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Course Twists in Iraq: Report Finds US Invasion Precipitated a Failed State
Published on Friday, December 5, 2003 by the United Press International
Course Twists in Iraq: Report Finds US Invasion Precipitated a Failed State
by Nicholas M. Horrock
 

WASHINGTON -- The United States has always favored big flowery projects in emerging nations, dams or hospitals that can carry the U.S. flag and a logo that says gift of the United States of America.

Such are some of the Bush administration's plans for Iraq. Among the items for the $20.3 billion economic package Congress passed a few weeks ago was a $150 million state-of-the-art children's hospital with cutting-edge research and post-graduate development capabilities.

The $9 million postal system would have bar codes and ZIP codes and there is a plan for $100 million for building seven planned upscale communities to accommodate 1,600 people.

On Wednesday, the Fund for Peace, a nearly five-decade-old study group dedicated to relations between nations being conducted in peace, issued a report on the situation in Iraq. The fund has conducted similar research in Rwanda and the Balkans.

These are some of its ideas:

Instead of the $150 million hospital, spend the money on basic health for the poor in urban ghettos and hotbeds of discontent. Iraq has doctors and nurses, many of them Sunni Muslims favored by Saddam Hussein, but they don't at this risky juncture need new ones or a fancy hospital. They need to get the medical care out into the urban centers of Baghdad and other cities.

"This would build on the progress already made in opening up 240 hospitals and 1,200 primary healthcare centers," the fund said.

Likewise for the ZIP and bar codes, the fund suggested. Instead, the money should be use to begin a national population census "which is essential for delimiting electoral districts, delivering public services and determining fair distribution of oil revenues to correct uneven development," the report said. This method was carried out in Bosnia, where like Iraq, thousands had been killed, died in battle, driven overseas or simply disappeared. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe conducted a census in Bosnia which formed the basis for restoring property rights, setting up voting and punishing ethnic cleansing among other things.

The idea to build a housing complex for 1,600 people should be dropped, the fund suggested, for contributing to low-income housing for the 1 million internally displaced persons and some 500,000 refugees from prior wars, including refugees from the 1980s Iran-Iraq War.

The problem in Washington for the fund's ideas is that they don't lend themselves to U.S. companies bidding on the project. The contributions go into larger pots and might be distributed by the United Nations or others.

The fund, like the White House, is deeply worried about private militias in the country. The coalition command said earlier this week that it was planning to use militia members in security forces, but it said they would be carefully vetted, loyal to the government and not the religious or personal leader of the militia and would join up as individuals.

The fund said that if nothing were done to disband the militias, "the result would be 'no-go' zones controlled by militant clerics, sectarian politicians and warlords."

The fund's greatest concern is the acceleration of the Bush administration's effort to get out of Iraq. Elections for drafters of the constitution are to be elected by March 15, 2005, and a permanent Iraqi government is supposed to be in place by Dec. 31, 2005.

The fund argued in its report that this shift shows a "fundamental flaw in not understanding how states fail."

The fund said the "basic misperception of the pre-war period was equating strongman rule with a strong state, a mistake commonly made by observers viewing autocratic regimes from a distance."

According to the report, if low-intensity insurgency is allowed to continue, "it will eventually make the country ungovernable and the U.S. military presence untenable." Part of the fund's purpose is to build public support to be patient.

"There can be no fast track," Pauline Baker, author of the fund's report, said at a news conference Wednesday.

Copyright © 2001-2003 United Press International

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