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Iran, Nukes and the Failure of Skepticism
Iraq all over again?
WASHINGTON - November 16 - Much of the corporate media coverage of a new UN report on Iran strongly asserts that Iran is close to building nuclear weapons. But the International Atomic Energy Agency report does not actually arrive at that conclusion, and many critics contend that the speculations that are in the report are misguided.
A USA Today piece (11/9/11) was headlined "UN Agency Issues Red Alert Over Iran's Secret Nuke Program"--with the "red alert" hype coming from a source in the piece, Rep. Ed Royce (R.-Calif.). On CBS Evening News, Scott Pelley reported (11/7/11), "The U.N.'s nuclear agency is expected to report later this week that Iran is on the threshold of being able to build a nuclear bomb."
On ABC World News, anchor Diane Sawyer announced (11/8/11):
And now, a long-dreaded headline about Iran and nuclear weapons. After a decade of debating whether Iran would build one, a UN report says tonight they will, and it has begun.
ABC correspondent Jim Sciutto added that the IAEA found Iran has "been carrying out activities whose sole purpose can only be the development of a nuclear weapon." Sawyer closed the segment by pleading, "Anything else out there to prevent this, to stop it? Is it too late?" She added: "So much for Ahmadinejad claiming it was only nuclear power plants, always nuclear power plants."
On NBC's Today show (11/9/11), viewers were told that the "UN reported for the first time Tuesday that Iran is conducting secret tests with the sole purpose of building nuclear weapons."
"A dreaded headline on Iran," declared ABC This Week host Christiane Amanpour (11/13/11). "UN weapons inspectors reveal new evidence the country is working on a nuclear weapons device. Can the United States do anything to stop it now?"
An Associated Press piece (11/9/11) referred matter-of-factly to Iran being "on the brink of developing a nuclear warhead," and a Washington Post piece (11/14/11) about a Republican presidential debate mentioned ways to "deal with Iran’s apparent nuclear weapons program." A USA Today story (11/14/11) referred to a "United Nations report confirming Iran's nuclear ambitions" and "the strongest finding yet that Iran is going ahead with a bombmaking program." In Time magazine, Joe Klein (11/21/11) wrote, "Even the UN's extremely cautious International Atomic Energy Agency now believes Iran is working on a nuclear weapon."
This rhetoric wildly overstates the actual findings of the IAEA report.
The first part of the agency's November 8 report declares--once again--that Iran is not transferring uranium for use in a military project.
The more explosive allegations that media are focusing on are contained in an annex that attempts to lay out evidence that has been circulating for years. The IAEA report stresses concern over allegations over past activities; very little of the report is dedicated to research that could be describing as ongoing. Indeed, the media is focusing primarily on the IAEA's speculation about what might be ongoing research that could be related to a military program.
But how definitive are the IAEA's findings? As columnist and University of Southern California chemical engineering professor Muhammad Sahimi wrote (Tehran Bureau, 11/9/11):
The most important part of the report deals with alleged work on high conventional explosives, not for conventional weapons, but supposedly for use in triggering a nuclear device. The report discusses in detail fast-functioning detonators, known as "exploding bridgewire detonators" (EBWs), which are needed in nuclear weapons. By the IAEA's own admission, Iran informed the agency in 2008 that it had developed EBWs for use in conventional and civilian applications.
Sahimi points out that the IAEA report admits that "there exist non-nuclear applications, albeit few, for detonators like EBWs." The IAEA report also focuses on design and computer modeling research that it suggests Iran may have pursued. The insinuation is that this research has nuclear dimensions, but there is no solid evidence that this is the case. As Sahimi wrote, some of the apparently worrisome computer modeling
could very well relate to Iran's conventional-warhead missile program that it has never hidden, but has in fact boasted about. Even the IAEA acknowledges such a possibility. The agency itself does not even allege that the enumerated activities are related to a nuclear warhead, but that "they are highly relevant."
Some media coverage suggested the strongest evidence came in the form of a Soviet scientist who allegedly helped Iran with crucial detonator research. The Washington Post (11/7/11) reported that the IAEA was focused on "a former Soviet weapons scientist who allegedly tutored Iranians over several years on building high-precision detonators of the kind used to trigger a nuclear chain reaction."
What the Post did not report was that the scientist in question, Vyacheslav Danilenko, is a well-known researcher in the field of nanodiamonds--the creation of synthetic diamonds that can be used for a variety of industrial pursuits, including oil drilling, an activity that produces the majority of Iran's exports. Inter Press Service reporter Gareth Porter (11/9/11) detailed Danilenko's decades of research in this field, which requires the large-scale detonation chambers that news reports suggest are possibly part of Iran's alleged nuclear weapons research program.
An early critique of the Post story was posted at the Moon of Alabama blog (11/7/11), which noted that Danilenko's nanodiamond research was indeed mentioned in the IAEA report--but missing from the Post's story. The reporter who wrote the Post piece, Joby Warrick, followed up on November 14 with an article focused Danilenko's research--including the background missing from the first piece. Warrick wrote:
Evidence is often ambiguous, as the same technology can sometimes have peaceful as well as military applications. In the case of Danilenko, the scientist’s synthetic-diamonds business provided a plausible explanation for his extensive contacts with senior Iranian scientists over half a decade.
This time around, the Post included Danilenko denying that he had anything to do with a nuclear weapons program. But the paper seemed mostly unconvinced--calling his work, for example, "his diamond-making scheme."
As in the run-up to the Iraq War, it was certainly possible to report skeptically on the Iran intelligence. The Christian Science Monitor's Scott Peterson wrote an excellent report (11/9/11) that began:
The latest United Nations report on Iran's nuclear program may not be the "game changer" it was billed to be, as some nuclear experts raise doubts about the quality of evidence--and point to lack of proof of current nuclear weapons work.
The article quotes former IAEA inspector Robert Kelley, who is dismissive of the agency's analysis. And an NPR Morning Edition segment (11/9/11) began by noting that the agency's new report "was much anticipated, because advanced reporting suggested the IAEA had concluded definitively that Iran is engaged in a full-scale nuclear weapons program. Turns out the report does not say that."
Anyone wondering about the lessons learned from Iraq could find two newspaper editorials, both published November 10, instructive. The New York Times, under the headline "The Truth About Iran," called the IAEA report "chillingly comprehensive" and cheered the agency for standing firm: "The agency did not back down, and neither should anyone else." The Washington Post editorial began:
The International Atomic Energy Agency has now spelled out in detail what governments around the world have known for a long time: Iran's nuclear program has an explicit military dimension.
The paper declared that the IAEA report "ought to end serious debate about whether Tehran's program is for peaceful purposes."
The idea that a journalistic outlet would declare this debate over is profoundly troubling--and suggests that in the corporate media, few lessons have been learned from the Iraq debacle.
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24 Comments so far
Show AllNothing like a nice tidy little war to stimulate the economy and get re-elected. Now we can do it by remote control. Do we get any bonus points for using bunker busters? ..... Wait a minute..... what was that? Who's going to pay for it? Well the Iranians of course. They have lot's of figs, goats, and oh yeah, ...oil.
"Who's going to pay for it?"
It works like this:-
The tax payer pays for the invasion and occupation.
Profiteers (Military Industrial Complex) get rich from weapons supplies, etc.
Profiteers use some of the money to buy the politicians.
The Iranians get to taste D.U.
The Iranians lose the economic value of their oil.
The oil corporations get to profit from Iran's oil.
The oil corporations use some of their money to buy the politicians.
Summary: Wars of choice act as a vehicle for transferring wealth from the poor, to the rich. The 99% get taxed to cover the expenses. The 1% get the spoils and the profit. There is no downside to this for the 1%. The benefits are private. The costs are externalized. You lose. The Iranians lose a LOT. The rich get richer.
It seems to me that the very same nonsense assertions used for Iraq are being regurgitated for Iran, and FAIR has caught them out, along with many honourable news outlets out there, and yet they are totally marginalised and ignored by the MSM who just spin terror tales.
So who reads FAIR reports? and what weight does it have? Is it considered a fringe group or does it have the attention of the establishment.
It is mostly ignored, and most people dont know about it. Most people wont get to hear the truth even about Iraq now.
The only reason WMDs were not found in Iraq after the invasion is that the Kuwaiti customs blew the whistle about container vessels of chemicals being transported into Iraq. I am pretty sure that these were meant to be discovered in Iraq.
Is there no recourse to the law in these situations. Can the MSM be sued for knowingly distributing lies and calling it news.
"The idea that a journalistic outlet would declare this debate over is profoundly troubling..." Get over the idea that this is journalism. This is presstitution. The whorish actors and pundits reading the teleprompters and regurgitating official offal are little more than high-paid hairdos. There is a special little place in hell for them.
Yes, most disingenuous. The article ends with this: “The idea that a journalistic outlet would declare this debate over is profoundly troubling--and suggests that in the corporate media, few lessons have been learned from the Iraq debacle.” Ah, what crap. They learned their lesson very well: lies are swallowed quite well in the US, land of those who just want to be safe and home of the scared.
Speaking of 1984, one of the book’s lovely little psychological insights is that Winston Smith, rewriter of history and as such a professional liar, loves his work, no matter how much he feels trapped in a world of lies. It allows him to be creative and pursue his talent.
"presstitution"
Good one!
The corporate news coverage on Iran is so distorted and the many balanced analyses so easily available via Internet (e.g. from CD). I'm sure that the proportion of the people who believe what they read about it in the MSM is rapidly declining. The real news now diffuses through the network of contacts between people. And these people also talk to families and friends. Look at how the Occupy movements keep growing. Do any of these "indignados" believe a word of the MSM spiel on Iran's atom bomb? Maybe one in 10,000 do.
I heard one of the network news reporters talk about "Iran's nuclear weapons ambition" as if it were a given. Those people are shameless. Are U.S. citizens dumb enough to get sucked in again?
is the bear a catholic?
Also: Does a pope shit in the woods?
I put the question to my Magic 8-Ball, and it promptly replied:
You may rely on it
"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same for any country."
Herman Goering to Gustave Gilbert at Nuremberg, 18 April, 1946
“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
“The most brilliant propagandist technique will yield no success unless one fundamental principle is borne in mind constantly - it must confine itself to a few points and repeat them over and over”
And:
“Think of the press as a great keyboard on which the government can play.”
Joseph Goebbels, MiniProp for Hitler’s Third Reich
1897-1945
1) Haliburton has been selling nuclear tech to Iran for years.
2) The "beware nuclear Iran" drum has been beaten on and off for years when the US administration (Bush, Obama, six one half dozen the other) needs a distraction.
3) Fool me once shame on you...
"When the war starts, I expect everyone to shut up and follow the President". Bill O'Reilly
The jouranlists reporting on this in the mainstream media know full well it all lies. They, like the various governments involved, are fully aware these are fabrications.
It is immaterial to them. They need to justify an attack.
Israel is a Trojan horse much like Barack Obama is one. It allows the USA to prosecute wars in the region and then claim it so as to defend Israel from a holocaust.
This caters to the religous right in the USA and the legacy of Empathy that has been around for the Jews since the end of the second world war.
It akin to restricting internet access to citizens, monitoring it and demanding ISPs detail what sites their client visits under the guise of protecting children from sexual predators.
No one can argue that children need to be protected from such so they will accept such erosisons of privacy.
Low levels of radioactive particles being discovered all over Europe since friday
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/11/us-nuclear-iodine-iaea-idUSTRE7AA4U020111111
http://www.stockholmnews.com/more.aspx?NID=8035
http://translate.google.com/translate?u=http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20111112/k10013913891000.html
http://news.yahoo.com/nuke-agency-reports-unusual-radiation-europe-134506410.html
http://www.myrepublica.com/portal/index.php?action=news_details&news_id=38353
[amended] are these from chem trails or what?
There is a need for #OWS to "Occupy the newsreaders broadcasts." They really are not reporters. They are dealing in rumors. AGAIN. We do not need OUR MONEY going down that ugly drain one more time.
#Occupy information.
Fight the elitist propagandists lusting after another war.
I'm hoping Iran does develop a nuke. It's likely the ONLY way they can stop invasion and destruction by the U.S. and/or Israel. It would also calm down Israel's murderous habits, I'd bet. I'm betting on Iran to build some nukes. Remember, EVERY nation that has been forced by the U.S. to give up WMD has then been destroyed by the U.S. Iran knows this. I'm hoping the idiot writers are right and Iran soon announces a successful test of a nuke, gives a finger to the U.S. and U.N. and lives happily ever after. Remember, Iran, in the last 300 years, has never initiated a war and has no reason to now. Unless we attack them.
Just like the police are their police and protect the domestic 1%, the military are their world policemen and their foreign police to protect the vested interests of the 1% world wide. The MSM is owned by the 1% and are nothing but their whores!
In the spring of 2008 I concluded on the basis of published interviews and speeches that candidate Obama is a traditional imperialist who would start his own wars. He has not disappointed me: surge in Afghanistan, bombing of Pakistan, bombing of Yemen and Libya, sending soldiers to Uganda and Nigeria, stationing soldiers in Australia and possibly some places that we do not even know about. Iran, however, is not Libya, or Uganda, or Nigeria. It may be a bite too big for even this war lord. Nevertheless, re-electing Mr. Obama means more wars with more puny little countries that cannot shoot down his drones. In addition a cold war with China. Well, I have warned you sheepish voters for Obama once again. Go ahead, vote for him as the lesser evil and you will get lesser evil but evil nonetheless.