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Today's Top News
Iran War Drums Begin Beating in Washington
WASHINGTON - As nuclear negotiations between Iran and the West
continue to move slowly, U.S. President Barack Obama is coming under
growing pressure from what appears to be a concerted lobbying and media
campaign urging him to act more aggressively to stop Iran's nuclear
program.
Obama has given Tehran
an end-of-September deadline to respond substantively to his offer of
diplomatic engagement. But already hawks in the U.S. – backed by
hardline pro-Israel organizations – have pressed him to quickly impose
"crippling" economic sanctions against Tehran, and some are arguing
that he should make preparations for a military attack on Iranian
nuclear facilities.
The
pressure campaign kicked off in earnest this week. On Thursday,
hundreds of leaders and activists from the U.S. Jewish community
descended on Washington to lobby for harsher sanctions, while
widely-publicised media reports suggested that Iran is already nearing
the verge of a nuclear capability.
Leaders from Jewish groups came for a national "Advocacy Day on Iran", during which they met with key Congressional figures.
Rep.
Howard Berman, a California Democrat who heads the House Foreign
Affairs Committee, suggested that the clock "has almost run out" on
Iran's nuclear program, and indicated that he would move ahead next
month with a bill imposing sanctions on Iran's refined petroleum
imports "absent some compelling evidence why I should do otherwise".
The
bill, the Iran Refined Petroleum Sanctions Act (IRPSA), has for months
been the top lobbying priority of hawkish pro-Israel lobbying groups
led by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). To their
frustration, Berman has held up consideration of the bill for most of
the past year
Not all U.S. Jewish groups are lining up behind the legislation, however.
Americans
for Peace Now (APN), for instance, issued a statement arguing that
"arbitrary deadlines are a mistake" and that "pursuing sanctions that
target the Iranian people, rather than their leaders, is a morally and
strategically perilous path that the Obama Administration must reject".
M.J.
Rosenberg, a foreign policy analyst at Media Matters Action Network,
suggested on the website TPMCafe that the advocacy day "marks the start
of the fall push on Iran".
The advocacy group United Against
Nuclear Iran (UANI) has launched an intensive television advertising
campaign this month claiming that the U.S. "must isolate Iran
economically to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon".
UANI's
two co-founders are now both high-ranking officials in the Obama
administration – Dennis Ross, currently overseeing Iran policy at the
National Security Council (NSC), and Richard Holbrooke, now the State
Department special representative in charge of Afghanistan and
Pakistan.
Also on Thursday, the New York Times published a
front-page story claiming that U.S. intelligence agencies believe "that
Iran has created enough nuclear fuel to make a rapid, if risky, sprint
for a nuclear weapon", although the article did not provide an estimate
of when Iran could have a nuclear capability.
The same day, the
Wall Street Journal published an op-ed by former Senators Charles Robb
and Daniel Coats and retired four-star Air Force General Chuck Wald.
Claiming that Iran "will be able to manufacture enough highly enriched
uranium for a nuclear weapon in 2010", the authors urged Obama "to
begin preparations for the use of military options" against Iran.
However,
official U.S. intelligence estimates provide a far slower timeline. In
February, Director of National Intelligence (DNI) Dennis Blair told
Congress that Iran would be unable to produce highly enriched uranium
(HEU) until at least 2013, and stated that there is "no evidence" that
Iran had even made a decision to produce HEU.
Iran insists that
its nuclear program is intended solely for civilian purposes. In
2007, the U.S. intelligence community released a National Intelligence
Estimate suggesting that Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program
in 2003.
The campaign comes on the eve of a series of key
international meetings in late September, including the annual opening
of the U.N. General Assembly in New York and the Group of 20 (G20)
Summit in Pittsburgh.
Iran and its nuclear program are
expected to be a major topic for world leaders who will attend these
meetings, and hawks in Washington and Jerusalem hope that Obama will
use them to push for the imposition of far-reaching economic sanctions
by the U.N. Security Council as soon as possible.
While Obama
faces pressure to move quickly to sanctions, the government of Iranian
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is still struggling at home to overcome
challenges to its legitimacy resulting from the disputed presidential
election in June. Many analysts suggest that Iran's government is
currently in no position to respond coherently to U.S. engagement.
This
week, Ahmadinejad's government finally issued a formal reply to
proposals by the P5+1 powers - the U.S., China, Russia, Britain,
France, and Germany - for talks on its nuclear program and related
issues.
But the five-page-reply has been deemed too vague by
Washington, with State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley dismissing it
Thursday as "not really responsive" to U.S. concerns.
Other analysts suggested that the Iranian proposal was more promising than initial media reports would indicate.
"Iran's
uncompromising stance and its cursory references to nuclear matters are
most likely an opening bid, and not a red line," wrote National Iranian
American Council (NIAC) president Trita Parsi in the Huffington Post.
He
suggests that the proposal's language "may offer an opening to push
strongly for transparency and acceptance of intrusive inspections and
verification mechanisms".
The Obama administration, however, continues to hold out hope for the engagement strategy.
"We'll
be looking to see how ready Iran is to actually engage, and we will be
testing that willingness to engage in the next few weeks," Crowley said.
At
the same time, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov all but ruled out
his country's cooperation with new sanctions against Tehran at the
Security Council, and called instead for renewed negotiations based on
Iran's reply.
Lavrov's comments came shortly after a secret and
still-mysterious visit to Russia by Israel's right-wing prime minister,
Benjamin Netanyahu.
The latest developments - along with growing
amount of attention being paid to U.S. policy in Afghanistan, at the
expense of Iran - have only added to the frustration of Iran hawks in
Washington. They believe increasingly that economic sanctions alone,
even if they are imposed multilaterally, are unlikely to be enough to
persuade Tehran to halt what they see as its drive to obtain a nuclear
weapon.
For this reason, many suggest that the U.S. should
either make preparations to attack Iran militarily itself, or step
aside and allow Israel to do so.
"No one should believe that
tighter sanctions will, in the foreseeable future, have any impact on
Iran's nuclear weapons program," former U.N. ambassador John Bolton, a
noted hardliner, wrote in the Wall Street Journal last month. "Adopting
tougher economic sanctions is simply another detour away from hard
decisions on whether to accept a nuclear Iran or support using force to
prevent it."
Earlier that month, the Journal featured an article
by Gen. Wald - who was one of the co-authors of Thursday's op-ed urging
preparations for a military strike - entitled "Of Course There's a
Military Option on Iran".
But critics suggest that the constant
threats of military action against Tehran will only make the regime's
leadership more intransigent on the nuclear issue.
"Pointing a
gun at their heads merely reinforces their desire for a reliable
deterrent, and probably strengthens the hand of any Iranian officials
who think they ought to get a bomb as soon as possible," wrote Stephen
Walt, a professor of international relations at Harvard University, on
the website of Foreign Policy magazine.
- Posted in
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113 Comments so far
Show AllOH BOY! HERE WE GO AGAIN.
General Wald, Mr. Ross, Mr. Holbrooke, Rep. Berman,and ex-Senators Robb and Coates.So you want the United States to attack Iran. #1 Where is your tangible proof? None of this, well we know that the weapons of mass destruction are north, south, east and west of Bagdad. And no, we are not going to take the NYT's CNN or Fixed New's word for it.
I suppose you brain sturgens know that while G.W. Bush was still the resident in chief, Iraq and Iran right under his and Cheney's noses signed a mutual aid/non aggression treaty? No? Well this here treaty states that if either country is attacked by an outside source such as the United States, the other country is treaty bound to come to the aid of the other. I only mention this because you brain sturgens should be aware that we still have 130,000 soldiers and marines in Iraq. Its bad enough that they have to walk around with bullseyes on their chests, you want them to have bullseyes on there backs too. Brilliant strategy! Brilliant I tell ya.
Plus I just love your back up plan, just step aside and let Israel bomb them. Thats all we need in that part of the world is to been seen as doing Israel's bidding. Just ask Ronald Reagan and 241 U.S. Marines how well that worked out. (Let alone the thirtysome dead American sailors on the U.S.S. Liberty).
It really is time for a wholesale change of our leadership in this country. Just think, in less than a century we have gone from "we have nothing to fear but fear its self", to "ask not what your country can do for you, but what you can do for your country" to "Ketchup is a food and trees cause pollution"to "thousands of OB/GYN's can't practice their love for women" to finally, the government is going to take away your insurance and set up death panels! Right! It is time for the United States to do what is right for the American people and not what is right for Israel or our multinational war machine.
Saturday's media here in the UK are reporting UK/US "security services" as claiming Somalia is the new Afghanistan (the old Afghanistan being just SOOOOO! last season). Looks like yet another war our Glorious Leaders are determined to involve themselves in.
just a little suggestion for those of you who disagree on stopping the crazies who are Iran's leaders , they don't listen to anyone not even their own people, look at their elections. For those of you living safely in the U.S. , Iranian people who reside here as well my suggestion is to get a resident Visa to live in Israel for say 3 years if you are right about Irans's good intentions with nuclear power you will have nothing to be concerned about and you don't have to live too near Israel's borders so you won't have to put up with the occasional pesky rockets. I am not a war monger, my son serves in the military. But we have been putting up with Iran's bull.... since 1979 when they took americans hostage in my opinion that is way too long...
I will visit Israel when they stop the crimes against humanity against the Palestinian people, and make peace with them. Israel won't even stop building illegal settlements on Palestinian lands. Who is the real criminal in the Mideast; the countries who pose a threat, or the countries who are engaged in illegal activities? How can Israel be allowed to have a nuclear arsenal, and no one else? First demand that Israel veritably scrap their weapons, then demand that Iran veritably scrap their enrichment program, if it is shown to be for making weapons grade material. It is time to start treating Israel as an equal in the Mideast, no some kind of blameless victim. The Holocaust happened a long time ago, and while regrettable, it is time to move on. Israel is no longer a victim, but now has become a perpetrator.
I see you've swallowed the latest propaganda about the danger of Iran. Too bad, so sad.
Of course the fact that the US overthrew Iran's legally elected government in the early fifties and imposed a murderous and repressive authoritarian government doesn't enter into your equation. Does it? What about Iran having to put up with the US's aggressive 'bull' since then? What about their right to defend themselves from our aggression?
And of course US leaders listen to their people don't they? No they don't. That's why we won't get reasonable health care, or transfer some spending from supporting the military's 700+ bases oversees in 130+ countries to more necessary or productive enterprises - like repairing our failing infrastructure. Nor will they get us out of Afghanistan and Iraq anytime soon, or even demand an accounting for all the crimes committed and money spent on the spread of what amounts to the American empire. Or work on wringing money out of politics that disenfranchises people but benefits corporations that feed off American hegemony in the world. All these are issues that the public want addressed, often by overwhelming percentages, but our leaders refuse to address them because, as they say: 'it is not politically feasible'. Meaning, their financiers won't like it and the people can go to hell.
Or that Iran, if it is actually pursuing nukes, may have learned the lesson taught by us in the last 10 years - that if you may have a nuke then the US won't try to invade. Not surprising since we've been the aggressor in the Middle East since the sixties. I would frankly be surprised if Iran didn't develop a nuke - for all their denials and for all our whining demands. In a world threatened by the US, why shouldn't Iran be able to defend itself? Do we demand that Israel dump their nukes to please us? Would they if we did? Not likely. Not surprising.
The likelihood that Iran would attack Israel is less than zero while the converse is far more likely. The Iranians are an intelligent, reasonable people without a penchant for suicide. When was the last time Iran invaded another country - save in self-defense during the Iran/Iraq war - started by Iraq with our complicity?
However, Israel has demonstrated that it is quite happy to ignore international law to invade others, if not knock out their legally derived nuclear facilities - the Osirak reactor in Iraq for example - without realistic sanction. In Israel, it is more likely that the 'Iranian threat' is a manufactured political tool used by crass and opportunistic politicians to get elected and re-elected - just like it is here.
I sincerely hope your son survives his stint in the military, intact, but frankly, you do sound like a war-monger.
Thank you for that bit of rational thought and understanding of history. Too bad history isn't taught in the schools enough so people understand the past. Guess we are doomed to repeat it.
We sold them the weapons and trained them and now we are surprised? Really? Read some history and then tell us the whole story. What did we do?