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Chorus of Progressive Economists: Govt. Must Spur Demand to End Recession
Largely oblivious to the reality among working families grappling with unemployment, wage cuts, and trying to avoid foreclosures, conservative politicians (mostly GOP, but also a considerable number of Democrats) are building momentum for an assault on federal budget deficits by slashing government spending.
The Republican approach to deficit cutting is certain to extinguish any hope of economic recovery, bluntly declared Dean Baker. (photo by Flickr user bredgur) But more than 300 economists have countered with a strong statement calling calling instead for the opposite solution: a vigorous expansion of federal stimulus efforts—and the deficit—to lift the economy out of the persisting Great Recession.
"The deficit focus risks repeating the mistakes of1937, when FDR pulled back on public spending and plunged us back into the depths of a very deep recession," former Labor Secretary Robert Reich told reporters Thursday on a national conference call with several of the country's most prominent progressive economic experts. "We're in danger of deflation, continued recession, and not getting out of this recession."
The economic recovery is anything but vigorous, as shown by a weak 1.6% level of growth during the second quarter and a rise in poverty, which now afflicts 43 million people, the highest level in a half-century. Other fundamental problems remain, the economists point out:
"The basic problem is a lack of demand," argued economist Dean Baker of the Center on Economic and Policy Research, and author most recently of Plunder and Blunder. "Yet it is striking that we've had a dominant narrative that's 180 degrees at odds with reality." As the economists wrote:
Today, the economy is growing only weakly. 7.8 million jobs have been lost in the recession. Consumers, having suffered losses in home values and retirement savings, are tightening their belts. The business sector, uncertain about consumer spending, is reluctant to invest in expansion or job creation, leaving the economy trapped on a path of slow growth or stagnation. Over 20 million American workers are now unemployed, underemployed or simply have given up looking for a job.
The increase in deficits and long-term federal debt is hardly due to anti-recessionary spending, explained Baker.
REAL ROOTS OF DEFICIT
The largest portion of the federal debt is due to unfunded tax cuts and two wars enacted during the George W. Bush administration, Baker noted. President Obama's $787 billion stimulus plan and other initiatives comprise only a fraction of the red ink, but they weren't sufficient to generate enough consumer demand to escape the recession.
"Emergency stimulus policies here and around the world broke the fall, but brought us only part way to full recovery," the economists' statement declared.
The push for drastic deficit-cutting flies in the face of logic and the hard-learned lessons of the 1930's, the statement read:
History suggests that a tenuous recovery is no time to practice austerity. In the Great Depression, Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal generated growth and reduced the unemployment rate from 25 percent in 1932 to less than 10 percent in 1937.
However, the deficit hawks of that era persuaded President Roosevelt to reverse course prematurely and move toward budget balance. The result was a severe recession that caused the economy to contract sharply and sent the unemployment rate soaring. Only the much larger wartime spending of the early 1940s produced a full recovery.
"Austerity economics" will not provide the level of consumer demand needed to rekindle the economy and bring down unemployment, the economists argue.
"There are four sources of demand for business," explained Reich. "The first are consumers, who are buried in debt. Second, there is business, which is sitting on more than a trillion dollars in profits but not plowing it back into new machinery and not hiring because they don't see the customers." Exports, another demand source, offer limited hope, as other advanced nations are also in a slump...
ONLY GOVERNMENT CAN BOLSTER DEMAND
"Finally, there is government as a consumer, when all else fails," Reich said.
President Obama has taken some steps in the right direction recently to prevent layoffs and service cuts in the public sector and to aid small businesses, but needs to act much more boldly, said Robert Borosage, president of the Institute for America's Future. Borosage urged a vast expansion of stimulus and public sector job-creation programs, especially for young people coupled with tax cuts for all but the richest 3%.
Democratic "deficit hawks" should recognize that deferring the problems of prolonged high unemployment and weak consumer demand will play directly into the Republicans' hands. "The Democrats who are worried about the deficit need to remember that the Republicans are not averse to seeing a bad economy going into the next election, because it's not in their political self-interest," Reich stated.
Not only is a choice of trimming the deficit over stimulating the economy bad politics, but it is bad policy, argued Reich. "Democrats must understand that government has responsibility but opportunity, with low interest rates, to rebuild the nation's infrastructure. ... If we wait to rebuild the infrastructure, we will face much a higher bill to repair it later on."
Robert Kuttner, co-founder of The American Prospect and author of A Presidency in Peril, said that the nation faced a choice between "a high road to recovery or a low road to fiscal balance."
RECOVERY BEFORE TACKLING DEFICIT
"We need the proper sequencing: first, recovery via adequate stimulus and job creation programs. And then we can go to work on the deficit with much lower unemployment and much less need for the government to spend. The idea that we can belt-tighten our way to recovery defies every proven theory in economics," Kuttner stressed.
Even the most valuable forms of government spending are coming into the gun sights of conservatives, the expertss noted. Teresa Ghilarducci, author of When I'm 64: The Plot Against Pensions, outlined how Social Security—once under attack from the Right, as in Rep. Paul Ryan's (R-Wis.) "Roadmap for America"—is preventing the current downturn from growing much worse.
"Social Security benefit increases are more necessary than ever because of the collapse of the private pension system," as the shrinkage of union strength has allowed employers to switch, with federal subsidies, to less-expensive 401K plans that provide a smaller and much more unreliable source of retirement income.
With the pension system weakened for workers, Social Security's role has been critical during the present crisis. The program's existence has held down unemployment by allowing older workers to retire rather than continue in the job market. It has also bolstered consumer demand, she said.
But because of the Right's longstanding ideological hostility to all forms of "social insurance," as Kuttner put it, Social Security is under attack again, including recent barbs by the former Sen. Alan Simpson, co-chair of the presidential commission on debt.
Meanwhile, the Republicans are eagerly yanking on the cords on their chainsaws, hoping that the Nov. 2 mid-term elections will allow them to start lopping off $100 billion in domestic spending, which Minority Leader John Boehner recently declared as the GOP's goal.
The Republican approach to deficit cutting is certain to extinguish any hope of economic recovery, bluntly declared Dean Baker.
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95 Comments so far
Show AllDante
Well said.
I have yet to figure out what is wrong with a little "Protectionism"? Most of our trading partners are certainly using it and making monkey's out of us while doing it.
"American jobs will continue to dwindle as long as American's are forced to compete on a global wage scale." that includes effectively, slave wages, no worker protection expenses, no enviornmental protection expenses, child labor and no support for their citizens such as SS or Medicare to name a few.
All major Industrial nations used Portectionism to defend those industries. The US has a history of being one of the most "Protectionist" in the world. As example imports of Trains made in England had a huge tariff slapped on to them so that American Industry could get off the ground.
Without that protectionism the US would have taken far longer to Industrialize.
Now Once an industry reaches the size where it can be "Competitive" and survive in the world market, they no longer want ptotectionism. They want the Worlds markets opened to them.
" The US has a history of being one of the most "Protectionist" in the world"
Lets return to our historical roots then. Bring on the protectionist's policies!
Since September 2008 the only people left who trust economists are other economists. As a young man I trusted John Kenneth Galbraith. Today, I would not ask an economist for the =time of day=. Talk about a dismal science!
We are in a mind-boggling, societal, philosophical crisis. Why? Because the lesson of the last two years is this: 21st century democracy cannot control 21st century Capitalism. Any decent referee would jump in between the combatants, stop the fight, and quickly have the ring physician examine American democracy.
Making Capitalism accountable to Democracy again is the Himalayan burden now being dumped upon the poor thin shoulders of Elizabeth Warren. Why am I the only person seeing this? Where the hell are the pundits? Where is David Gergen?
To even HOLD an election next November is psychologically cruel. It generates hope in the struggling and drowning masses that =being a good and dutiful citizen= and =organizing= and turning out to vote will return the clock to Ozzie & Harriet, David & and Ricky. [I can hear folks asking: Who are they?] Hope devastates.
Years ago Bill Moyers opined: "Democracy has been stolen." A handful of people listened to him. Perhaps what Bill needed to say was that our democracy has been kidnapped by psychopathic capitalists and - in some hidden location - is being sexually assaulted over and over again. The kidnappers send us ransom notes every single day, from AIG and those to whom we gave bailout money. But, just as in real kidnapping, our chances of getting democracy safely returned to us is zero.
We are in crisis. What would Thomas Jefferson expect of us? What would Henry Steele Commager expect of us? What would Abe Fortas expect of us? What would Dr. Ernest Gruening expect of us? What would Edward R. Morrow expect of us? While the world watches, this entire nation is a herd of deer in headlights.
Well said Trylon. Another well-kept secret hiding in plain sight. How does it all end? I believe we will soon find out.
So far my Society for Socially Responsible Nihilists has one member. My battle cry is: "If this overwhelming evidence doesn't make a Nihilist out of you, then you don't know or comprehend what the hell is going on around you and around the planet."
Nature's experiment with self-consciousness as a survival mechanism was a colossal failure. We simply resent admitting it. It sits ignored at the back of some cosmic fridge, like a kids' forgotten Science Project.
Trylon
This article starts off pretty good, but then gets bogged down in whining about the deficits, which actually are part of the solution to the problem as long as they're spent on working people who actually create the wealth in the first place. The rich and super rich just take what we produce except for the old money ones. We have to keep that in mind. We need deficits and we need to get rid of all this dogma about balanced budgets which should have gone out witht the fall of the Weimar Republic which did balance its budget and made its depression worse and helped pave the way for the Nazis coming to power.
AD
Excellent article Roger...
I'm of the mind that the ONE THING that caused the crash is our corrupt political system.
Politicians took cash bribes and passed NAFTA, CAFTA, and GATT that made it financially attractive to CEOs to outsource jobs to countries with lower wages. They even give taxpayer-funded subsidies to companies that outsource to India… money that should instead be spent on creating jobs in America.
Campaign bribes also succeeded in getting congress to repeal the Glass-Steagall banking regulations in 1999 that were put into place following the crash in the 1930′s. Thanks guys.
If campaign contributions created this problem, only public funding of campaigns can reverse it.
Jack Lohman
So, Jill, do you see everything as some vast conspiracy? Obama and most democrats have better ideas than the lockstep 'do-nothing good' republicans. Most dems do want to raise taxes on the rich. At least Obama has not started 2 wars. A lot of the bail out money has been repaid. Calling Obama's plans "identical to Bush's plan" is disingenuous. They are different even if the differences are smaller than you and I would like. Republicans will likely gain more power in the coming years and things will get worse for the average person and the poor. When this occurs, in a few years, you can at least feel good that you stood up for your principles and either didn't vote or voted third party. I hope the satisfaction that you feel at that time, will bring you peace.
"Obama and most democrats have better ideas than the lockstep 'do-nothing good' republicans."
If that is true, then why didn't they put any of them on the table?
"Most dems do want to raise taxes on the rich."
They have disproven that after what they have been doing these last few months waffling even on that simple issue. They had the majority to stop renewing the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy but they blew it !
"At least Obama has not started 2 wars."
You're right. He didn't start them but he continued them and made them worse. Tell me, do you like replacing troops with mercenaries in Iraq and diverting the troops to Afghanistan and pouring more mercenaries into Afghanistan?
"A lot of the bail out money has been repaid."
Horse feathers ! The rich goons know how to cook up those books and since everything is privatized and this administration is against transparency despite lying about his promise to be transparent, how do we really know?
"Calling Obama's plans "identical to Bush's plan" is disingenuous. They are different even if the differences are smaller than you and I would like."
Smaller as in a shade less bad looking or "smaller" as in sneakily worse?
"Republicans will likely gain more power in the coming years and things will get worse for the average person and the poor."
True but the Democrats who are there will be happy to see to it that most of them get that job done. Let say we have a 100 politicians where 35 are Democrat and 65 are Republican. There is a close vote on a dangerously "conservative" policy and 20 of those Republicans are against it. It won't take long to bring in 6 Democrats on board. It happened on CAFTA when the vote was close in the House and even on Terri Schiavo, the Democrats could have easily stopped this tragedy from burning the Constitution but they didn't. Remember Terri Schiavo? See this, http://www.moderateindependent.com/v3i6democracy.htm.
"When this occurs, in a few years, you can at least feel good that you stood up for your principles and either didn't vote or voted third party. I hope the satisfaction that you feel at that time, will bring you peace."
It's not about that. It's about fighting for what's true and best for this country. Do you know why working class whites really vote Republican? I'll bet not. Read this and weep, http://www.moderateindependent.com/v1i16ifiwant.htm .
If you want to fix the Democratic Party, first we must bring it to its knees. We need to crush the Democratic Party Elite, the power structure that ensures the continuance of the Good Cop, Bad Cop games that only maintain the status quo. Unless you can vote for an insurgent Democrat or a decent third party, you should vote Republican. The decline of the American Empire is a mathematical certainty at this point. In a winner-take-all system with two corporate parties, the people will always ultimately lose. We can continue to vote for the slow, grinding oppression under Democrats or we can let the Republicans destroy all hope of maintaining the current system of subsistence servitude that passes for business as usual in this country. Your choice. Destroy the Democrats to fix Democracy, the Republicans will destroy themselves.
"Unless you can vote for an insurgent Democrat or a decent third party, you should vote Republican."
I wouldn't vote for a Republican unless that Republican can promise something progressive or liberal. What about writing in a candidate?
Here's one more difference. Mike Huckabee now says we must not allow people with pre-existing health problems to get insurance. He wants to repeal this from Obama's new health care legislation. In other words, if you don't have the money, stay sick or die. Now this is a real difference in philosophy. It's goddamn life and death. It's not "no dif between dems and repubs."
I DON'T support the troops. As long as they are occupying foreign lands the people in those lands have the moral responsibility to get them to leave by whatever means necessary. The Iraqi and Afghani "insurgents" (patriots) are the moral equivalent of the French Resistance and the American Sons of Liberty. The troops should mutiny. They have to realize that they are only being used by people who don't care when they are maimed or killed.
Very well said. I don't support the troops either, since I don't support contract killers.
I support real heroes like Muhammad Ali and Lt. Watada for refusing to fight for war profiteers.
Three paragraphs in you realise this article is a complete waste of time.
At that point I go directly to the comment boards, where you are bound to find very insightful commentary - as was the case here.
If I may distill some of the most pertinent in my view:
1) using the same thought processess to extract ourselves from this situation as those which created it is completely useless. Trying to continue patching and Band-Aid-ing Capitalism will only result in exactly what it has produced throughout its history - poverty, misery and an untouchable elite class which runs the system for only their benifit. Clearly a new economic/societal model is needed.
2)the days of infinite cheap energy are over which will dictate a new way of living within the limits of what is available. The fossile fuel bonanza provide a period unlike any other - sort of like a locust bloom... over-running the globe with people, industrial agriculture, cheap products and materials. This era is coming to a rapid close and will necessetate a new mode of living and smaller global population.
3) The rich need to be taxed progressively as they were in the 50's & 60's in an attempt to de-stratify society, but given the current soft corporate fascism model of government, this clearly will not happen. The rich will never abandon a system which they created precisely for wealth concentration. Which necessitates #1 above.
4) the Military is a true relic of a barbaric nation intent on stealing everything they can from poor but resource rich nations, causing untold misery and devastation. For the human species to continue to exist in an era of ever more potent and lethal weapons an end to militarization must be part of the plan otherwise we are all doomed
5) I am afraid that I agree with those pesimists who believe that things will have to get much worse before enough people open their minds to new possibilities. The current system will have to implode due to its own inherent contradictions and wanton corruption. Which I believe is happening at this very moment and makes these incredibly interesting and challenging times.
Well said.
If you want to fix democracy and the Democratic Party, first we must bring it to its knees. We need to crush the Democratic Party Elite, the power structure that ensures the continuance of the Good Cop, Bad Cop games that only maintain the status quo. Unless you can vote for an insurgent Democrat or a decent third party, you should vote Republican. The decline of the American Empire is a mathematical certainty at this point. In a winner-take-all system with two corporate parties, the people will always ultimately lose. We can continue to vote for the slow, grinding oppression under Democrats or we can let the Republicans destroy all hope of maintaining the current system of subsistence servitude that passes for business as usual in this country. Your choice. Destroy the Democrats to fix Democracy, the Republicans will destroy themselves.
The evidence of the effective results of the previous stimulus spending makes the claims of these "economists" absurd.
The argument that we just didn't spend enough should embarrass anyone with an education above the third grade.
And anyone that would believe that Geitner and gang would spend any new stimulus money differently or that the money would go to different places than the last, really shouldn't be out without their attendant.
The previous stimulus spending went into the wrong places, obviously. But it doesn't have to be this way. $50 million going straight to Pittsburgh Public transit operating expenses would have a great stimulative effect right now.
It doesn't have to be that way at all, unfortunately I firmly believe any other "stimulus" money would travel the same path.
How about 25 million there and 25 million for Detroit and let them start removing abandonded houses. Has anyone noticed the type of houses built after WW2, size, etc? Whats wrong with neighborhoods like that for starters? In fact those neighborhoods are still there I think.
I believe that they are already working on removing the abandoned houses or renovating them. I don't know which but either way, it will be just like New Orleans, cleanse the poor and give the ruling class more home and land space. The neighborhoods don't have to be removed and public transportation can be built.
the real progressive thing to do is
to stop participating in the global capitalist game
in every way possible, and
start building, or joining, just and peaceful alternative ways of life.
Creating a strong public sector through increased government spending on public services IS to "stop participating in capitalist game" - or the beginning of it anyway.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
We just had two terms of Bush's fiscally insane tax cuts for the super-rich during wartime when we had not one but multiple wars for which to pay. Since the super-rich didn't chip in their fair share to help pay for these wars--which profited them as an economic class the most--the U.S. government had to borrow money plus interest from the Chinese to help cover our annual military budgets. Several of those budgets under Bush II and now under Obomber were and are in excess of $700 Billion dollars. That's more than twice the $300 Billion dollar a year peak of the Cold War Pentagon's annual budget when we faced the LEGITIMATE threat of global thermonuclear war (and came close to it in the early '60s).
Economists are calling the Bush years THE LOST DECADE because there were no net new jobs created by the end of his second term in office. Bush II stated that his tax cuts for the rich would help create 300,000 new jobs every month. He only met that quota two months during the 88 months of his two terms BEFORE the November 2008 near collapse of the big banks.
There is no historical evidence whatsoever to support the spurious right-wing contention that tax cuts for the super-rich lead to significant job creation--even during pre-"free trade" era economic booms--let alone during wartime combined with a severe deflationary economic contraction. The fact that the expiration of these tax cuts for the already hideously bloated plutocratic parasites of our real economy is even being debated in this country under present economic circumstances blares, once again, to the rest of the developed world what a dumbed-down, brainwashed, fascist Orwellian cesspool that post-Bush "Amurka" has become.
Spot on Metal.
If we want to fix democracy and the Democratic Party, first we must bring it to its knees. We need to crush the Democratic Party Elite, the power structure that ensures the continuance of the Good Cop, Bad Cop games that only maintain the status quo. Unless you can vote for an insurgent Democrat or a decent third party, you should vote Republican. The decline of the American Empire is a mathematical certainty at this point. In a winner-take-all system with two corporate parties, the people will always ultimately lose. We can continue to vote for the slow, grinding oppression under Democrats or we can let the Republicans destroy all hope of maintaining the current system of subsistence servitude that passes for business as usual in this country. Your choice. Destroy the Democrats to fix Democracy, the Republicans will destroy themselves.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
I can't hold down my dinner and vote Republican but I'm done voting Democrat even at the State and local level now. In my State the Dims have been fielding teams mostly of 20-somethings to do their fundraising for them. Their first day on the job they have to raise $150 or they are summarily fired--which they don't tell them until the day they go out. One buddy of mine took one of these jobs, was kicked out the first day for failing to make quota, and then when he was due to be paid for that one day they never paid him. He has since left several voice mails and they ignore him. The Dimocrap Party is filled with hacks on the make from top to bottom now. The big difference between it and the GOP is that Rethuglicans are arrogant towards Dimocraps but don't treat rank & file Joe Sixpack Republicans like shit. The Dimocraps snot all over their own supporters--especially the poorer and more authentically progressive one is. It's a traitor Party that deserves to fall. I'm just not going to vote but try to push for the organization of a brand new, baggage free, truly progressive replacement Party for the Dim Party.
That is right and now we have seen the dems with all the controls and the military budget increased.
Dumber than beans.
Go team.
Hope you are getting by, Buck
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
Getting by just barely and hanging by a thread. Thanks for your comment.
Unfortunately, we are not in a recession or depression. We're in a permanent poverty economy, where the amount of wealth taken by the super-rich is so huge that most people don't have enough to participate in the economy. So things stop working.
So government stimulus will provide short-term relief, but will not get us "out of the recession." Only greater equality can do that.
Similar to "The Nation", "In These Times" talks populist but is hamstrung as they fall for the hope that the Democrats have the right plan to stimulate the economy. Obama is already working on terminating Social Security so the Republicans won't have to. If government is interested in spurring demand, how about not signing up children to "serve" and how about getting us some domestic jobs and production back home so can help the environment and stop being behind other nations? Perhaps we should consider moving the nation's capital from the east coast to Topeka for what it's worth. Middle America would get the right attention on jobs.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power." I don't know about relocating the capitol to Topeka. Middle America long ago abandoned its populist history and most Kansans have voted against their own interests for years.
I was thinking that moving the capital to Topeka would also help reverse that attitude of Kansans. One could argue that even the bluest places in the country vote against their own interests similar to Kansans.
"The basic problem is a lack of demand," Nonsense! The U.S. is the largest market in the world that everyone wants to export to.Thats the problem. The money Americans are spending is leaving the country via our huge trade deficit.We need to bring back the jobs we lost overseas by restricting imports, just as almost every other nation does,and start balancing our trade deficit. Our budget deficit would take care of itself.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
I agree about restoring import tariffs. The "free trade" regime should be slowly phased out over 7 to 10 years on an industrial sector-by-sector basis. But if that occurred it would stimulate demand by helping restore at least some offshored domestic manufacturing. Lack of demand is definitely a big part of the problem; how to go about creating it is the issue.
This article makes clear the difference between basic progressives and greens - and that we're not a monolith here. I take absolute exception to the premise of this article. Why do we want our old economy back? It was thoroughly greased with injustice: sweatshop conditions abroad, unforgivable pollution, bloody resource-driven wars, concentration of wealth into corrupt and self-serving hands, devastation of critical ecosystems, greenhouse gasses. Doesn't anyone remember that the price of gas was spiking on account of demand to the point where our petroleum-driven food chain was leaving a lot of people out in the cold? Doesn't anyone remember the food riots around the world in 2008?
The recession has had a silver lining - it eased overconsumption that was rising to critical levels. If we go back to doing what we were doing we'll be bankrupting ourselves ecologically, and that's a far worse horror story than anything that can happen on Wall Street.
You really want more demand under the current system? That means more oil demand. That means more offshore drilling, pressure to cut costs from more expensive production, and systemically, more accidents like the one with the Deepwater Horizon. There's no extricating these issues from each other. How much of the ocean do you want to kill?
We can actually live happily on a fraction of the wealth we have if we redistribute it more evenly and employ it in a sustainable manner. Kerala in India is a good example of how first-world literacy, life expectancy, and quality of life can be achieved on a third world budget. We need to focus on replacing a broken and destructive machine, not revving it up again.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
You insist on limiting your choices to returning to our old economy or altering 250-plus years of cultural history by making Americans, sans a coherent plan, shift to live like people in Kerala, India. You are amorally ignoring the front-end human cost in suffering, lost potential and lives by suggesting a non-descript process of economic and ecological transition of the U.S. to Third World conditions in a part of India. This idea would NEVER sell even to the poorest of Americans. The need to stimulate demand in the economy is the secondary issue here. The primary issue is how to go about stimulating that demand in what type of economy. America needs a carefully and comprehensively planned paradigm shift to a Green New Deal. That would be some transitional middle ground at least from the present failed system towards a low-tech, agricultural/livestock herding economy such as the one you posit--if the degeneration of the global biosphere forces such conditions, which it very well might.
There's a serious contradiction here. We need to increase demand but our environment says we need to decrease consumption. I'm curious as to how these "progressive" economists plan on overcoming that basic contradiction.
We aren't going to spend our way out of this problem. We might as well have Junior at the helm again. We need to embark on developing clean, sustainable and renewable modes of living. If we do this, jobs will come. An interstate mass transit system would employ many. Putting solar panels on every roof in America would employ many more. Restoring our manufacturing base to build and produce life's necessities like clothing would employ more.
Rising GDP is a death sentence. Any political party or ideology that views this as a solution is really selling you a toxic bill of goods.
I agree that and endless-growth economy is ultimately suicide. But "Demand" does not have to always be for resource-intensive goods. It can be for literature, information and knowledge, art, cuisine, theatre and musical performances - all things that use few natural resources and don't generate waste. The creative human labor involved, the added-value, and the specialized skills and talents, could make this the basis for economic activity that used much less resources.
Indeed, that was SUPPOSED to have been the promise of the "Information Age" they talked so much about in the 1980's-1990s - an economy where access to, and management of, knowledge was the main commodity.
Absolutely agree. I would very much like to own a laptop made by my neighbor, own an iPhone that wasn't made by someone forced to work 36 consecutive hours and who then committed suicide. That obviously isn't going to happen with the current system.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
The "official" prog economists are neo-Keynesians who, in corporatist-lite denial, support the "free trade" regime. John Maynard Keynes himself never had to make his policy ideas surmount the "free trade" hurdle to restoration of offshored, previously domestic manufacturing. I doubt he would have supported "free trade," especially after watching it in action for 16 years the way many of us have. These "official" prog corporatist-lite economists would similarly deny that "our environment says we need to decrease consumption." If any of them, including Paul Krugman, seriously GOT that, then they would continually decry the exporting of the environmentally unsustainable U.S./EU neo-liberal economic model to over-populated China and India. Even the attempt to create a middle-class in those countries that is as large (population percentage-wise) and resource consumptive as the pre-2000 American middle-class is doomed to economically fail and be ecologically devastating on a regional and global basis.
There are many enlightened domestic manufacturing based economic transitions we could make in the U.S. towards an economically comprehensive Green New Deal that would move us away from the present, more toxic and wasteful 1950s era energy/resources paradigm and at least be a positive transition step until we can figure out something ultimately truly sustainable of which the majority of the people can be convinced. But we don't have the right thinkers running the system and both dominant Parties are hopelessly obsolete. The Amurkan masses are dumbed-down, brainwashed, deliberately corporately divided against themselves, confused and de-coupled from reality. Amurka probably must suffer the consequences of this before anything, if ever, gets better. Neither Dr. James Lovelock nor I am betting on post-Bush "Amurka."
Reducing armed forces spending, legalizing Cannabis, and taxing internationals are all good things to do.
What about taking donated money or using a small carbon tax to Fund a Cool Gaia. I'd use it to stop the huge methane volcano — rising temperatures are melting permafrost which is releasing long-frozen biological materials.
First I'd try different ways to temporarily reduce this warming locally. Whitewashing soils or forests, for instance. As they travel, planes or ships might distribute calcium or iron to improve the environment.
Then I'd think about the poor of the world. Those living off the land are self-sufficient. When farmers, ranchers, or miners take their ecosystems' better lands, they're forced to move to cities, towns, or camps to get enough food.
If each was given a small credit each year, 50 wanderers who need water to maintain their ecosystem would have enough credit for the manufacture, transportation, and installation of a windmill-driven well, a wastewater line from a city (segregated sewage only).
Haiti suffers from denuded, muddy areas. This fund could fund a local nursery and pay locals to plant trees.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
These are some good ideas and some of them I've never heard of before. Please tell us more in greater detail.
Because of overpopulation, there is no longer any solution to the problems we face.
The Moguls know this. In their minds, ‘Here’s To Me, Fuck You’ is the best they can come up with. Their lame idea of starving the beast (such as eliminating ‘seniors’, offering others’ young as cannon fodder, etc.) is too timid to offer a real solution. The kill ratio is simply not of sufficient scale.
The only real solution is all-out Nuclear War. Souls simply need to be liberated from life on this planet. With luck, entire gene-pools will be eliminated.
Trouble is – many of us ‘little people’ will suffer and die as well.
Cicero: "Freedom is participation in power."
Even without nuclear war, within 75 years on the present environmental vs. capitalism vs. over-population course billions of human beings will have started to die over what will be a very short and horrific period.