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Arctic Defrost Dumping Snow on U.S. and Europe
UXBRIDGE, Canada - The world's northern freezer is on rapid defrost as large volumes of warm water are pouring into the Arctic Ocean, speeding the melt of sea ice, according to a new study.
Surface temperatures in parts of the Arctic have been 21 degrees C above normal for more than a month in recent weeks.
"Boats were still in the water during the first week of January," said David Phillips, a senior climatologist with Environment Canada, referring to southern Baffin Island, some 2,000 km north of Montreal. This is a region that receives just four or five hours of weak sunlight during the long winter. Temperatures normally range from -25 to -35 degrees C but were above zero on some days in January.
"It's impossible for many people in parts of the eastern Arctic to safely get on the ice to hunt much-needed food for their families - for the second winter in a row," Phillips said in a report.
The warming and melting of the Arctic is happening much faster than expected and new data reveals that huge volumes of warmer water from the North Atlantic are now flowing into and warming up the Arctic Ocean, researchers reported Friday in the journal Science.
"In the past hundred years the waters in the Fram Strait have warmed about two degrees C," says co-author Thomas Marchitto, of Colorado University's Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research.
The Fram Strait between Greenland and Svalbard (Spitsbergen) is the major connection between the Arctic Ocean and the world ocean. An international team of researchers analysed marine sediments and found that temperatures of the northward inflowing Atlantic water varied by just a few tenths of a degree Celsius during the past 2,000 years. However, in the last hundred years temperatures have shot up by two degrees C.
"What's happening here is very unusual compared to the last 2,000 years," Marchitto told IPS.
Climate change is believed to be behind this warmer water because over 90 percent of additional heat trapped in the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas is going into the oceans, he said.
"The accelerated decrease of the Arctic sea ice cover and the warming of ocean and atmosphere in the Arctic, as measured during the past decades, are in part related to an increased heat transfer from the Atlantic," said co-author Robert Spielhagen, a palaeoceanographer at the Academy of Sciences, Humanities and Literature in Mainz, Germany.
Sea ice has declined dramatically during the short Arctic summers in recent years, with some experts now projecting that the ice cover will be essentially gone in as little as five years. Just a few years ago, no one thought a summer ice-free Arctic could happen before 2060.
The warming Arctic and melting sea ice is a planetary-scale change since the Arctic Ocean covers 14 million sq km, an area almost as big as Russia. The Arctic and Antarctic polar regions are key drivers of Earth's weather and climate. The rapid defrosting of the Arctic has already altered the climate system, researchers now agree.
IPS previously broke the story revealing that the snow and cold in the eastern United States and Europe during the winter of 2009-10 was likely the result of the loss of Arctic sea ice. The same thing has happened this year.
As more and more sea ice melts, there is more open water to absorb the summer sun's heat. A day of 24-hour summer sun in the Arctic puts more heat on the surface of the ocean than a day in the tropics, James Overland of the NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in the United States told IPS.
That extra heat in the ocean is gradually released into the lower atmosphere from October to January as the region slowly re-freezes months later than normal. This is a fundamental change - a large part of the Arctic Ocean is radiating heat instead of being cold and ice-covered. That has disrupted wind circulation patterns in the northern hemisphere, reported Overland and other researchers at the International Polar Year Oslo Science Conference in Norway last June.
The result: the Arctic stays warm and mid-latitude regions become colder and receive more snow for much of the winter. Last December was the coldest south Florida has experienced in more than a century of record-keeping.
Most of Britain suffered through its coldest December ever. Up in the Arctic, Coral Harbour on the northwest corner of Hudson Bay was above zero degrees C for two days in early January for the first time in history. Much of the eastern Arctic centred around Baffin Island averaged +21C above normal between Dec. 17 and Jan. 15 this year.
This looks to be the new normal since Arctic experts agree the melting sea ice is now locked into a death spiral.
"In future, cold and snowy winters will be the rule rather than the exception" in the eastern United States and Europe, Overland previously told IPS.
This week the U.S. northeast suffered through its sixth major snowstorm this winter, breaking all snowfall records.
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117 Comments so far
Show AllSorry but I don't buy it. Prophesies of doom are not "being cautious," they are in fact reckless and detract from more reasoned and factual assessments.
The hysterical prophesies emanating from the looser thinkers in the enviro movement discredit the cause.
And your credentials in science are...?
I don't need a credential in science to deploy logical analysis in an effort to evaluate the strength of an argument.
Read my original post. I called out a commentor on his innaccurate summary of scientific opinion as expressed in the article. I don't need a science degree for that.
If only scientists have any value in the global warming debate, then why bother with all the popular discussion of glaobal warming.
Your little rebuttal really demonstrates an elitist prediliction for arguments to authority. This type of "scientific" argument was widely used by pro-nuclear power advocates in the 70's & 80's.
Try thinking for yourself, it's a wonderful experience.
dreamjoe...keep dreamin...we'll wake you when it's time to evacuate to............MARS
wow, some of you are dumber than dumber. Does the latest snow thing give you the least pause for thought about what the scientists have been saying? You guys who keep making like the enviro people are making too much of this, are you stupid or not really reading this stuff? And as for folks who have no science knowledge, learn the laws of thermodynamics, then come back and talk to us. If you don't understand that, there's no way you can get the concepts behind global climate change.
Calling people dumb and stupid always wins the debate. Another faux paus when debating global warming is to talk about the weather. Your post is a two-fer in my book. If you want to insult people, at least be imaginative about it. See my post on bowel movements as a case in point.
Insulting people's words is hardly new here. But saying that climate change and weather have nothing in common is the height of ignorance.
And why would one have to be imaginative about insults, talking about BMs is hardly imaginative. Unless you want to stick your finger in it and check your body temp.
Insults are supposed to be crass and uncalled for...that is why they call them insults.
PS I do wish people would reference who they are bashing...it would help lefty.
They're trying to keep pace with the Carbon Club BS machine!
For Bill Maher:
Climate change means that it will be hotter in some places and colder in others, but the net effect will be a warming of the earth
There is not much time left on the fever clock
In an effort for the world to stay cool,
Fast melts the worlds top ice block,
Until the north pole is a cosy warm pool.
So far global warming has been like a premonitory chill.
As sceptics say, it seems to be getting cooler every day.
Nothing like the fever when we really do become very ill.
When in pain and moribund in just about every way.
Every living thing on earth will feel more heat.
External fever and weakness is hard to beat.
To try and keep comfort and production rate,
We will turn up air-conditioning to compensate.
The gross body of humanity must start to waste,
Loose its appetite for consumption, and become chaste,
Take to its sick bed, and rest in quiet solitude.
Economize for a minimum, for a very long interlude.
To forcefully push onwards in restless drive,
and let its fever riddled delusions connive,
and continue fossil fuels global strife,
will soon rob it of all chance of long life.
One more link. The Arctic continues to be in record low territory for amount of Arctic ice around the end of January.
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png
So, warm water cascading into the Arctic Ocean should be the next addition to all those computerized climate models, so that they all exceed their worst cases yet again. I've noticed for a couple of years that the gap between Greenland and Ellesmere Island, at 82 degrees north, seems to have tranformed into an open water flume of icebergs exploding southward. Perhaps with all the Arctic melting that channel suddenly has no more ice dam to hinder the current. Even in late winter I can see the bergs zipping southwest on the Cryosphere Today animation.
"The climate is changing" is a ridiculously useless generalization. The point of climate science is first to be specific and numerically accurate about how much, and how fast, climate is changing where. If someone is unwilling to use this level of detail in their arguments, it makes it hard to take them seriously enough to even know how to counter their 'arguments' with facts.
it's also important to remember that scientific knowledge is almost never changed significantly by one study. A single study adds to, or reduces, the likelihood of a hypothesis that, if of any general value, is supported by hundreds or thousands of studies. Or sometimes a study points out a whole new mechanism or phenomenon that we haven't noticed yet.
But single studies don't prove or disprove anything in the general case. That is to say, there are no POSSIBLE results of the mentioned study that would 'disprove' manmade global warming as a hypothesis, nor are there any results that would 'prove' it if there were no other supporting data.
I'd swear the biggest mistake made in the whole climate debate was to label it 'global warming' instead of 'global weirding' in the first place.
I'd swear the biggest mistake made in the whole climate debate was to label it 'global warming' instead of 'global weirding' in the first place.
-----------------------------------------
I'm fairly sure that was intentional propaganda on the part of the MSM (ergo ruling class), designed to make the changes seem cozy and benign rather than the motivation for 300M people to hunt those parasites down and hang them from lampposts.
Lefty I see where dreamjoe let someone have it...not too nice that.
""""""""This looks to be the new normal since Arctic experts agree the melting sea ice is now locked into a death spiral.
"In future, cold and snowy winters will be the rule rather than the exception" in the eastern United States and Europe, Overland previously told IPS.
This week the U.S. northeast suffered through its sixth major snowstorm this winter, breaking all snowfall records.""""""""
and did you see that snowcane over the US this week???????
end quote over and out down the drain spiraled off the cliff good bye cruel world
hahahhahahahahahahahahah
He definitely had a bad hair day. He seemed to be all over the map as well. Do you want me to throw you a life preserver?
please yes, make it lime flavored