Taiwan Declares Peace on China
You can't trust the Chinese. I don't care if you're talking about those communists on the mainland or the other guys on Taiwan; they just won't follow the war-games script that our weapons hawks had counted on. Their mutual passion runs not to matters of tired politics but rather on the lust of venture capitalists. To the Chinese, irrespective of past allegiances, the prospect of war has come to be viewed as counterproductive, and they now have the confidence to show it.
No longer pretending to be enemies, a condition in which they engaged in angry rhetoric while doing much business together on the side, a public love affair now has broken out across the Strait of Formosa. On Friday, there were scheduled direct flights between the mainland and its breakaway island for the first time in 60 years, and the invasion of tourists clicking their cameras was on.
Not that it was much noticed by the media or presidential candidates, but this long chapter of Cold War conflict has been closed and a new era of peace proclaimed by once strident foes. Taiwanese businessmen already are major investors in the mainland, and the new Taiwan government has recognized that reality by quickly pushing for full normalization of trade and other accommodations.
For years now, the Chinese on both sides of the strait have been acting as if they are members of one nation, with the descendants of those who fled the mainland with Chiang Kai-shek building mansions in their old villages and increasingly preferring that their offspring study in China rather than at American schools. Thus, it was not surprising when the leader of the old nationalist Kuomintang Party, which won the recent Taiwan election, quickly went to the mainland to pledge the dawn of a new era. Gone is the prime excuse for a major U.S. military presence in the Pacific, now that the Taiwanese have made their separate peace. What good are our fancy military weapons to people preoccupied with a consumer revolution? The concern over mainland missiles landing on Taiwan has been replaced with a fear that some country cousins from the mainland might be given to spitting on the sidewalks. Those fears were assuaged when tourists from both sides over the weekend conducted themselves with proper comportment while shopping till they dropped.
That peace has broken out is a nightmare scenario for America's military hawks in desperate need of an excuse for soaking up more than half of the U.S. government's discretionary budget. There was real panic when Mikhail Gorbachev formally ended the Cold War and George H.W. Bush announced a 30 percent cut in military spending in 1992. Then came the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the wildest peacetime spending spree in history. No one in power noticed that the expensive weapons were designed to defeat an enemy that no longer existed. That's because we were traumatized by something called terrorism, and few questioned the decision to build weapons such as the two new Virginia-class submarines, at a cost of $5 billion, to catch Osama bin Laden, probably holed up in a cave in a landlocked nation. But submarines obviously have nothing to do with fighting terrorists, forcing Sen. Joe Lieberman, an independent who represents Connecticut, where the subs are built, to play the China card: "If we do not move to produce two submarines a year as soon as possible, we are in serious danger of falling behind China."
Fomenting fear of China is essential to making the case for the whole range of high-tech war toys that no longer have a legitimate military purpose. But it's a sick joke. We are paying the Chinese the interest on the money we borrow from them to build very expensive weapons to counter weapons the Chinese have no intention of building. The latest word from the Pentagon is that "[t]he Intelligence Community estimates China will take until the end of this decade or later to produce a modern force capable of defeating a moderate-size adversary."
The only adversary that interested China, according to the Pentagon report, was Taiwan, and as recent events have indicated, that game is over. But don't shed tears just yet for the denizens of the military-industrial complex. Why should they doubt our continued willingness to throw money at weapons that have no targets, when few in Congress or the media ever bother to notice?
It took Gorbachev on Tuesday, in scathing criticism of President Bush and presidential candidates John McCain and Barack Obama, to note that in the United States, "The subject of military spending has literally been shrouded in the curtain of silence. This taboo must be lifted."
Robert Scheer is the author, most recently, of "The Pornography of Power: How Defense Hawks Hijacked 9/11 and Weakened America," published by Twelve Books.
Copyright © 2008 Truthdig, L.L.C.
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22 Comments so far
Show AllMichael Turton,
Thanks so much for this thoughtful, detailed, and fact-supported rebuttal of Scheer's article.
The U.S.A. in general has forgotten about Taiwan. Sorry, and I truly am. It gets worse. We don't really have much interest in China,either. There is support for Tibet, I'm glad to say, but most of the journalism about China is about the Olympics.
I keep a blog on China and have searched for others written by Americans to no avail. Because of the earthquake and Summer Olympics, journalists are now in China and sending back reports written like tourists.
The New York Times, the Washington Post and Wall Street Journal report on China with insight because they've had journalists living there for long enough.
Taiwan? Their problems are forgotten as though they're part of the last century.
The Bush administration came from so far to the right - they don't even belong to the Republicans, really, they hijacked and redefined the party - that our heads have been spinning, suddenly having to protect our constitution from the president.
Reva
Yes, I have heard that from so many Chinese. They were raised to believe it. Some of the stuff on the internet is really chilling. But there are also thoughtful voices, not many, not yet.
For me the main issue is not even that Scheer got the issues completely wrong (Washington totally supports and adores the tourist flights) which is to be expected, but that for some reason Taiwan's future, so important a regional issue, is not an issue for progressives.
Michael
Michael Turton, thank you for your information!
Hopefully, Scheer is writing with tongue in cheek because he is clever but wrong.
I taught English in Shenzhen, China and although there was plenty of business going on between Taiwan and China (some of it even legal), there was much tension. My students were adamant that "Taiwan belongs to us" - note the language here, it is not an equal status of statehood that they describe.
++++
Second, if you think that the Republic of China has declared peace with the Mainland and that the tension is over, you are very mistaken. While we have always been, are, and will be one nation, the reality is that there are two Chinese states. That will not be resolved as easily as you make it appear. Also, Taiwan was not the only issue with which the Mainland is concerned; there is also the issue of Japan. Unlike the West and Nazi Germany, emotions still run high in China and Korea about Japan.
+++++
More than that, because China's expansionist claims touch on so many nations around it -- a whole Indian state, islands belonging to Indonesia and Japan, and so on -- we are far from peace. Believe it or not, China is every bit as nasty a hegemonic power as the US is (ask those progressive darlings the Tibetans about it), maybe nastier. Those of us who live under Chinese missiles can only hope dream that peace has been declared and the military threat to Taiwan ended.
Michael
The Economist has a much better understanding of things than Scheer does.
"Over Taiwan, the progress is more than symbolic. The opening of regular charter flights across the Taiwan Strait, allowing thousands of mainland tourists to visit the island, is the most important of a number of confidence-building measures since the victory of Ma Ying-jeou and his China-leaning party, the Kuomintang (KMT), in the presidential election in March (see article and article). After the bellicose sniping at the pro-independence administration of Chen Shui-bian, China seems positively lovey-dovey towards his successor."
and of course
"The same holds true for Taiwan, even during the present honeymoon. China has never renounced what it says is its right to take Taiwan by force if peaceful blandishments fail. Adding weight to the threat are hundreds of missiles trained on Taiwan. Such bullying helps ensure that a huge majority in Taiwan opposes imminent unification. The vote in March was indeed partly a reaction to the recent cross-strait tensions, and an endorsement of closer economic ties with the mainland at a time of faltering growth. But the KMT won not because it was promising unification, but because it seemed to have the better tactics for perpetuating Taiwan's de facto independence."
http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11707478
It's not difficult to write intelligently on Taiwan. Many people do it every day.
Michael
You know, it's funny that Taiwan is never mentioned here or at any other progressive web site, and finally, when it is, the writer gets everything wrong. Over in Taiwan we progressives are discussing the simple problem that for progressives, Taiwan does not exist. But let's look at Scheer's piece....
In Scheer's view the flights herald "peace", China has no designs on Taiwan, the Taiwanese have made peace with China, and the Bush Administration is trying to push weapons on the island.
All of this is completely wrong.
Scheer's piece is shaped by the outdated, uninformed Cold War lenses that continue to prevent progressives from taking a good look at Taiwan. As a result, the US defenders of the progressive pro-democracy side in Taiwan politics are all neo-cons, while the US left either sides with the authoritarians in Beijing, or the right-wing party, the KMT, that now controls both the executive and the legislature in Taiwan.
What has actually happened is that the KMT, which gave Taiwan 50 years of martial law and a totally corrupt developmentalist state that continues to impair the growth of progressive politics and policy here, took total control of the legislature in January, and put Ma Ying-jeou, who built his political career in opposition to democracy before experiencing a sudden conversion in the 1990s, into the Presidency in March.
The KMT had long been coordinating policy with Beijing to suppress the growth of the island's democracy movement and its unique identity. The KMT party Chairman, Wu Po-hsiung, who indeed went to China after the Presidential election, went there as part of this ongoing cooperation, the key components of which are back-channel and unknown to the public.
Both the KMT and Beijing hated the previous President, Chen Shui-bian, a former corporate lawyer and human rights lawyer who came to power in 2000 and thence negotiated with China from the firm position that Taiwan's sovereignty was non-negotiable. The current flights between Taiwan and China stem from the groundwork laid in the negotiations by the pro-Taiwan and pro-democracy party, the DPP with Beijing. China, for its part, was very successful in portraying Chen as "troublemaker." In this it has been supported by the Bush Administration, which has, in the words of Jonathon Manthorpe, the veteran Canadian journalist, "outsourced its Taiwan policy to Beijing." Obsessed with its defeats in the Middle East, the Bush Administration does not want Taiwan to joggle its elbow. Further, it wants China's cooperation on North Korea. Hence, it has decided to sell out the island.
To understand how uninformed Scheer's piece is, imagine that it was discussing not Taiwan but Ukraine. Imagine further that a pro-Russian anti-democracy party came to power in Ukraine and wanted to annex the nation back to Russia. Now imagine that Scheer was praising the resulting situation in which Ukraine's sovereignty was impaired for no gain at all, but because the pro-Russian party hopes to annex the nation back to Russia. And imagine that the US was backing the pro-Russia party.... that is what has happened in Taiwan, where the current President, Ma Ying-jeou, was backed by both Beijing and Washington. In other words, this is a situation in which a progressive out to call into question the actions of Beijing, Taipei, and Washington, not laud them as "peace moves."
The current party in power, the KMT (Chinese Nationalist Party) has ruled Taiwan since 1945. In 1949 it relocated its government there, falsely claimed that Taiwan was part of China, and has been aching to annex the island back to China ever since. The US position helped prevent this tragedy; it was, and remains, that the status of Taiwan is undetermined. With the advent of democracy KMT elites have responded by moving closer to Beijing even as they assure the rank and file that they love Taiwan and court moderate votes by promising they will not sell out the island.
Far from Taiwan being some Cold War stalking horse for a war with China, the Council on Foreign Relations and other Establishment groups are quietly pushing for Taiwan to be annexed to China, because they want to make big bucks off China. Progressives having abandoned Taiwan's democracy, the only support it has in the US is in Congress, and among right wingers.
The flights are not "Taiwan declaring peace" because Taiwan is not the cause of conflict, China is. China wants to annex Taiwan, a nation no ethnic Chinese emperor ever owned, and which the PRC has never controlled, and China has threatened to kill anyone who gets in its way, and to plunge the region into war. Far from "making money" China is continuing a massive military build up aimed at Taiwan, and is not only claiming Taiwan, but also other islands in the South China Sea and abroad. At present 1,300 missiles are pointed at the island. There cannot be "peace" until the military threat to Taiwan ceases.
The DPP, which had already instituted limited flights and tourism, had bundled tourist flights from China with cargo and shipping links, which the island really needs. China does not want those; because Taiwan's logistics firms are far better than its own. The KMT instead accepted a flight agreement under which all Chinese tourists travel only on Chinese aircraft to Taiwan. This is no "declaring peace." It is capitulation. Because the DPP drew the limit at sovereignty, it had a strong negotiating stance. By the same token, because the KMT does not care about Taiwan's independent sovereignty, there is no limit to what it can give away. Ma has already indicated that Taiwan's independent foreign policy will be suspended, and the KMT has already begun to roll back the separation between the party and the military achieved as a series of democratic reforms under the DPP.
Ironically, Scheer's wrongheadedness is driven his Cold War analysis of events. Bush is not trying to sell weapons to Taiwan -- quite the opposite! As a number of major publications have reported -- including Defense News and WaPo, the Bush Administration has instituted a de facto arms freeze on Taiwan since 2006, when it decided not to sell Taiwan the F-16 fighters we need if we are to keep our democracy here. The Bush Administration's policy is in fact just the opposite of what Scheer claims: thee Administration is quietly shoving the island into China's arms and refusing to give it weapons. If Scheer was not guided by his out of date Cold War analytical stance, he might, with a ten minute Google search, have discovered this.
The Taiwanese and Chinese are not acting like they are one nation. Few Taiwanese want to become part of the PRC. Rather, they are doing what any pragmatic people might do: invest where they can make money. Peace cannot prevail across the Taiwan Strait until China gives up its desire to annex Taiwan by force, and that cannot happen until US progressives and conservatives get together on this issue. Until Taiwan means something to progressives, the way Tibet does.
There's so much that is wrong in this awful article, but I think the saddest part of this misguided piece is that it is just another example of how progressives have completely failed Taiwan's democracy, because they refuse to see Taiwan as it is, and instead use analytical stances that are now 40 years out of date. Tragically, while history has advanced, they have not.
Michael Turton
The View from Taiwan
http://michaelturton.blogspot.com
Let's see now:
North Korea recently destroyed one of it's nuclear towers, no doubt urged on by the dastardly Chinese.
Now these dastardly Chinese are making peace with the Taiwanese.
They are just not playing fair! Maybe the Pentagoon wll take back all those nice military toys they gave to the Taiwanese...
our country is based on lies, lies, lies.
Now, if we could only get Cuba to declare peace on the USA.
Ed Graham
Ed, we can do that. Just normalize relations with them. Can we just wrap this stupidity up and move on?
Don't worry, the good ol' US always has a few "enemies" in it's back pocket for safe keeping. Just look at the middle east and all the money they are funneling to our "enemies". "What! we lost a couple of Billion? How could that have happened? We have no idea were it went. We better look into this."
Most Taiwanese are rightly distrustful of the US..
I have spoken to a number of them and the feeling was that the sooner they reached an accord, did a "HongKong" with mainland China, the sooner they could cut the war profiteers out.. One less area of potential mischief for the mischief makers in chief to whip up..
Peace? Hmmph! We'll fix that! God Bless the United States of America!
yap.chongyee July 9th, 2008 6:38 pm -- 'This article is so full of common sense that I pray not many Americans will read it.'
I don't think you have much to worry about on that score. The U.S. "news media" have achieved parity with the propaganda organs of most other totalitarian regimes.
First, I like to applaud you for addressing this issue. People seem to focus so much on Israel and Palestine that they forget about this major flashpoint.
Second, if you think that the Republic of China has declared peace with the Mainland and that the tension is over, you are very mistaken. While we have always been, are, and will be one nation, the reality is that there are two Chinese states. That will not be resolved as easily as you make it appear. Also, Taiwan was not the only issue with which the Mainland is concerned; there is also the issue of Japan. Unlike the West and Nazi Germany, emotions still run high in China and Korea about Japan.
The United States will not give up its hegemony in East Asia that easily and to think that the Taiwan issue has been resolved by President Ma's recent actions would be continuing the series of mistaken policies that our country has had towards China since the end of World War 2.
Peace between Taiwan and China is only a concern for our tit-suckling military piggies in that they may have to concoct other useless projects for wasting all our resources. That's never been a problem for them in the past. And none of it has to sound plausible to the average American who wouldn't give a hoot in hell if they ever found out, which they never will.
This article is so full of common sense that I pray not many Americans will read it. We prefer the old USA war monger, because the drag brought on by USA's military spending has caused the USA to go broke and that is how we like it.
Hey USA go bomb Iran !
Nothin the US hates more than peace... bloody peaceful chinese. heh
The US Military INdustrial Media Complex has been trying to invite the world to another war in the Taiwan Straits....and, guess what?
NOBODY CAME!!!!!!
HOORAY!!
Remember during the cold war when the worst thing was to be a commie. Now that the commies produce almost everything that we in the west buy it doesn't seem to be a big deal anymore. Strange
Now, if we could only get Cuba to declare peace on the USA.
Ed Graham