Poorest Countries to Bear Brunt of Growth
UNITED NATIONS - The world's population - already at least 6.7 billion people - will double in the next 40 years if current growth rates are left unchecked, warns the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA).
The effects of overpopulation are being felt across the globe, but the fastest growing regions are also some of the poorest. Sub-Saharan Africa has the most rapid overall growth, exacerbating existing problems like famine, disease and violent conflict over resources.
"What we see is countries like Kenya, which had stabilised its growth, are now growing faster again," Alex Ezeh, executive director of the Africa Population and Health Research Centre, told IPS. "By 2050 Kenya is projected to have 87 million people."
Kenya currently has a population of 39 million.
The countries with the fastest individual growth rates also have marked concentrations of urban poor populations, such as India, Pakistan, Nigeria and Indonesia.
"We are looking at tens of millions more mouths to feed, children to school, and people to house in the countries that are least able to accommodate that," Ezeh said.
While fertility rates overall have fallen in every region in the past 30 years, they have fallen the slowest in Africa.
A week ahead of the 20th anniversary of World Population Day on Jul. 11, UNFPA sponsored a three-day conference on access to family planning in developing countries.
Thirty experts in the field convened to discuss improving access to contraceptives and services to the world's poor. Family planning methods include birth control, emergency contraception, abortion, abstinence and sexual and reproductive health education.
UNFPA says family planning programmes are vital to boost women's economic and social well-being, especially during the current global economic crisis, and to reduce endemic poverty and high rates of maternal and infant death.
Despite the agreement of 179 countries on the importance of family planning at the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) in 1994, the funding for family planning programmes targeted at the poor has stagnated over the past 15 years.
Some participants even suggested the ICPD agreement served as a false indicator of actual progress, providing justification for countries to pull resources from family planning programmes under the pretext of progress, thereby allowing the problem to fester.
"Because of the momentum of growth that has been created because of the past high levels of fertility we have seen since the ICPD, the people that will drive the population growth over the next 50 years are already alive today, they have been born," said Ezeh. "Now there needs to be a real sense of urgency."
"If we introduce effective family planning programmes now, we are able to actually forestall the continuing high rates of population growth 15, 20, 30 years from now," he went on.
"So the more we look at it and ask questions like 'oh, should we promote condoms?' or 'should we involve adolescents?' the worse situation is getting," he said. But curbing population growth was far from the only goal of the UNFPA conference.
"Family planning is important because it has been shown with absolutely no doubt to empower women," Fatima Mrisho of the Tanzania Commission for AIDS, who attended the conference, told IPS.
"It gives women more opportunities for development, it makes herself as an individual survive better, it makes her children survive better, but as importantly, it also improves the general condition of a country," she stressed.
Worldwide, over 500,000 women die every year during pregnancy and childbirth, many of them from preventable or treatable medical problems. And for every death, another 20 women suffer lifelong injuries and disabilities.
Maternal mortality rates in Africa are at least 100 times those in developed countries.
The conference cited the HIV/AIDS pandemic as another important factor in family planning needs. Both family planning and HIV/AIDS programmes seek increased sexual and reproductive health education and condom distribution to primarily young and poor populations.
"HIV has been a curse, but I think one positive aspect about it is the fact that is has to a large extent de-mystified the issues of sex and opened up and allowed sex and sexuality issues to come to the table much more," Mrisho told IPS.
Family planning is not only important for less developed countries but for marginalised communities within countries as well.
Indigenous populations have some of the most acute needs of family planning programmes, and also have the least access to it.
"Physicians believe that indigenous women do not want to plan their families because they do not understand the language, they do not understand the culture," said Nadine Gasman, who heads UNFPA in Guatemala. "But when you ask these women, they want."
Indigenous people still make up a large population in many parts of the world, particularly Latin America. According to UNFPA, more than half of indigenous girls have a pregnancy before age 20.
There is a high demand for family planning services, but also a lack of culturally appropriate family planning education materials and services in indigenous areas.
"We need to do our homework because indigenous women have specific beliefs and needs and these need to be taken into account," said Gasman.
"One Quechuan women told me there is a set number of babies in your body when you are born and using contraceptives will kill those babies. What we must understand is people with these beliefs can be very intelligent and even educated," she explained.
"We need to take anthropology into account. There is no recipe or magic bullet, but family planning can fit into their world view, and there is a real demand."
Much of the conference focused on providing clear, abundant and accurate information to communities that are difficult to reach so that women can make informed decisions for themselves.
Another common theme was the struggle to involve men in family planning programmes.
Many family planning programmes are work-based, inadvertently targeting men since men make up a large percentage of the formal workforce in many countries. Yet men make up the vast minority of active participants in those programmes worldwide.
The challenge is appealing to men and increasing the understanding that family planning is not a women's issue but is relevant to men as well.
"Sports," Mrisho said with a smile. "Sports that attract young, old, usually men but also women. And increasingly we have effective examples of using sports, particularly football in Africa, to try to link men with sexual reproductive health programmes."
"The world needs to know that family planning is alive and kicking and is ready for expansion for services for young people for older people for women of reproductive ages, for married, for unmarried, for people in prisons, for people in offices," she went on.
"I wish I could say family planning for all by the end of the next five years," Mrisho said.
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24 Comments so far
Show AllWe need an army of teachers to disperse all over the Third World to teach Permaculture and Family Planning.
Any questions?
I dunno. I was thinking that first, importing teachers from around the world so that they could freely America's children about their cultures overseas might have a long term profound impact. Today's kids learn about the cultures all over the world and eventually grow up understanding and caring for them unlike today's apathetic crowd. I know that this might take a while but there should be some ways to make up some ground on lost time. Maybe that might motivate future teachers to reach out to the third world and teach what you mentioned. But first, we need to get the US out of third world status.
First we need to distribute about a billion free condoms. And we need more cultural exchange programs. Among the most enriching experiences of my childhood were the foreign exchange students that would come and stay with our family. I learned that people all over the world are the same.
Any suspicion or fear I might have developed about foreigners was dissolved in the long conversations, playing, laughter, hugs and tearful good-byes. Every young person should spend at least a semester abroad. Nationalism becomes irrelevant and the whole world becomes your backyard.
May you and your masters come to see the light of one world, one people, one love. A new era of peace and cooperation is dawning and no one can stop it. Not even the pentagon. The children are wiser than you know. PEACE & LOVE & LIGHT
Yet it is the "educated" population of the first world that is oppressing the rest and consuming resources far beyond its share of the population, and adding carbon to the atmosphere at the greatest rate. And it was the indigent barefoot indigenous people of the Amazon who recently stared down their own government, army and an array of multi-nationals poised to rape the rainforest.
Ah, the Tragedy of the Commons. The abuse of common resources so the entire human species suffers.
I wonder if society will ever realize the opportunity cost of letting the poorer nations breed is higher than the actual cost of educating every person on Earth? Educated people understand social and biological responsibility.
Hey,
the smoking of pot isn't legalized, yet. Even if it were, you shouldn't be writing letters immediately after smoking a full ounce.
Geez, ain't we lucky the United Fakes of America is here to save the world.
I cannot comprehend 13.4 billion people on this planet.
I read as a child that the amount of life on planet Earth is limited by the amount of phosphorus. Not only is it the essential P in the NPK that plants need, but it is also an important mineral requirement for all animals, bacteria, viruses etc. It is a component of DNA.
I also once read that if humanity had continued to grow at the rate of growth at the time of Christ's birth we would now be a mass expanding at the speed of light.
I do not know whether these assertions are true. I do know it to be true that microorganisms, such as bacteria or yeast, growing in a nutrient liquid will undergo a population doubling at their maximum speed. The penultimate generation will reproduce at that rate while the final generation will slowly reproduce and die. I'm not sure how close we are to seeing that human penultimate generation.
Ultimately our maximum population could be defined as the number of humans genetically engineered to photosynthesize that could be supported by the total amount of sunlight reaching Earth. Under those conditions no other life would be able to exist except for certain forms of bacteria and viruses. A quick calculation of incident radiation and photosynthetic efficiency suggests that each human would require 2.5 sq. meters of sunlight for 12 hours each day. This would allow for a maximum population of about 200 trillion covering the entire planet, land and ocean packed like sardines with frequent starvation and death due to overcast days. We could achieve such a population with only 16 more doublings or about 800 years if we maintain the rate of the last 50 years. Such a stark view of our population bomb emphasizes our need to establish our communities living in harmony with the Earth.
The Bush administration's reinstatement of Reagan's "global gag rule" that threatened any NGO that might discuss abortion (maybe even birth control?) with loss of US funding didn't help. I believe Obama has lifted this, and NGOs are again receiving funds and free to provide family planning information and materials as they see fit.
The world's population is on quite a collision course. The oceans are over fished and declining, dead zones from warming and waste run off are increasing, and acidification will take out part of the food web by the end of the century. Desertification is expanding in much of the world. The predicted effects of global warming are alarming. Much of the world may become uninhabitable. Some parts of Africa are already replacing fish and grains with "bush meat". Sea level rise will innundate coastal population centers and agriculture. Mountain glaciers that provide water to billions during dry seasons are disappearing, and aquifers are being pumped down and/or infiltrated by salt water.
Really bad timing for 12 billion people. It isn't going to work.
How can we be so sure that the population will actually double? What if society finally hunkers down and shows tolerance and respect for same sex partners and singles all over the world? What if our planet ends up being where women's reproductive rights are rarely under assault all over the planet? What if Peak Oil hits us harder than we can imagine? Better yet, what if society resorts to regulated capitalism and/or socialism and puts greed and materialism aside? Any one of these factors alone will curb population growth so that population management can be feasible. I'm tired of all these silly Malthusian arguments which just don't add up other than for the elites who will toy with us on the issue.
A lot of what ifs there to rely on. About on the same level as hope.
What ?? One of those factors is bound to happen sooner or later and then the population growth will most likely shrink or we could have a decrease in population. I guess I should have made that clear.
The greatest chance to reverse overpopulation is the empowerment of women. In all of the countries mentioned in this article (India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Indonesia, etc.), women are second rate citizens. They have babies whether they want to or not. A recent study asked women in a variety of poverty stricken countries whether they wanted their 'second child' and over 80% said no. The choice to terminate the pregnancy or avoid sex in the first place simply wasn't an option. Aid should be tied to empowering the female population everywhere or else short sighted, domineering men will drive our planet into extinction.
Space Cadet - Correction
"Aid should be tied to empowering the female population everywhere or else short sighted, domineering men will drive our planet into extinction."
Corrected:
Aid should be tied to empowering the female population everywhere so that the short-sighted, domineering men that have been in charge for millennia might be stopped ... at least a little bit ... from driving the planet into extinction in the next few decades. Maybe then perhaps we'll be fortunate enough to get a few extra decades.
+++++
A more radical solution that I fantasize about is that in the interests of fairness every man in charge of anything, including heading up nations, should retire to the home and do what is required there, including taking care of the kids, and let the women run the world for at least a year, maybe a few.
I do believe our human and earthly life-form fortunes would change for the better with a 180-degree shift toward global cooperation within and across the GLOBAL COMMUNITY, with programs to make sure everyone is fed, has shelter, schooling, medical care, etcetera.
What I have observed in my considerable number of decades on this planet is that the majority of males, from the richest moguls on down, behave like aggressive or sneaky two year olds. "Hmmm, he's got a shiny red fire truck and I don't, and I want it." So either by himself or calling over a few two-year-old buddies to help capture the prize: Biff! Bam! Boom! ... end of story.
Two-year-olds are very focused and when that old reptilian brain throbs and kicks in, watch out. Rape when they are older is like that too. When more than the reptilian brain begins to throb, the wrongful perception is that the girl or woman is deliberately dressed provocatively because she wants it ... or the girl/woman is one of the enemy or just because, watch out! Also a uniform and a heavy-duty gun provide enormous license.
This is not to say I do not have infinite respect for many men who are very aware, conscious, and mature.
But right now it seems that the I-WANT-THAT-SHINY-RED-FIRE-TRUCK and I-AM-KING-OF-THE-MOUNTAIN males are in charge everywhere, with the added characteristic that they have become the best liars in the world, not only to themselves, but to the rest of us. [And yes, I am including that man I voted for, the elegant, seemingly intelligent, Mr. Obama.]
I do hear your support and empathy for women, Space Cadet, but everyday that goes by now seems to yield up more and more insanity than reason, and there seems to be absolutely no feeling whatsoever about the deaths, woundings and hardships for women and children as bombs fall or food and medical supplies are withheld. Short-sighted, domineering men ARE DRIVING our planet into extinction with a vengeance right now.
Nothing like having the whole, damn MOTHER to mount, rough her up and screw around with. WHAT POWER!!! Better than a shiny red fire truck.
It's very scarey how INSANE it all is right now.
It feels like the Swastikas are flying high all over again, and I've lived long enough to recognize that familiar feeling.
/cm
The good news is that the UN has FINALLY abandoned it's ludicrous position that the global population will cap off at 9 billion, most other groups have been saying 12 billion for years.... At which point the ecosystem implodes spectacularly.
It is not surprising that the upcoming population explosion will occur in the Third world. An all too true maxim of social policy states that in Third world countries, children are an economic advantage, whereas in First world countries, they are an economic liability. Add in the corrosive (for the future sustainability of the planet) effects of religion, corruption, & culture, and the picture is quite dire.
Unfortunately, the true cure for this is for Third world nations to become First world ones, which has it's own problems (such as adding to global warming with industrialization a la China & India) & obstacles (such as corrupt elites who do quite nicely with the status quo).
Oh no we don't have an overpopulation problem. If we controlled population we couldn't grow according to the capitalist manifesto. People have been warning about population growth 30 years ago. Nothing was done about it and nothing will be done about it now. Prepare yourselfs.
Yes, family planning or famine, maybe both.
Humanity's mission is to Boldly Go into the Sorrows of the World.
The Four Horseman are already riding. Famine, pestilence, war and death will ride through the world as Peak Oil destroys food systems. Climate change will follow and sweep clear any population foolish enough to overshoot the local carrying capacity.
Africa currently gets 40% of it's food calories from other continents. That can't possibly be sustained when many of those calories represent fossil-fuel based fertilizers. Kenyan's can cut their birth rate or go the way of Rwanda and Zimbabwe.
Ironically many of the places mentioned are rabidly homophobic. Be fruitful and multiply (with sarcasm).
Aren't they also the same places that don't tolerate singles in general especially if they're women? I cannot bear to watch what these women are forced to go through upon getting their marriages decided for them and then being forced to bear a lot of kids for god knows what.
That's true also.
perhaps including that great icon, the pope, in this discussion might be a good start. once you've included him, have him come down off his high horse and preach about the reality of the first three paragraphs of this article.
until he starts preaching about overpopulation and its effects on rapidly diminishing natural resources, we'll only see more reports referenced by this article.
The Church said nothing about family planning for centuries until the Protestants started out breeding them and winning political elections.