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World Food Prices Enter 'Danger Territory' to Reach Record High
UN food price index rises for sixth month in a row to highest since records began in 1990
Soaring prices of sugar, grain and oilseed drove world food prices to a record in December, surpassing the levels of 2008 when the cost of food sparked riots around the world, and prompting warnings of prices being in "danger territory".
An index compiled monthly by the United Nations surpassed its previous monthly high – June 2008 – in December to reach the highest level since records began in 1990. Published by the Rome-based Food and Agriculture Organisation, the index tracks the prices of a basket of cereals, oilseeds, dairy, meat and sugar, and has risen for six consecutive months.
Abdolreza Abbassian, FAO economist, told the Guardian: "We are entering a danger territory." But he stressed that the situation was not yet as bad as 2008.
Sugar and meat prices are at record levels while cereal prices are back at the levels last seen in 2008 when riots in Haiti killed four people and riots in Cameroon left 40 people dead.
Abbassian warned prices could rise higher still, amid fears of droughts in Argentina and floods in Australia and cold weather killing plants in the northern hemisphere.
"There is still room for prices to go up much higher, if for example the dry conditions in Argentina tend to become a drought, and if we start having problems with winterkill in the northern hemisphere for the wheat crops," Abbassian said.
Prices have been rising steadily but Abbassian said that by now he had been expecting food prices to start to fall because many poorer countries had good harvests last year.
But this has not happened after unpredictable weather caused a poor wheat crop in Russia. Last year European wheat prices doubled, US corn prices rose more than 50% and US soybean prices jumped more than 30%.
The current floods in Australia have the potential to affect prices for commodities such as sugar and cane growers are warning of production problems for up to three years. Wheat supplies are expected to affected – Australia is the fourth largest wheat exporter – and the country is also the largest exporter of coking coal, production of which is also being affected by the floods.
At the same time demand from emerging countries such as China and India was strong.
But, Abbassian played down concern that the rising food prices could cause fresh riots as happened two years ago when the price of cereals was largely the cause of the problem along with a dramatic spike in the price of oil. He noted that another rise in the oil price – currently around $95 a barrel – could exacerbate the problem. While oil is rising in price, and forecasters are suggesting it could hit $100, it is still well below the $145 peak it reached in July 2008 on a wave of buying by international speculators.
The FAO food index hit 215 points last month, up from 206 in November, to break the 213.5 registered in June 2008. It shows a dramatic rise in prices for food in a decade. In 2000 the index stood at 90 and did not break through 100 until 2004.
Economists are on guard for spikes in inflation around the world, which might force up interest rates which in the developed world are at historically low levels as a result of the banking crisis.
Julian Jessop, chief international economist at Capital Economics, said: "The upward pressure on inflation this year from the recent surge in the cost of agricultural commodities will be much greater than that from the pick-up in oil prices".
Jessop said the price of oil was rising largely as result of demand caused by a rebound in global industrial activity. "In contrast, the surge in agricultural food prices is largely a consequence of supply shocks, such as droughts in major wheat producing countries. These have been compounded by speculative pressures."
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11 Comments so far
Show All"rebound in indusrtial activity" Agriculture as practised today IS an idustrial activity and requires huge quatities of oil, from production to distribution, and don't forget packaging. The producers of food will, of course, do fine, no matter what.
It's just speculators, as always faking shortage. The helpfull drones in the ECO and End/Oil movements have been willing dupes, empowering these bankster sociopaths to pull any silly stunts they want! With our food no-less!
Fear not it will end........ in blood
>^^<
Grow your own food! Right now you can go to www.fedcoseeds.com (a non-profit co-op with a huge and excellent selection) and get a catalog of their seeds, or order from their online catalog, including any tools you might need.
Their hand-drawn pictures and descriptions - all on newsprint, no color - are fascinating, and instructions on how to grow each plant are plain and really good.
Growing a food garden isn't just a hobby thing anymore - industrialized, processed food is sickening people. If you want to stay strong, either buy organic or grow your own organic vegetables, and chickens which you feed organically for eggs.
Can't stress the importance of having independent food sources - unless you like being dependent on Monsanto the Evil, et al for your health, for fake food that goes into every cell of your body.
Every year for the past dozen or so, more food has been eaten in the world than has been produced. At some point, even if you have money, the food may not be on the shelves.
Lots of help getting started is available on the web and from local organic gardeners/farmers, as well as from good seed catalogs. Everything is easy once you know how.
Check out http://www.foodnotlawns.net/
The soil in my vegetable garden is infested with nematodes. So I dug up part of my lawn and used the new soil to produce an abundant crop.
However, growing ones own food is not so simple. It is a constant war with mother nature and her minions including cabbage worms, wire worms, birds, rabbits, squirrels, tomato worms, fugus, mildew, slugs, snails, rats, cut worms, soil grubs, white flies and nematodes.
Then there is bee colony collapse disorder which will reduce crop yields, bat die off in New England which will increase the harmful insect population, and especially UG98 wheat stem fungus which will devestate the main food source for more and more countries.
Not to mention that you cannot possibly ever produce everything you need.
Food is an internationally traded commodity. It's role in feeding folks is secondary or tertiary. The Banksters are flush with free money from the Fed's QE policy.
They turn around and invest the money by speculating on commodities. Food and oil are back in bubble territory. This is what the Fed wants: re-flate the bubble so the Banksters can reap more obscene profits. Of course this is all done with our money, yet we have no say in the matter. Some democracy eh.
When we live in an economic and financial dictatorship, political democracy is only window-dressing - a public relations management tool.
Very well said. I'll have to quote this sometime. (And give due credit, of course.)
ding!
Yep. This is all part of the grand plan. Just a repetition of something pulled by Wall Street already. They gamble & millions starve. When will we all collectively wake up to the evil these types (a very, very small minority) are doing to the big, big majority and to our Mother, the Earth?
Prices here in rural northwestern Ohio are up, on average, more than 20% in the past 6 weeks. Some items have more than doubled in price. Only milk is holding steady, so far. (Cheese is up more than 20%.)
Continued US Government policy "Welfare for the Wealthy" at work.