If anyone would listen to him, Paul O'Neill thought, Dick Cheney would.
The
two had served together during the Ford Administration, and now as the
Treasury Secretary fought a losing battle against another round of tax
cuts,
he figured that his longtime colleague would give him a hearing.

These people are nasty and they have a long memory.
Loyalty to a person and whatever they say or do,
that's
the opposite of real loyalty, which is loyalty based on inquiry, and
telling
someone what you really think and feelyour best estimation of the
truth
instead of what they want to hear.

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Paul O'Neill
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O'Neill had
been preaching that a fiscal crisis was looming and more tax cuts would
exacerbate it. But others in the White House saw a chance to capitalize
on the
historic Republican congressional gains in the 2002 elections. Surely,
Cheney
would not be so smug. He would hear O'Neill out. In an economic meeting
in the
Vice President's office, O'Neill started pitching, describing how the
numbers
showed that growing budget deficits threatened the economy. Cheney cut
him
off. "Reagan proved deficits don't matter," he said. O'Neill was too
dumbfounded to respond. Cheney continued: "We won the midterms. This is
our
due."
A month later, Paul O'Neill was fired, ending the rocky two-year tenure
of
Bush's first Treasury Secretary, who became known for his candid
statements
and the controversies that followed them. Rarely had a person who spoke
so
freely been embedded so high in an Administration that valued frank
public
remarks so little.
Now O'Neill is speaking with the same bracing style in a book written
by
Pulitzer prizewinning journalist Ron Suskind. The Price of Loyalty:
George W.
Bush, the White House and the Education of Paul O'Neill traces the
former
Alcoa CEO's rise and fall through the Administration: from his return
to
Washington to work for his third President, whom he believed would
govern from
the sensible center, through O'Neill's disillusionment, to his firing,
executed in a surreal conversation with Cheney, a man he once
considered a
fellow traveler. Suskind had access not only to O'Neill but also to the
saddlebags he took with him when he left town, which included a
minute-by-minute accounting of his 23 months in office and 19,000 pages
of
documents on CD-ROM.
So, what does O'Neill reveal? According to the book, ideology and
electoral
politics so dominated the domestic-policy process during his tenure
that it
was often impossible to have a rational exchange of ideas. The
incurious
President was so opaque on some important issues that top Cabinet
officials
were left guessing his mind even after face-to-face meetings. Cheney is
portrayed as an unstoppable force, unbowed by inconvenient facts as he
drives
Administration policy toward his goals.
O'Neill's tone in the book is not angry or sour, though it prompted a
tart
response from the Administration. "We didn't listen to him when he was
there,"
said a top aide. "Why should we now?"
But the book is blunt, and in person O'Neill can be even more so.
Discussing
the case for the Iraq war in an interview with TIME, O'Neill, who sat
on the
National Security Council, says the focus was on Saddam from the early
days of
the Administration. He offers the most skeptical view of the case for
war ever
put forward by a top Administration official. "In the 23 months I was
there, I
never saw anything that I would characterize as evidence of weapons of
mass
destruction," he told TIME. "There were allegations and assertions by
people.
But I've been around a hell of a long time, and I know the difference
between
evidence and assertions and illusions or allusions and conclusions that
one
could draw from a set of assumptions. To me there is a difference
between real
evidence and everything else. And I never saw anything in the
intelligence
that I would characterize as real evidence." A top Administration
official
says of the wmd intelligence: "That information was on a need-
to-know basis. He wouldn't have been in a position to see it."
From his first meeting with the President, O'Neill found Bush unengaged
and
inscrutable, an inside account far different from the shiny White House
brochure version of an unfailing leader questioning aides with
rapid-fire
intensity. The two met one-on-one almost every week, but O'Neill says
he had
trouble divining his boss's goals and ideas. Bush was a blank slate
rarely
asking questions or issuing orders, unlike Nixon and Ford, for whom
O'Neill
also worked. "I wondered from the first, if the President didn't know
the
questions to ask," O'Neill says in the book, "or if he did know and
just not
want to know the answers? Or did his strategy somehow involve never
showing
what he thought? But you can ask questions, gather information and not
necessarily show your hand. It was strange." In larger meetings, Bush
was
similarly walled off. Describing top-level meetings, O'Neill tells
Suskind
that during the course of his two years the President was "like a blind
man in
a roomful of deaf people."
In his interview with TIME, O'Neill winces a little at that quote. He's
worried it's too stark and now allows that it may
just be Bush's style to keep his advisers always guessing. In Suskind's
book,
O'Neill's assessment of Bush's executive style is a harsh one: it is
portrayed
as a failure of leadership. Aides were left to play "blind man's
bluff,"
trying to divine Bush's views on issues like tax policy, global warming
and
North Korea. Sometimes, O'Neill says, they had to float an idea in the
press
just to scare a reaction out of him. This led to public humiliation
when the
President contradicted his top officials, as he did Secretary of State
Colin
Powell on North Korea and Environmental Protection Agency administrator
Christine Todd Whitman on global warming. O'Neill came to believe that
this
gang of three beleaguered soulsonly Powell remainswho shared a more
nonideological approach were used for window dressing. We "may have
been
there, in large part, as cover," he tells Suskind.
If the President was hard to read, the White House decision-making
process was
even more mysterious. Each time O'Neill tried to gather data, sift
facts and
insert them into the system for debate, he would find discussion
sheared off
before it could get going. He tried to build fiscal restraint into
Bush's tax
plan but was thwarted by those who believed, as he says, that "tax cuts
were
good at any cost." He was losing debates before they had begun. The
President
asked for a global-warming plan one minute and then while it was being
formulated, announced that he was reversing a campaign pledge to cut
carbon
dioxide emissions and pulling out unceremoniously from the Kyoto
global-
warming treaty, short-circuiting his aides' work. The President was
"clearly
signing on to strong ideological positions that had not been fully
thought
through," says O'Neill. As for the appetite for new ideas in the White
House,
he told Suskind, "that store is closed."
To grope his way out of the wilderness, O'Neill turned to his old
friends from
the Ford Administration, Alan Greenspan and Dick Cheney. According to
the
book, Greenspan agreed with many of his proposals but could not do much
from
his Delphian perch. When O'Neill sought guidance from the Vice
President about
how to install a system that would foster vigorous and transparent
debate, he
got grumbles and silence but little sympathy. Soon O'Neill concluded
that his
powerful old colleague was rowing in a different direction."I realized
why
Dick just nodded along when I said all of this, over and over, and
nothing
ever changed," he says in the book. "This is the way Dick likes it."
Where ideology did not win, electoral politics did. Overruling many of
his
advisers, the President decided to impose tariffs on imported steel to
please
voters in key swing states like Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio.
When the
corporate scandals rocked Wall Street, O'Neill and Greenspan devised a
plan to
make CEOs accountable. Bush went with a more modest plan because "the
corporate crowd," as O'Neill calls it in the book, complained loudly
and Bush
could not buck that constituency. "The biggest difference between then
and
now," O'Neill tells Suskind about his two previous tours in Washington,
"is
that our group was mostly about evidence and analysis, and Karl (Rove),
Dick
(Cheney), Karen (Hughes) and the gang seemed to be mostly about
politics. It's
a huge distinction."
A White House that seems to pick an outcome it wants and then marshal
the
facts to meet it seems very much like one that might decide to remove
Saddam
Hussein and then tickle the facts to meet its objective. That's the
inescapable conclusion one draws from O'Neill's description of how
Saddam was
viewed from Day One. Though O'Neill is careful to compliment the cia
for
always citing the caveats in its findings, he describes a White House
poised
to overinterpret intelligence. "From the start, we were building the
case
against Hussein and looking at how we could take him out and change
Iraq into
a new country," he tells Suskind. "And, if we did that, it would solve
everything. It was about finding a way to do it. That was the tone of
it. The
President saying, 'Fine. Go find me a way to do this.'"
Cheney helped bring O'Neill into the Administration, acting as a
shoehorn for
O'Neill, who didn't know the President but trusted the wise counselor
beside
him. So it was perhaps fitting that Cheney would take O'Neill out.
Weeks after
Bush had assured O'Neill that rumored staff changes in the economic
team did
not mean his job was in peril, Cheney called. "Paul, the President has
decided
to make some changes in the economic team. And you're part of the
change," he
told O'Neill. The bloodless way he was cut loose by his old chum
shocked
O'Neill, Suskind writes, but what came after was even more shocking.
Cheney
asked him to announce that it was O'Neill's decision to leave
Washington to
return to private life. O'Neill refused, saying "I'm too old to begin
telling
lies now."
Suskind's bookinformed by interviews with officials other than
O'Neillis
only a partial view of the Bush White House. Bush's role on key topics
like
education, stem-cell research and aids funding is not explored. Bush's
role as
a military leader after 9/11 is discussed mostly through O'Neill's
effort to
stop terrorist funding. Bush comes across as mildly effective and
pleased with
O'Neill's work. The book does not try to cover how Bush engaged with
his war
cabinet during the Afghan conflict or how his leadership skills were
deployed
in the making of war. On the eve of the Iraq war, however, O'Neill does
tell
Suskind that he marvels at the President's conviction in light of what
he
considers paltry evidence: "With his level of experience, I would not
be able
to support his level of conviction."
There is no effort to offer an opposing analysis of O'Neill's portrayal
of his
tenure. The book lists his gaffeshe ridiculed Wall Street traders,
accused
Democrats of being socialists and disparaged business lobbyists who
were
seeking a tax credit that the President supportedbut it portrays
these
moments as examples of brave truth telling in a town that doesn't like
it.
White House aides have a different view: It wasn't just that O'Neill
was
impolitic, they say; his statements had real consequencesroiling
currency
markets and Wall Street. What O'Neill would call rigor, Bush officials
say,
was an excessive fussiness that led to policy gridlock and sniping
within the
economic team.
O'Neill says he hopes that straight talk about the broken
decision-making
process in the White House will highlight the larger political and
ideological
warfare that has gripped Washington and kept good ideas from becoming
law.
Perhaps naively or arrogantly, or both, he even believes it may help
change
the climate. Ask him what he hopes the book will accomplish, and he
will talk
about Social Security reform in earnest tones: tough choices won't be
made in
Washington so long as it shuns honest dialogue, bipartisanship and
intellectual thoroughness. O'Neill may not have been cut out for this
town,
but give him this: he does exhibit the sobriety and devotion to ideas
that are
supposed to be in vogue in the postironic, post-
9/11 age.
Loyalty is perhaps the most prized quality in the White House. In the
book,
O'Neill suggests a very dark understanding of what happens to those who
don't
show it. "These people are nasty and they have a long memory," he tells
Suskind. But he also believes that by speaking out even in the face of
inevitable White House wrath, he can demonstrate loyalty to something
he
prizes: the truth. "Loyalty to a person and whatever they say or do,
that's
the opposite of real loyalty, which is loyalty based on inquiry, and
telling
someone what you really think and feelyour best estimation of the
truth
instead of what they want to hear." That goal is worth the price of
retribution, O'Neill says. Plus, as he told Suskind, "I'm an old guy,
and I'm
rich. And there's nothing they can do to hurt me."
Copyright © 2004 Time Inc.
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