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Nobel Laureate Stiglitz Says EU Austerity Is Wrong Bet
BUDAPEST - The European Union will prolong the global downturn if policymakers in the bloc's big economies insist on austerity measures to cut budget deficits, Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said on Tuesday.
Stiglitz, winner of the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2001, said austerity as a policy to end the global crisis was a 'disaster', adding that Europe was heading towards more economic difficulties if politicians meant what they say when they promised to cut back spending rather than just trying to calm down markets. Stiglitz, winner of the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2001, said austerity as a policy to end the global crisis was a 'disaster', adding that Europe was heading towards more economic difficulties if politicians meant what they say when they promised to cut back spending rather than just trying to calm down markets.
'If that (austerity) happens I think it is likely that the economic downturn will last far longer and human suffering will be all the greater,' he said.
Historical evidence showed that increased state spending rather than austerity measures can help economies emerge from recession, he said.
'In spite of all that evidence there is a drumbeat, particularly from many of the economists who were responsible for the crisis ... to focus on austerity,' Stiglitz told reporters on the sidelines of a conference.
He said the example of Ireland, a small economy, showed that austerity leads to declining output, rising unemployment and high bond spreads, instead of renewed investor.
'I feel sorry for the Irish people who have to suffer from this policy ... but it doesn't have global or European consequences,' he said.
'But if the UK, Germany or other countries do it, then it is going to have systemic consequences for Europe and the whole world,' he added.
Stiglitz said the real question Europe and the world faced was not whether the global economy was on track to a double dip.
'From the perspective of the world, or workers, there is very little difference between growth of a quarter point of a percent and a decline of a quarter point of a percent,' he said.
'What workers care about is if growth will be strong enough to reduce the high level of unemployment in the U.S. or Europe.'
(Reporting by Sandor Peto; Editing by Susan Fenton)
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68 Comments so far
Show AllSoon the world will kneel down and kiss the feet of the international banksters and the Wall Streetwalkers that pimp their insatiable greed. Feudalism revisited! And we asked for it by never searching for the truth. It won't be found at the mall,or the ball park or by staring dumbly into box where the vidiots park their minds.
'...international banksters and the Wall Streetwalkers that pimp their insatiable greed.'
Great phrasing. Too bad it's so true.
"'What workers care about is if growth will be strong enough to reduce the high level of unemployment in the U.S. or Europe.'"
MORE BULLSHIT FROM ANOTHER ELITIST BULLSHIT ECONOMIST!
What workers care about is sharing the wealth in a world that cannot sustain more growth without destroying the Earth.
I HATE FUCKING ECONOMISTS.
I wasn't going to be quite as harsh on Stiglitz--he is on the side of the commonfolk--while pointing out his being wedded to growth is a grave error and that he ought to know better. I do like his offhanded manner in saying BS to the "economic recovery."
Half a poison pill is just as deadly.
I'm with the no growth crowd. We desperately need a new/old paradigm. The thought of E.F. Schumacher and his book "Small Is Beautiful: Economics As If The People Matter" comes to mind.
"Stiglitz--he is on the side of the commonfolk"
He might be but he writes his opinions in the UK, which says a lot.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/josephstiglitz
Yes, it tells us that the Propaganda System wants to silence his voice since he supports commonfolks instead of the war-based economy and those it benefits.
The Guardian will publish what he writes. No paper in the U.S. will publish what he writes. The same reason that Greg Palast has to locate is London as no U.S. paper will report the results of his investigations. As for austerity programs, if it is what the Repubicans want President ObmambyaBush to do it is doomed to fail. He's already using the Repubican plan foisted on him by Paulson/Bush and how's that working out for him and the working class. At least in Europe the protestations, by the working classes,have started. The likely hood that the American public will start protests, except for the Tea Party, in their own interest is mission impossible because they can't transport themselves thru their TV screens as they would have to get off their dead asses and horror of all horrors think for themselves instead of being the human drones of mindlessness they are and construe the thoughts of others as their own facts, that's mindlessness.
"What workers care about is sharing the wealth in a world that cannot sustain more growth without destroying the Earth. "
Well said, stone. We have to get off the growth is good, greed is good mindset. Economists have to start questioning their assumptions, and start looking for soulutions that take into account our overcrowded, overdeveloped world and its concentrations of wealth floating in a sea of poverty. Economists should eat some humble pie, since they were extremely unsuccessful in understanding the dynamics that led to the recent financial collapse and all the "austerity" verbiage, suffering and measures that followed.
Joe
Joe, economists are testing the water with ideas to see where they should land. They are corporate and governmental whores and lack the courage to speak the truth. We should give them no quarter. They are central to and complicit with the Great American Shakedown. They must understand the seriousness of their errors. They should be wise enough to know that people will not be factored out quietly.
thank you, stone!
my question is, why does commondreams.org waste its space and our time with a piece like this? economists whose fundamental assumption is that "recovery" is defined by a return to a condition where a consortium of central banks and global corporations funnel money and the earth's few remaining resources to a minuscule fraction of the earth's famiglia, while the rest of the planet's denizens clamor over each other's corpses for a Big Mac, have unending access to the mainstream media.
just because a guy has a few days stubble of beard and a nobel prize to certify that he's working overtime to protect/return to the status quo doesn't mean thoughtful people have to pay attention to him.
Capitalists/Capitalism demand(s) endless growth, which in turn requires endless expansion of markets depending on endless population growth on a finite planet with finite resources. The planet is vast but finite. Resources are vast but finite. Draw your own conclusions. Far as I'm concerned it's just a matter of time. Of course I could be wrong. Maybe endless expansion is possible in a finite environment. Maybe pigs actually will someday fly.
Sorry dk, Pink Floyd already got the pigs airborne!
Dang! Yer right. Curses. Proven wrong again!
I'm no economist, but I tend to agree with others commenting here that if we share what we already have, repair what we already have, take care of what we already have, then people can have jobs and live better.
Growth usually means more oil, more speculation, more war, more degradation of the environment. These days growth does not usually make money for the average person, but further concentrates wealth (and political power) with those who control large enterprises such as energy, agriculture and banking. Growth can be healthy or it can be lawless, like a cancer. Growth often crowds out smaller and healthier enterprises.
We need economic justice more than we need growth, per se. If we tax the wealthy at a rate commensurate with their ability to pay, rather than nickle and diming school children, college students, workers, retirees, homeowners, renters, then the majority would be much better off.
Joe
as a worker and living-world inhabitant, I wonder why economists are given Nobel prizes for ignoring large portions of each of their equations...
the natural portions, and the violent portions...
does the Nobel honor dishonesty?
Obama got one. Need you ask?
That was a good one!
According to some e-mails i get from my kooky, reactionary, "christian", right wing tea party extremist family members in Virginia, Stiglitz is belelved to be the #1 most likely candidate for being the coming "Anti-Christ" of apocalyptic prophesy.
That doesn't mean he is always right. :)
Joe
What workers care about is having as job. They care about feeding their families. They care about their children doing better than they did hopefully. They care about their family being safe and protected.
Economist's have seldom been right in case no one noticed and Stiglitz is no different.
I think it's worth noting that Naomi Klein outlined all these austerity measures as they were practiced by turns on South Africa, South America, Poland, and Russia... until more perfected, and delivered home to the U.S.A from where (the notorious Chicago School) they were developed.
It's always about the rich devising ways to skim the cream off the top. Then what's left in the rancid barrel is endlessly analyzed... to make the division of the lesser palatable to all those taught to starve for crumbs or droplets.
JCLIENTELLE: Great post.
Austerity, during a severe downturn, is nothing less than a declaration of war on the working people of the world.
It should be treated as such.
Exactly!
...and stated more concisely than could ever have done!
This article is propaganda designed to scare the people into supporting the defunct "economic growth at all cost" imperative that created all the carnage in the first place. Siglitz is simply another elite operative trying old tricks to further entrench the people in slavery. But the people know better. We aren't hurting too much in this deflating economy because we're taking what we need from the elites, i.e. ownership/control of production and public policy.
The austerity that Stiglitz is talking about is the slashing of and dismantling of all things public - public transit, rail, roads, bridge schools, parks, libraries, medical care for all, protection of the environment, protection of the worker, support for the unemployed, poor and retired, development of renewable energy production etc, etc.
The issue of whether indefinite Capitalist economic growth is sustainable is an important issue, but an entirely different one than is being discussed here.
I'm appalled by most of the insipidly inane far left wing bs on display here. Whether your head's in the clouds or up your ass makes little difference. When it comes to economics, pragmatism rules. Just because resources are finite is no reason to expect an end to traditional economics and capitalism. Pay attention to people like Stiglitz, Krugman, Baker, and yes, even Naomi Klein. These people know something about the world and economics.
Actually, the remarks of those here that oppose Stiglitz's call for Keynsian solutions to an economic recession through strong public sector programs are ideologically right-wing, not left wing.
I'm not necessarilly opposed to Keynesian solutions--the fundamental idea of government priming the pump. I'm saying such priming must come at the expense of the Keynesian Neverending War Economy because the overall debt problem IS a very large problem AND the War Economy is Massively Depraved/Immoral and MUST CEASE on those grounds alone. We then might have functioning cities like those in Europe, but we will NEVER have them as long as the War Economy draws breath. Getting rid of the War Economy is also the first step to changing the overall economic paradigm from one of constant consumption to one of constant saving/conserving that's more in line with second and third world economic reality.
As for the global problem of inequality and using capitalistic growth as the tool to change that dynamic, IMO, that model will NOT work for the vast majority of poor countries lacking the fundamental resources to create the requisit Industrial or Hightech economy that model demands as it's meant to create an economy based on endlessly increasing consumption--which the planet and its people cannot afford regardless of the short-term benefits.
If austerity is to be imposed anywhere, it must start from the top-down, with the rich reduced to millonaires from billionaires and for-profit corporations made essentially non-profit public servants, while the War Economies are eviserated everywhere.
For Kenynesian economics to work the debt proceeds must be used for projects that will create wealth to pay for for itself plus the interest, or ROI, return on investment. This is how business, if managed properly, decide to issue debt, for projects that will repay the debt, plus interest, plus some profit ostensibly for shareholders but these days it skimmed off by the CEO's with huge bonuses resulting from laying off employees. The corporate viewpoint is a 3 month time frame, financial statements. Proper investment by government is to provide the infrastructure which facilitates commerce as well as benefiting the general public. Using debt proceeds for things that blow up, weapons, does not satisfy responsible debt because the benefit of the multiplier effect is squandered and their is no benefit to society, just a few war profiteers.
Well put. When you use the money to build bombs you might as well burn the money because there is no ROI after the bombs are used. In fact there is negative ROI if you are expected to rebuild what you have just destroyed.
When you use the money to build machines that are used to turn out useful products, like steel beams, you have the steel beams and can use them to build housing or factories or bridges or whatever leading to positive ROI.
Your poor lost puppy talk brings tears to our eyes.
Perhaps the drumbeat for deficit reduction but not military spending reduction is a way of going after social security-medicare.
It is the Pentagon/spy agencies that are funded by the Federal deficit. FOLLOW THE MONEY from 1980, 400 lobbyists in DC, 45,000 today all creating and chasing the Treasury bond proceeds used for the Federal deficit. Reagan initiated the huge deficits and simultaneously increased the Pentagons spending. The purpose of the Pentagon is to protect the investments world wide for the PREDATORY CAPITALIST WELFARE KINGS. It is the enforcement arm of the NSA/NSC mission which is to protect and secure the world resources. No cost analysis has even been conducted to determine if this strategy is the best strategy or/even the only strategy. The militarists will never agree to comparison different strategies. Yes you're correct about social security spending which is self financing, by law, and is deliberately underfunded by the Fascist Federalist Repubican's attempt to destroy it, but gladly use the tax monies of social security to protect the investments, worldwide, of the WELFARE KINGS.
Most of the workers I know, suffer from the delusion of the conservative, freemarket, capitalist fantasy. Many would not join a union, and there is a general fear of socialism. On another front, most of the unemployed, including me, would wish for a job, but we are stymied by no jobs. Just what I want is austerity. i have a garden, but it is not producing as well as it might have fifteen years ago. I think there is something wrong in the environment.
There are very few economists that include the environment in the economic picture, and the cost is very great. The world as we know it is changing in ways that we can see, or we can ignore, but it is changing. I don't know if the ocean can sustain itself with an increase of carbon, while the fishes are netted almost to extinction. How many oil spills will it take to marinate your seafood. It doesn't matter if you don't work and can't buy anything. Maybe the underground economy is what will save us.
Your personal austerity as an unemployed person has nothing to do with governments' public austerity.
Generous public spending - funded with stiff taxes on the rich to create a vibrant public infrastructure (and lots of well paying union jobs) is the most efficient way to redistribute the wealth.
I suspect that most USAns have trouble seeing this because they live in the hyper-privatized suburban environment and have never known of any other way of living. Move to a functioning city - you might have to go to Canada or across the Atlantic to see a real one - and you will all the useful and enjoyable things, and jobs, that the public sector provides.
I agree that it would be best to have a huge program of public works spending, the target being having a ship-shape infrastructure, green energy, new public transportation and creating jobs. "Austerity" always means taking from those least able to resist. In Europe there is a structure, a history of unionization that keeps a control on where the money goes. So if the Greeks or French fight austerity, there is a good chance the workers will keep some of the fruits of their struggle.
Here, I worry that huge public works expenditures at taxpayer expense will be skimmed by companies, the contractors and will not go to decent paying jobs. I worry that the enormous tax breaks / credits that companies are getting for R&D (6 times the amount supposedly for jobs) and for construction do not have requirements attached to make sure the companies do not take the money and apply it to enterprises say in China, or just pocket it in the form of executive salaries, bonuses, acquistions. This is a danger under the recent patterns of bailouts and stimuli.
So there is room for questioning - not the theory but the possibility for success, given the plutocrats and kleptocrats who will likely be in charge. Expansion of an economy does not do much good if everything goes to the wealthy and the environment is degraded. How do we make sure the jobs and the money go where they are needed?
Thus I feel that first taxing the rich, ending the wars and using those savings to stanch the drain on schools, hospitals, public colleges etc. etc., to maintain and revitalize what is crumbling, is perhaps a better way to start than flinging money out into the corporate grabosphere. There is much that needs to be done which is now unfunded.
Joe
Harry Truman once said, "If you laid all the economists in the world end to end, they would all point different directions."
Statistically, one of them is right, and all the others more or less wrong. Bad odds all around...
most of our "modern" economists are whores to the rich
aka milton friedman
doesnt mean economics is not a science
I refer you to
John Maynard Keynes
Actually the right kind of growth from stimulus spending would be good for the middle and lower class and the environment. We should spend more for solar and wind energy and to help people make their homes more energy efficient. There is a new invention of super capacitor batteries with a thousand layers much more energy efficient than lithium, charges much faster and a charge last longer and the materials in it are cheaper, such as microdiamonds cheap to make. Cars with this would reduce the need for overall energy since they are more efficient reducing greenhouse gases & should be subsidized by the government. FDR created the Conservation Corp giving many young people employment in the depression and helping the National Park, do that as part of the stimulus spending. We should appropriate more money for NASA to check on global warming conditions on Earth. Birthrates in almost all of the developed world are down. Birthrates have even come down from their high levels in Latin America. It is 2.4 in Mexico which along with Nepal had the highest birthrates in the world in past decades. But birthrate for Mexican immigrants to the US is 3.2 because the US government stupidly does not provide birth control for immigrant women. Surveys show that they would rather limit their birthrate and birth control pills should be provided.
Meh...
Lot of folks here continually display a common thought trap that disparages truly rational discourse on the most important topic of modern economics. There is a big difference between living and functioning in the real world vs. working/dreaming/organizing for a better one. Stiglitz has made some of the most important contributions to economic thought of any living economist (read "Globalization and its Discontents" for a great example of when an economist is right about something) but there's no doubt that he's working within mostly capitalist doctrine. That being said, he's absolutely right about the utter ruthlessness of austerity programs and that should be recognized right now as an authentic concern for real people in the real world.
Farther out into the future, I agree with most here that we need to re-assemble institutional structures, perhaps along the lines of, say, Michael Albert's Parecon model or something similar. But right now millions of people need to eat something tomorrow, so deficit spending and strengthening safety-net programs in existing capitalist/social-democratic societies is where it's at until the world's economy turns around (who knows what that would look like or when it will happen...I don't lay any claim to that at all!)
Another way to say it is Stiglitz is focusing on immediate foreground rather than a deeper background for broad change. Let's make sure we can make these distinctions and then I think the commenting will benefit from this. Hastily dismissing folks like Stiglitz because he's not fomenting revolutionary insurrections comes off as irrational and unreasonable.
Hey, DrBN ~
In my case, I try to never lose sight of the fact that we are, as a species, on a daily basis, removing large swaths of our living systems by either physically destroying or exhausting them, or chemically saturating them beyond functionality...
the general health complications, and foreseeable consequences, of these frequently toxic, resource-depleting activities are becoming more and more obvious...
economics, if viewed from the perspective of an enabling thought process, must be discredited, as all responsible thought processes must be discredited...
to your point, the near term vs. the far, I ask simply: how far do you think we still have to go before physical survival becomes the paramount issue on a daily basis?
I don't think very, which is why I am hesitant to discuss compromise to any great degree at this time...the chemical structure of our world is not party to compromise...
it simply is what it is...or, rather, what we're making it, and we're not making it better...
I suggest we take the next year or two to prepare the local food stuffs you rightly highlight as vital (vital vittles?), then make a united, mass movement on what I'm calling ~
Global Start Date: September 22, 2012
~ to dissolve traditional financial relationships regarding property, and realign our lives to interact daily with our local environment and neighbors for our sustenance and social needs...
if Stiglitz, or anyone other economist, were to be honest about the violence being perpetrated on not only our living world, but on the other peoples here, as part and parcel of business, we would have very different conversations, and shorter timelines...
Hey dubet,
Thanks for your thoughtful response. Just some ideas below:
"economics, if viewed from the perspective of an enabling thought process, must be discredited, as all responsible thought processes must be discredited..."
Sounds like something straight from U. G. Krishnamurti! I am sympathetic to this but again, I would say that the immediate response (1-2 years max) necessarily needs to be within the broken system's dynamics, while being sure new "processes" are offered. And the old ones recognized as what they are. We as a species have done this (slavery, top-down "communism", feudalism...oh wait that one's coming back...) But seriously, I have a feeling that folks are not going to forget this current collapse - there is going to be space to consider new trajectories. People need to see that minor "adjustments" will not fly anymore. Just my optimism in the face of overwhelming negativity when one views the world today with some sense of grounded reality!
"how far do you think we still have to go before physical survival becomes the paramount issue on a daily basis?
I don't think very, which is why I am hesitant to discuss compromise to any great degree at this time...the chemical structure of our world is not party to compromise..."
This can't be stressed enough. It is, after all, already happening to the people of Pakistan and Russia as we type. Like you, I'd rather not wait until the next population-crushing natural disaster.
Capitalism is clearly showing all of its cards now. We are in a definite late-capitalist era that can only continue on through more environmental degradation and dark-ages style subjugation of any class outside the owners and perhaps coordinators (like the mainstream media, bankers, militarist hucksters, and all others who excel at devious fraud & extortion, and possess no remorse or moral compass). The cancer has spread to all organs.
I believe the crisis will continue so we only have a few years to get the world to shift gears before complete unprecedented shit hits the fan. Far term can't be measured in decades - we ain't got that left on the clock. The problem is that when things seem to "improve" economically we can't let the world go back to sleep - hammering back hard this time will be so important.
Good day to you and yours, dubet.
Hey, Dr BN!
I was unaware of U.G. Krishnamurti...I Googled...
I will explore his works...
Thank you...
FYI, there was a Krishnamurti, a philosopher, located in Ojai,California.
in the competitive situation of rapidly increasing operational worldwide scarcity, the winners consolidate and protect their winnings in any way possible, and the losers are left to slavery and death.
Here, courtesy of Counterpunch, is the best explanation I've read of the underlying intention and ultimate outcome of our present Great Depression. This article includes among its putrid villains the likes of Obama and the Democrats. You know the Democrats, those friends of working people everywhere.
THE RACE TO THE BOTTOM
The fact remains, however, that the kleptocratic rulers in the US, EU, and other debt-burdened countries know exactly what they are doing: to let the recession drag on, to take advantage of the crushing recession in order to extract “enough” concessions from the working people until welfare states are dismantled and labor costs in the more developed capitalist countries are made competitive with those of the less-developed countries. This explains why despite new signs of further global economic contraction, the reigning governments in these countries (whether they are nominally headed by Socialist, Social-Democratic, Labor, Democratic, Conservative or other parties) are maintaining their coordinated abstention from expansive or stimulating fiscal policies while continuing their brutal spending cuts on health, education, wages, pensions, and the like.
This is not to say that these governments do not want to have economic growth or job-creation—they do—but that they want them on their own (Neoliberal) terms, that is, through Neoliberal policies that would create jobs that would pay wages on a par with those of workers in less-developed countries. In other words, they prefer the kind of lopsided economic growth whose fruits would be reaped mostly by the wealthy—the so-called trickle-down or supply-side economic growth. As writer/reporter Patrick O’Connor points out, “In the US, Europe and other advanced capitalist economies, the aim is permanently reducing the living standards of working people.
Very succint and great post by SaboCat below (above)
It replies well to a lot of know nothing, bone chilling, mass murdering (see below) anarchists and OBVIOUSLY white racists on this thread who are hysterically yelling for the messenger's (Stiglitz')head.
As for the "no more growth" stupidity of the old, Malthusian, libertarians on this thread, I am so tired of their racist "over population" bulshit, disguised(and badly at that) "progressive" back to the great, green Earth, I say off with your own heads. Indeed, it is slowly dawning on me that CD is largely populated by old white racists,keyboarders pretending they have compassionate, progressive views. If you tell the 1 billion starving poor that no growth and their genocide is the solution to their old white american "progressive" dreams then they will know never to believe that any "socialism" of any kind has entered the heads of the white "working class". These kind seem to be legion on CD and have no reasoning ability to make their point and are as dogmatic as Islamofascists
What the F*$k do you mean "OVER POPULATION" except for brown and black skinned people around the world?
Stigliz' comment is about Europe and white North America, where there are no population pressures. So why is killing off 1 billion brown and black people THE soltion to every goddamn, bad economic mangement crisis is Europe and America your first thought?
Do you MFs even know the first thing about COUNTING? YOU DON'T, and you want to "share wealth"? The BIGGEST consumers are your white, obese Americans who consume 25 TIMES per PERSON more than the average person in the Brown-Black world, and most likely 50 TIMES MORE than the dying -of -starvation poor person, mostly children, you heartless pigs, in the Third world. THUS 50 poor people of brown-black-yellow skins have to die to keep one F#$%!!g white, obese Amurkan alive. In fact even the Europeans, who are white seem to get by well in life without consuming as much food as the Amurkan.
So guess whom I would sacrifice to a world genocidal slaughterhouse that you continuously drool about first - - a starving brown/black/yellow skin-and-bones person, or fat, white pig, especially old and shit-filled as many of the MF posters here are who keep on yelling the "over population" mantra, and are tolerated by the other "progressive" posters here?
Okay, I'm a fat, old, white racist pig.
Please explain to me how the earth will support 18 billion people and how you intend to implement your plans. Explain how the political will to do so will evolve. Explain where the clean water will come from. Explain to me how the energy resources will be managed and/or built out. Explain to me how the food resources will be developed.
You assume a lot about peoples' existence and situations, but that's okay. I'm willing to help. I need direction when it comes to solving some of these seemingly insurmountable problems. I'm waiting for a logically laid out and doable solution.
Please elucidate. I'm being genuine, by the way, not sarcastic or cynical. What are your solutions to today's worldwide poverty, and how do we prevent every newborn worldwide from living in poverty?