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US May Back Refinance Plan for Mortgages
The Obama administration is considering further actions to strengthen the housing market, but the bar is high: plans must help a broad swath of homeowners, stimulate the economy and cost next to nothing.
The Obama Administration may propose a plan to allow allow millions of homeowners with government-backed mortgages to refinance them at about 4 percent. (File) Tne proposal would allow millions of homeowners with government-backed mortgages to refinance them at today’s lower interest rates, about 4 percent, according to two people briefed on the administration’s discussions who asked not to be identified because they were not allowed to talk about the information.
A wave of refinancing could be a strong stimulus to the economy, because it would lower consumers’ mortgage bills right away and allow them to spend elsewhere. But such a sweeping change could face opposition from the regulator who oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and from investors in government-backed mortgage bonds.
Administration officials said on Wednesday that they were weighing a range of proposals, including changes to its previous refinancing programs to increase the number of homeowners taking part. They are also working on a home rental program that would try to shore up housing prices by preventing hundreds of thousands of foreclosed homes from flooding the market. That program is further along — the administration requested ideas for execution from the private sector earlier this month.
But refinancing could have far greater breadth, saving homeowners, by one estimate, $85 billion a year. Despite record low interest rates, many homeowners have been unable to refinance their loans either because they owe more than their houses are now worth or because their credit is tarnished.
Exactly how a refinancing plan might work is still under discussion. It is unclear, for example, whether people who are delinquent on their mortgages would be eligible or whether lenders would administer it. Federal officials have consistently overestimated the number of households that would be helped by their various housing assistance programs.
A working group of housing experts across several federal agencies could recommend one or both proposals, or come up with new ones. Or it might decide to do nothing.
Investors may suspect a plan is in the works. Fannie and Freddie mortgage bonds had been trading well above their face value because so few people were refinancing, keeping returns on the bonds high. But those bond prices dropped sharply this week.
Administration discussions about housing proposals have taken on added urgency this summer because the housing market is continuing to deteriorate. On Wednesday, the government said that prices of homes with government-backed mortgages fell 5.9 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, the biggest decline since 2009. More than one in five homeowners with mortgages owe more than their homes are worth. Some analysts are now predicting waves of foreclosures and a continuing slide in home prices.
There is not much time to help the market before the 2012 election, and given Congressional resistance to other types of stimulus, housing may be the only economic fix in reach. Federal programs to assist homeowners have been regarded as ineffective so far, and they are complex.
“We are looking at trying to encourage more participation in all of the programs, including those that help with refinancing,” said Phyllis Caldwell, who oversees housing policy at the Treasury Department.
Some economists say that with housing prices and interest rates at affordable levels, only fear is keeping consumers out of the market. Frank E. Nothaft, the chief economist at Freddie Mac, said the federal action could instill confidence.
“It almost seems to me you want to have some type of announcement or policy, program or something from the federal government that provides that clear signal that we are here supporting the housing market and this is indeed a good time to really consider buying,” Mr. Nothaft said.
The refinancing idea has been around since at least 2008, but proponents say the recent drop in interest rates to below 4 percent may breathe new life into the plan.
“This is the best stimulus out there because it doesn’t increase the deficit, it accomplishes monetary policy, and it reduces defaults in housing,” said Christopher J. Mayer, an economist at the Columbia Business School. “So I think this is low-hanging fruit.” Mr. Mayer and a colleague, Glenn Hubbard, who was chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush, proposed an early version of the plan.
The idea is appealing because it would not necessarily require Congressional action. It also would not tap any of the $45.6 billion in Troubled Asset Relief Funds that was set aside to help struggling homeowners. Only $22.9 billion of that pool has been spent or pledged so far, and fewer than 1.7 million loans have been modified under federal programs. But Andrea Risotto, a Treasury spokeswoman, said whatever was left would be used to reduce the federal deficit.
A mass refinancing plan would spread the benefits of the Federal Reserve’s most important economic policy response, low interest rates, to more people. As of July, an estimated $2.4 trillion in mortgages backed by Fannie and Freddie carried interest rates of 4.5 percent or higher.
The two prevailing ideas, lowering rates on mortgages and converting houses owned by government entities like Freddie and Fannie into rentals and other uses, have somewhat different pockets of support. Investment firms would like to participate in the rental program, especially if the government lends them money to participate. For the most part, banks prefer the refinancing plan. There are many high-ranking proponents of the refinancing plan. Joseph Tracy, a senior adviser to the chairman of the New York Federal Reserve, has circulated a presentation in support of the plan. And Richard B. Berner, who recently joined the Treasury Department as counselor to Secretary Timothy F. Geithner, argued in favor of a blanket refinancing in his previous job as chief United States economist for Morgan Stanley. The proponents say the plan carries little risk because the mortgages are already guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They also say it makes those loans less likely to go into default and ultimately foreclosure.
But the plan has some drawbacks. Some officials fear that promoting mass refinancings today could spook investors and make borrowing more expensive, for both homeowners and the federal government, in the future.
The government has already encouraged some refinancing through the Federal Housing Administration and through Fannie and Freddie, but participation is limited. For example, the Home Affordable Refinance Program excludes homeowners who owe more than 125 percent of the value of their house. To spur more refinancing, the government may decide to encourage Fannie and Freddie to lift such restrictions.
But government officials cautioned that Fannie and Freddie do not do the administration’s bidding, even though they are essentially owned by taxpayers. Edward J. DeMarco, who oversees the companies as acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, has voiced concerns about any plan that might cost the companies money, according to the two people briefed on the discussions. “F.H.F.A. remains open to all ideas that provide needed assistance to borrowers” while minimizing the cost to taxpayers, Mr. DeMarco said in a written statement.
A broader criticism of a refinancing expansion is that it would not do enough to address the two main drivers of foreclosures: homes worth less than their mortgages, and a sudden loss of income, like unemployment. American homeowners currently owe some $700 billion more than their homes are worth.
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6 Comments so far
Show AllThe gov and the Fed have given out to the banksters over $15 trillion. The Entire Residential Mortgage Market is less than 12 trillion - so we've spent more than enough to pay off Every Single Mortgage in America..
2. The foreclosed houses have to be released to the market or there will be no stabilization - And as available housing is taken off the market rental prices will go up.
None of these will be addressed and obummer will find a way to bail out the banksters But make it appear that he's helping normal Americans.
That about sums it up. Thanks. Don't believe anything the O-snake says or does. The best thing he could do for the country is take the nixon flight outta town.
To anyone working in the housing market this has been so obvious from the beginning, it makes one wonder if anyone has any experience in real estate.
The Federal reserve took OUR money and lent it to corporations which were financially unable to pay their dept, defaulting with bad credit histories, guilty of FRAUD, causing a crash which has an equal only to the Great Depression, and while simultaneously perpetrating more of all the above.
They can indeed 'Lend Us Our Own Money!" at the current market rate.
From the beginning, the bailout funds to the banks should have been funneled to the banks From The Bottom Up. That is to say, a program similar to unemployment benefits to tide over until one is able to resume payments.
Would have stopped that "Moral Hazard" temptation of just giving HUMONGOUS BONUSES TO THE CRIMINALS.
Now we need a program which does the following
1. Simple, if you have a loan, you qualify for refinancing... (Banks got this)
2. No up front money required. Tack the financing fees to the end of the loan.
3. Behind in your payments, refinance anyway, with 24 months to attempt non default...
4. Still not enough, move to principle reduction program administered by Courts not banks or Feds. I'll take my chances with local judicial over-site.
5. No huge monetary add-on to refinance. Tacking on a huge chunk of interest to the back side of the loan is not allowed (Wells Fargo adds a chunk of interest with a 40 yr payout of interest, just to let one in the mortgage payment reduction program)
And if this is all too much to swallow, remember who is the victim here.
The crumbling of Mortgage Backed Securities was a fraud set up from the beginning.
1 )Get an unscrupulous hedge fund like Magnetar to bundle the mortgages that one knows will fail when the real estate market changes.
2) Offer them at a high return rate to unknowledgeable buyers. (Municipalities, Pensions, Charities, you know...Bernie Madoff type victims)
3) Take out a life insurance policy with AIG on your victim.
4) Keep doing this over and over and over. The stored Kinetic Energy becomes huge. A Fraud, A Weapon that is just waiting for the trigger to be pulled.
5) When the market can no longer absorb the magnitude of the fraud, it collapses under the fraud, and the direction and the velocity of money goes in only one direction....TO THE CORPORATIONS THAT PERPETRATED THE FRAUD.
Three other points.
1) Like Sweden, charge the Banks a quarter point to store their money in the overnight sweep funds. It will force them to lend out!!!! CONCEPT !!!
2) Mr. Schneiderman, Stand Your Ground. Never give the Banks immunity for future frauds yet undiscovered in exchange for the 50 state resolution to the Foreclosure Fraud. These guys deserve their just desserts.
3) Mr Obama, you need to skip Basketball and take up a good sport like Karate. It's focus is on Centering, Conditioning, Confidence. Hard Ball Strategies, and Tactics Relative to the Opponent. You are stronger than you think.
This is bank bailout part 2 (or 3, or 4). The gov will refi loans that are currently owned by banks, thus getting toxic assets off their books. After the refi, a lot of those loans are going to default and my tax dollars are gonna be used to back stop.
Oh well, the 50% that actually do pay taxes can't do much about it. You don't pay you get gov thugs with guns at your door.
This is half-assed measure and the homeowners are still going to get a crappier interest rate to pay for the refinance costs.
All government backed mortgages should AUTOMATICALLY lower the interest rates on existing mortgages when the rates go down. They could avoid a formal refinance by paying the difference to your mortgage (which is held by the government). For example you get a mortgage at 5%, the rates go down to 4%, the government pays itself the difference (e.g. 1%) on your mortgage held with them.
No credit check, appraisal or escrow needed.
Check out the real dirt happening right now with the coverup of the greatest theft in US history: http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2011/08/25-0
"the government pays itself the difference (e.g. 1%) on your mortgage held with them."
You know that's actually your taxes, right?
How about if mortgage rates go up?