!!!
Twitter
StumbleUpon
Facebook
Delicious
Digg
Newsvine
Google
Yahoo
Technorati
10 Comments so far
Show AllI've lived below the poverty line all my life, quite comfortably for the most part. But then I don't watch TV or read junk mail so I don't really know what there is out there to buy anyway so I don't really miss it. I've had to put up with quite a bit of bad attitude from people who are critical of my lifestyle choices. I have never been considered respectable. Just last week I had to get my son to use his credit card to get me a hotel room because I have never had and don't want a credit card. I paid the bill, but they wouldn't accept cash up front to just pay for the room. They needed that number.
The saddest part about all this is that people have goaded each other relentlessly to go farther and farther out on that credit limb to keep up appearances until the branch finally bends and dumps them into the swamp. It hasn't been an accident. Turning thrifty hard working people who only want to be respected by their neighbors and have a decent life into credit junkies has been a major undertaking of those same people who are now crying the blues because some of those debts have gone into default.
Turn off the TV and let them cry.
At least $700 billion has disappeared from banks.
Who has it?
Bush is stampeding the media and Congress, as usual...
The blogosphere is obsessing over "who won the debate between Obama and McCain?... (Not long after it was obsessing over Palin, not long after it was obsessing over the horse-race between Hillary and Barack...)
And apparently nobody even wonders...
Where is the $700 billion that disappeared from the banks?
Who has it?
It's important to remember that every time any kind of financial package is sold, somebody buys it. At the end of every deal, somebody has more money in pocket than at the beginning.
If the same people do all the buying and selling, then the worst thing that can happen is that worthless financial packages boom and crash, and the rest of us end up right where we started.
If nothing was lost except the "value" of worthless financial instruments, who cares?
Good riddance!
But apparently real money was lost, insofar as any of our fiat currency is real, and now we have to replace it with $700 billion of new money, issued by Federal Reserve Banks on faith, and all we can do is hope that a mountain of new paper doesn't dilute the value of money in circulation so radically that we collapse into hyper-inflation, like so many other governments who have issued mountains of paper to pay for what their citizens refused to pay for by paying taxes.
So before I cheer for any Democratic "compromise" with the weasels who made all that money disappear and the Republicans who whore for them in Congress, I want to be damn sure that $700 billion isn't hiding in offshore accounts.
Unless all that money has vanished into thin air...
I want it back, before we accidentally deliver another $700 billion to exactly the same guys who robbed the banks.
Jacob Freeze
This pay as you go is a great idea. The problem is inflating property values have fucked us all. In Minnesota they are still increasing greatly every year with the excuse that they are just catching with market values. What if you don't go and borrow any money on the inflated value. Hell, with the rising food, fuel, energy cost, insurance rates and then property taxes, it's damn hard just to get by.
Oh! Excuse me, I forgot my lines...
More,
Even I heard our representatives blather, but the outcome is still the same. This article is like an astringent on a razor cut: helpful, but wanting.
Love you baby,:)
"but the outcome is still the same."
You could be right, but I'm hoping the American people will keep going like they did on immigration and stop them from screwing us like they did that time.
Fingers crossed, hand across bottom.
This whole "crisis" smells like the last GWB rush to war. The urgency is only to get what they want without any thought. Not this time.
Agreed, indeed this sounds like the story about boy who cried wolf. Once too often. We must not be willing to take on this obligations without guranteed investment of these monies into each community of United States of America.
I hate it when I am being taken for an idiot. By the way , during the hearings I heard a lot more about "my constituent" phrase by the representatives. Finally, they are forced to do what their constituent are expressing.
The article is thinking through this problem properly and I for one is on this path.
toophat for you!
"during the hearings I heard a lot more about "my constituent" phrase by the representatives."
I certainly did too, I'm happy to say. I hope they keep getting an earful!
Why do I have to be the 'ditto' head here?:)
Somebody has to do it!