PARIS -- A day after Jacques Chirac ruffled feathers by advising several
Eastern European countries to shut up about the Iraq crisis, a new poll found
that more than three-quarters of the French considered their president
courageous in bucking Washington's rush to war.
Then came news that he was short-listed among 150 nominations for the Nobel
Peace Prize.
Chirac may be scorned from Washington to Wichita as a self-interested
coward, and he was depicted as a worm Thursday in a caricature in Britain's
tabloid Sun. But a year into his second presidential term, the conservative
Gaullist president is enjoying soaring popularity at home, which has eluded
him for much of his political career.
"For someone who before his re-election nine months ago was widely seen as
a charming chancer who had achieved nothing of note in a 40-year career and
would be in prison were he not in the Elysee Palace, Mr. Chirac's return to
the world arena has been spectacular," Britain's Guardian newspaper wrote
Thursday.
Still, as Chirac seeks to be remembered as more than an amiable chameleon,
it is unclear whether his opposition to war on Iraq will help or hurt.
"He's 70 and nearing the end of his life," said Etienne Schweisguth, an
analyst at the Center for the Study of French Political Life in Paris.
"Perhaps he's decided it's time to do something in his political career, to
act according to his convictions. The Iraqi crisis gives him that opportunity."
For now at least, Schweisguth said, "Chirac's been able to unify the
country by presenting himself as the man who expresses what the French want --
to not let the United States dominate the world."
OIL UNLIKELY MOTIVE
A mix of motives -- from boosting France's stature in the European Union
and overseas to fear of a potential backlash by some 5 million Muslims living
in France -- may play into Chirac's pro-peace calculations. However, few
believe that long-standing French oil interests in Iraq play much of a role.
"If the French were really interested in oil, they would go along with the
Americans," said Guillaume Parmentier, director of the French Center on the
United States, in Paris. "We know where this war is going to go. The Americans
are going to win."
What is clear is that Chirac's popular image could not be more different
from what it was a year ago, when he was battling a slump in the polls, long-
simmering scandals and expectations that he would be ousted from office by his
bookish leftist prime minister, Lionel Jospin.
But in a stunning stroke of fortune for Chirac, far-right National Front
leader Jean-Marie Le Pen nosed out Jospin to place second in the first-round
presidential elections last April. That left Chirac, who barely captured 20
percent of the initial vote, in the unlikely role as savior of the republic.
He won re-election by a landslide.
Now, as France's relations with Washington worsen, Chirac has rarely been
so secure at home. The Senate and National Assembly are dominated by members
of his Union for the Presidential Majority party. The country's once-powerful
leftist coalition is dispirited and divided, while Le Pen's far right is
marginalized.
POLITICAL FOES BACK STANCE
Even traditional leftist voters grudgingly find nice things to say about
their president.
"I agree with Chirac that there are other ways to deal with the Iraqi
crisis besides war," said Marie-Noelle Herault, 44, a Paris nursery
schoolteacher. "I hope it's not just some manipulation to boost his image. But
I'm not going to discount what he may accomplish just because I don't like his
other policies."
Chirac's search for a more lasting legacy may have started well before the
Iraqi crisis.
In a November profile, Le Monde newspaper noted that Chirac had already
jettisoned old hangers-on and picked a younger, more diverse Cabinet. His new
governing mantra is decentralization, and he is urging his ministers to leave
Paris for the provinces at least once a month.
But in a telling indication of the president's reputation, Le Monde titled
its article "The New Faces of Jacques Chirac."
Chirac has already presented many faces during his marathon career. Tall
and distinguished, he offers an easy touch, both at presidential summits and
tramping around the French countryside.
Born in Paris in 1932, he rose quickly in politics, becoming economics
secretary under President Charles de Gaulle in the late 1960s. When Valery
Giscard d'Estaing became president in 1974, he appointed Chirac premier.
But with the string of successes has come a series of setbacks.
Chirac split with Giscard in 1976, later forming his own party, a betrayal
the former president has never forgotten. As the powerful mayor of Paris for
18 years, Chirac made it his mini-fiefdom. But he failed twice to capture
France's political crown jewel, the presidency.
He was finally elected president in 1995, only to lose his conservative
majority in parliament two years later.
At home, he has been dogged by a string of allegations, from presiding over
kickbacks as Paris' mayor to questionable payments for lavish trips abroad.
FRANCE IN NATO
Overseas, Chirac burnishes his pro-Arab image and de Gaulle's legacy of an
independent-minded French defense posture. Still, it was Chirac who returned
France to NATO's military camp in 1995 after a 30-year absence.
Today, Chirac's presidential image is carefully cultivated by his daughter
Claude, his top press adviser. During her father's 1995 campaign, Claude
Chirac had him discard old-fashioned sweaters and arranged photo ops with rock
and movie stars. Today, she occasionally signals him to stop talking. Chirac
has taken flak over his daughter's influence but apparently is a forgiving
sort.
"A powerful man wouldn't allow himself to be momentarily castrated, except
by someone sharing his interests 100 percent," political strategist Jean-
Pierre Raffarin told the Guardian last year. Raffarin is now prime minister.
In an interview published this week by Time magazine, Chirac denied being
anti-American.
"I know the U.S. perhaps better than most French people, and I really like
the United States," he said of the country where he studied and worked as a
young man. "I've made many excellent friends there; I feel good there."
Nonetheless, Chirac's reservations about George Bush's Iraq policy is his
strong suit today.
Even the far-right's emerging star, Marine Le Pen -- daughter of the
National Front leader -- cannot fault him, though her father detests Chirac.
"For the moment, Chirac is behaving on Iraq in a way I agree with," said
Marine Le Pen. But she added: ". . . Since he never has strong convictions,
when he says something we're never sure how long it will last."
However, Chirac's outburst this week against the emerging former
communist nations of "new Europe" that have allied themselves with the United
States on the war with Iraq -- scolding them for their "not well brought-up
behavior" -- has finally sparked some domestic criticism.
"We understand Chirac's perception," Socialist Party spokesman Eric Besson
said in an interview. "But we think he was wrong in treating them like badly
behaved little children."
The leftist Liberation, which rarely misses an opportunity to bash Chirac,
asked Wednesday, "Who lost a good occasion to shut up?"
By heaping scorn on the impoverished EU candidate countries, Liberation
wrote, "Chirac has committed the same error as American leaders. . . .
Arrogance never makes good politics."
©2003 San Francisco Chronicle
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