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World Will Not Meet 2C Warming Target, Climate Change Experts Agree

Water shortage will cause greater ruin than peak oil. (Photograph: Pedro Armestre/AFP/Getty Images)

Almost nine out of 10 climate scientists do not believe political efforts to restrict global warming to 2C will succeed, a Guardian poll reveals today. An average rise of 4-5C by the end of this century is more likely, they say, given soaring carbon emissions and political constraints.

Such a change would disrupt food and water supplies, exterminate thousands of species of plants and animals and trigger massive sea level rises that would swamp the homes of hundreds of millions of people.