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UN to Investigate Climate Email Row
NEW YORK - The United Nations is to conduct an investigation into emails leaked from a leading British climate science centre which appeared to show some of the world's leading scientists discussing ways to shield data from public scrutiny and suppress others' work.
Pauchauri said the UN would not 'brush anything under the carpet' during the investigation. (EPA file) The University of East Anglia has defended the integrity of the science published by its Climatic Research Unit and its researchers, but said on Thursday that it would also check whether some of the data had been fudged.
Those who argue against the influence of man-made climate change have seized on the correspondence to argue that scientists have been conspiring to hide evidence about global warming.
In an interview with BBC radio, Rajendra Pachauri, the chairman of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, said the issue raised by the emails was serious and said "we will look into it in detail".
Pauchauri said: "We will certainly go into the whole lot and then we will take a position on it ... we certainly don't want to brush anything under the carpet."
University probe
Phil Jones, the director of the university's climatic unit, stepped down Tuesday pending the result of the institution's investigation.
East Anglia said its review will examine the emails and other information "to determine whether there is any evidence of the manipulation or suppression of data which is at odds with acceptable scientific practice".
The theft of the emails and their publication online is likely to be a major source of debate at a major UN summit on global warming which begins on Monday in Copenhagen, the Danish capital.
Republicans in the House of Representatives in the United States grilled government scientists about the leaked emails during a hearing on Wednesday in Washington, but the scientists countered that the emails did not change the fact that the they believe the earth is warming.
"The emails do nothing to undermine the very strong scientific consensus ... that tells us the earth is warming, that warming is largely a result of human activity," said Jane Lubchenco, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
She said the emails do not address data from her agency or Nasa, the US space agency, which both keep independent climate records that show dramatic global warming.



18 Comments so far
Show Allwasting precious time on an irrelevant matter.....
i've just watched a video on bbc about the dramatic water shortage in la paz, bolivia, where the glaciers are melting at an alarming rate and 2 million people are facing huge water shortages...........
if this isn't proof enough, what is????.......
2 million, The Himalaya Glaciers are melting rapidly and they water Billions of people.
Arctic ice thinning, pine beetle in BC forests, possibility of the Northwestern Passage opening up for shipping in the summer...the proof is all around you. I'm not hopeful that logic is going to cut it with the deniers. Why is it that a warning of a possible danger has to be backed up with 100% fool-proof facts (science doesn't work that way - it's always an ongoing process of observation, hypothesis, study, refinement, analysis and so on), whereas someone leading others down a potentially dangerous path has no such obligation to prove that what he's doing is NOT dangerous?
...whereas someone leading others down a potentially dangerous path has no such obligation to prove that what he's doing is NOT dangerous?
---------------------------------------
The principal reason is probably that it's impossible to prove a negative.
3 December 09
Elizabeth May: An Informed Look at the East Anglia Emails
Part One
Strange, isn’t it that media are not wondering about who hacked into the computers and who paid them? Or why Dr. Andrew Weaver’s office in Victoria has been broken into twice. My guess is that all the computers of all the climate research centres of the world have been repeatedly attacked, but defences held everywhere but East Anglia.
The scientists at East Anglia, plus colleagues around the world, are being hung out to dry as though they did something wrong. I did not want to spring to their defence until I read all their emails. Yes, all 3,000 or whatever of them…. Starting from 1996, these good and decent scientists write to each other on email as colleagues and often as co-authors of work in paleoclimatology. Tough stuff using proxy records to figure out what the temperature was in as many data points as you can find on the planet, going back as far as you can. (Dendochronology chat: Tree rings telling you more about summer temperatures than annual, and mostly from the boreal region). They wrote each other sharing ideas for handling the records from tree rings. They struggled with how to re-calibrate surface sea temperature records. This was a neat thread. Turns out those navies around the world kept records of the temperature of the sea water before using it in the steam room engines. The temperature records shifted when they stopped using wooden buckets and moved to canvas buckets. Tough work evening out the temperatures so they are comparable. Or the sorting out of the famous Winter Ice Fairs on the Thames. Lord Lawson and his ilk love this anecdotal stuff. Little Ice Age. Turns out there were weirs on the Thames that kept sections fairly shallow. Once the weirs were removed the river never froze solid again.
These stolen emails are also opening up the personal lives of private and serious scientists. Illnesses, family troubles. Cheery notes of “need to get this surgery over and then I will get busy with my review,” “getting married, did I mention, will work on this next data set a soon as I am back from my honeymoon...” or their Christmas emails… sent up to Christmas Eve and back to work before Boxing Day was over. Wives with cancer, at hospital, revising papers, while awaiting birth of first grandchild. These guys work without a break. They never once suggest “cooking the books” or fudging the science.
How dare the world’s media fall into the trap set by contrarian propagandists without reading the whole set?
Yes, it was a trap. An elaborate sting operation…. At first the emails talk about requests for data, and they mention to each other that so and so wants the data, I just referred them to all the data we have placed in the public domain. Sometimes they write that they sent more on request, but something seems strange as they do not think the people wanting the data are actually proper scientists. The emails are the story of serious science up against blogs. Here is one of the emails as they begin to realize they cannot win…
Great response by Elizabeth May. I don't think I will have the patience to reason with criminals and bullies - not when I am convinced that they're not interested in the truth nor the science.
progressives used to love whistleblowers, not anymore
For the so-called progressives, "global warming" is on the level of religious belief. So, it is not a criticism of a whistleblower, it is a condemnation of a blasphemy.
Part Two
Elizabeth May: An Informed Look at the East Anglia Emails
===============
from December 2, 2008:
Message from Gavin Schmidt at NASA To Ben Santer at Lawrence Livermore Labs, copied to Phil Jones at East Anglia and others:
"Ben,
there are two very different things going on here. One is technical and related to the actual science and the actual statistics, the second is political, and is much more concerned with how incidents like this can be portrayed. The second is the issue here.....
Thus any increase in publicity on this -- whether in the pages of Nature or elsewhere -- is much more likely to bring further negative fallout despite your desire to clear the air. Whatever you say, it will still be presented as you hiding data.
The contrarians have found that there is actually no limit to what you can ask people for (raw data, intermediate steps, additional calculations, sensitivity calculations, all the code, a workable version of the code on any platform, etc) and like Somali pirates they have found that once someone has paid up, they can always shake them down again."
He goes on to suggest that the university and directors of programmes just point out where the data can be found in the public domain and urge them to try their own calculations (if they have the competence.) He suggests they point out how it can be done by getting a grad student to work up the data from public sources that the contrarians keep demanding...
The enormous volume of emails give a picture of thoroughly decent scientists increasingly finding themselves in a nightmare. One refers to the atmosphere moving to something akin to that created by Joseph R. McCarthy. Their professional reputations are suddenly at risk.. They write each other in disbelief, protesting “I have never been political. I am an honest scientist.” They are threatened, and "sting" operation FOI requests are set up to ensnare them and keep them from doing their work.
And now the worst of the worst are gleefully eviscerating my new friends (yup, that’s how you feel after reading these guys’ emails for the last dozen years, like putting on the kettle and hoping they drop round for tea.)
Worst of the worst? Patrick Michaels of the Competitive Enterprise Institute. He was once at the University of Virginia and considered a decent scientist. He is famous for giving testimony attacking Dr. James Hansen to the U.S. Senate showing how wrong Hansen’s projections were. Only he had redrawn Hansen’s graph to make it wrong! (He admitted this when I cross- examined him on CBC Sunday Morning’s programme “Kyoto on Trial” in 2002). And all the media cheerfully quote Michaels doing his impersonation of serious scientist deeply troubled by emails that suggest the East Anglia group had little use for him.
More hacked emails will apparently be released soon. The one scientist I think has some explaining to do is Dr. Wang at State University of NY at Albany who has told colleagues for years he has the hard data from Chinese meteorological stations, but never seems to be able to produce it. It is a very small piece of data in the scheme of things, but Wang should either produce the data or explain where he got the numbers.
Certainly nothing in these emails suggests any problem with fundamental science. Dr. Phil Jones who headed up the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia has just stepped aside during the investigation. My money is on a full exoneration for him.
Meanwhile, the walking propaganda machines for the fossil fuel industry will continue their Disinformation Pyramid Scheme. Only responding to each lie with a well-referenced fact, duking it out with these guys on blog sites and newspaper letters to the editor will help keep the truth in mind.
In the meantime, if you want to get to know some wonderful scientists, their life is on display on a Russian server.
I can sense the anguish and anxiety of Gavin Schmidt of NASA in that email. Only, he should have found a different metaphor to use there without needlessly insulting the Somali pirates by comparing them with the right wing denial industry.
If what I read is correct, Patrick Michaels, one of the deniers is funded by a couple of power companies with coal burning plants.
It seems that he is in the same position as the biologists who used to work for the Tobacco Research Institute who denied that there was a causal relationship between smoking and cancer.
Why don't the reporters who interview him ask him about this?
Guess who is financing "cap and trade"?
Goldman Sachs......
Just follow the money. Pauchauri is in bed with Gore, Gore is in bed with Blood, Blood is former manager from Goldman Sachs.
http://blog.nj.com/njv_paul_mulshine/2009/07/capandtrade_bill_blood_and_gor.html
They are going to sweep it under the rug and use politics of fear to tax suckers to enrich themselves.
>>>Just follow the money. Pauchauri is in bed with Gore...
That's the dumbest thing I've heard on this "debate". Initially Al Gore was deadset against Pachauri becoming the IPCC Chairman, since he believed his friend Robert Watson was more qualified. If I remember correctly, Gore even wrote at least one op-ed column attacking Pachauri's credentials. Even today, while Pachauri has been pointing out the role of meat production on climate change, Gore is silent on that issue. It's out of a professional necessity that they work together on climate change-related issues. If anything, it's an indication of the extremely complex nature of all the research, compilation of reports, negotiations, and so on - where so many egos of highly qualified experts have to find a way to work together on a vital issue facing humanity. On the other hand, it doesn't take much for the well-funded denial industry to spread outright lies and misleading information, with a sensation-driven media on hand, and watch the astro-turf "activists" run with it, jumping up and down, shouting "See, I told you it was all a big left-wing conspiracy". That said, there are enough reasons to oppose "cap-and-trade" - as long as those who oppose it are firmly in favor of a carbon tax, and firm limits (the "cap") on GHG emissions.
Did not they share the Nobel Peace prize in 2007?
Second, it was Bush who selected Pachauri, and Gore had to protest it.
Just remember - there is no honor among thieves.
They may have to work together to spin their lies, but when it comes to share the spoils, they may start fighting again.
As they say - a picture is worth a thousand words....
Just check out the picture accompanying the article published just a few days ago:
"Western Lifestyle Unsustainable, Says Climate Expert Rajendra Pachauri"
http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2009/11/29-0
PDFTT
I don't think anything will be done about climate change until Americans in general not only recognize the problem, but get almost 100% behind the solutions. This is world war III, and Americans need to get behind the war effort. With the state of the political situation the way it is today, this is not going to happen. We must address what ever is keeping this from happening and we must address it head on. So we must ask ourselves, why don't Americans recognize the Problem? Why do some perceive the obvious while others remain brainwashed?
There comes a point where when someone just doesn't get it, you have to step back and accept that they are not equipped with the thinking skills to see even the obvious, and you have to designate them to a second tier of participation where they labeled as incompetent, irresponsible, or even as idiots. This needs to become a theme in American Politics, that tham many many Americans are simple too stupid to understand how science works and they should be called out on it every chance we get.
If Senator James James Inhofe says the science is in question, then President Obama should explain that Inhofe is obviously not capable of thinking about the issue intelligently, and its a shame and and a highly dangerous situation when idiots like Inhofe are voted into office.
You've lined out the position wonderfully. It's a pity that the ruling class is too demented to care about anything but their personal short-term interests.
I sincerely hope we survive their pathology, and take the steps necessary to turf them out of power permanently.