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The Security Dimensions of Environmental Policy
ELLESMERE ISLAND - On April 13, a patrol of Canadian Rangers arrived at Eureka, a remote weather station in the southwest part of Ellesmere Island.
For more than two weeks the patrol had been trekking across Canada's northern archipelago as part of Operation Nunalivut ("this land is ours"), a now-yearly exercise carried out by the Canadian Forces to assert the country's sovereignty in the High Arctic.
A month later, Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Minister of National Defence Peter McKay unveiled the latest iteration of the Canada First Defence Strategy.
The war in Afghanistan remains the focus. But the defence strategy also underlined a commitment to augmenting the Canadian Forces' capacity to "protect Canada's Arctic sovereignty and security."
While this hearkens back to the country's more traditional security concerns, it has been brought about by a very new security threat: that of climate change.
Arctic temperatures have been rising at almost twice the global average over the past 100 years, reducing sea ice by 2.7 per cent per decade. Under some scenarios, Arctic late-summer sea ice is projected to disappear almost entirely by the latter part of the 21st century.
With climate change increasing access to the Bering, Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, lucrative fisheries will develop as the ice recedes and cold-water fish move north.
The exploitation of the area's mineral deposits will become more cost-effective, and the region's vast oil and gas resources - which are believed to account for one-quarter of the world's undiscovered reserves - will ironically become more accessible due to climate change.
A well-publicized scramble for these resources is already underway, with Canada, Russia, the United States, Denmark and Norway all staking competing claims.
Russia has claimed rights over nearly half of the Arctic, and in August 2007 famously used a submarine to plant its flag on the seabed of the North Pole - a move described by a U.S. state department official as an unacceptable land-grab. Such tensions and disagreements are becoming more commonplace. According to the New York Times, "Claims of expanded territory are being pursued the world over, but the Arctic Ocean is where experts foresee the most conflict."
Control of the Arctic's natural resources depends to a large extent on the 1994 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which set out legal controls for marine natural resources and pollution.
The convention established the right to a maritime border that encloses an exclusive economic zone of 200 nautical miles from the coast. Countries can also apply to extend their maritime sovereignty beyond the 200-mile limit if the edge of the continental shelf extends further.
Canada ratified the treaty in 2003, and in 2006 launched an ambitious mapping exercise to define its maritime border as far as possible across the continental shelf.
The scope is enormous; the extended shelf of the Arctic and Atlantic Oceans alone is roughly the combined size of Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta.
Along with new access to rich natural resources, the Northwest Passage could become a commercially viable navigation channel within the next 20 years.
Successive Canadian governments have argued that the Northwest Passage is Canadian territory, and in the interest of North American security (and the environment) Canada should control traffic in the passage, as opposed to allowing unfettered access.
The government's position stands in contrast to that of other maritime countries. The United States, for example, believes the Northwest Passage should be open to international traffic, and that vessels need not obtain consent from Canada before travelling through the strait; acceptance of Canadian sovereignty over the strait could set a dangerous precedent for other, equally strategic waterways such as those in the South China Sea.
To back up its stake, the Canadian government is investing heavily in equipment and staff to bolster its presence in the region. It has committed to building six to eight navy patrol ships to guard the Northwest Passage, and in August 2007 the Prime Minister announced plans to build two military bases in the region: an army training centre for 100 troops in Resolute Bay, and a deep-water port at Nanisivik on Baffin Island.
When the patrols of Operation Nunalivut set out in late March for their trek across Canada's Arctic, the team was not strictly made up of military personnel.
While primarily a display of Canadian military presence in the region, this year's operation carried with it a scientific team assessing the characteristics and stability of the ice shelves on Northern Ellesmere Island - indicative of the close linkages between security and the environment in the region.
It is clear that the environment and its management can no longer be viewed as a "soft" policy area - it can also have real security implications. The Arctic is changing, and Canadian security policy is changing with it.
To quote Inuit activist Sheila Watt-Cloutier, "As long as it's ice, nobody cares except us, because we hunt and fish and travel on that ice. However, the minute it starts to thaw and becomes water, then the whole world is interested."
© Copyright Toronto Star 2008
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17 Comments so far
Show All"The Arctic late summer sea ice is projected to almost entirely disappear by the late 21st century".
How about the late 2010 or 2012? And when the Arctic's ice is gone, it will be gone and the dark days will begin in earnest. The Arctic's methane gas will be in our atmosphere and global warming like few have ever imagined will commense.
If you live in Flordia for just one example, sell now and put the money into oxygen bottles. You may be able to witness the final days of mankind on Earth.
Interesting post Kem Patrick. Maybe the revolution will begin when Kathryn Harris is asphyxiated.
How about 80% of the Arctic sea ice will be gone by late September of 2008? That's my best guess. 2/3 of the Arctic ocean has leads between the ice floes as of 2 days ago, leads that allow sunshine to be absorbed by the ocean below, which melts ice.
Kathryn Harris has methane-absorbing gills.
I bet now the Russians wish they hadn't sold Alaska to the U.S.
or the cubans leased guantanamo..............
"With climate change increasing access to the Bering, Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, lucrative fisheries will develop as the ice recedes and cold-water fish move north"
If Canada is smart they will ban fishing in these seas for 25 years to give the fish stocks that have been decimated by over-fishing in other oceans, a chance to recover.
Muadh
I am confident that the human race can out-breed any climate disaster.
Especially since this is such a massively taboo topic.
Survival of the species isn't the issue really.
It's quality of life and life expectancy.
Hey, maybe the warming is a good thing. We might even avoid the next ice age. Except for the fact that the Global Warming Terrorists are using it to pick your pocket, it would be one of the last things people should be concerned about. Santa already outsourced his production to China and has a summer home in Greenland, so don't worry about the kiddies. His sled is jet powered and needs plenty of fuel, so the biggest concern is the price of oil.
Very few people realize the gravitas of the current situation.
If you are at all a reader about climate change please read "Under A Green Sky" by Peter Ward.
It is sooo on target. We are following the patterns of much of what happened during the Permian extinction. Not good. Not good at all.
We should be way more serious about what we are doing to stop the changes happening as of last year by now. This is not good. Not good at all.
Look, this is going to be great for salesmen, as they will finally be able to actually sell refrigerators to eskimos.
Kem, I was thinking about the methane burp theory and actually I think it more accurate to call it a fart.
This article is less informative than ones already posted here in the past. I'm puzzled this was even worthy of publication. Nothing new whatsoever. In fact, it presents OLD information that has been worthless since last year's reports came out.
MiMiCcs has declared NOAA, NASA, CDC and other scientifically based US government agencies as terrorist organizations. James Hansen must be the Osama bin Laden of climate change.
The next president must order these agencies to stop measuring global temperatures and GHG concentrations, shut down the modeling computers, and take down their public information websites immediately. As few of these people have MBAs, the only valuable education, they can go work at WalMart. I guess Dubya was just being nice putting up with these evil people.
Well ~CHEEKY~ you have the option and the perogitive to call it whatever you desire. Personally, I'll accept the opinions of those doctors and scientists who have spent their entire adult lives studying the issue. Thank you for posting your opinions however, no matter how ignorant they may be.
Read Michael J. Benton's book titled, "When Life Nearly Died", it is very appropriate and timely, You MAY become educated on the subject and have a differnt opinion if you do.
The war in Afghanistan remains the focus.
-why? why is the colonial subjugation of Afghanistan a Canadian concern?
U.S. state department official as an unacceptable land-grab
-the entire United States of American is an unacceptable land-grab according to Native Americans
"Claims of expanded territory are being pursued the world over
-this is nothing new for the US who broke treaties and stole land from the indigenous peoples
While primarily a display of Canadian military presence in the region,
-Canada has logistically played a big role in assisting the US in the GWOT
then the whole world is interested."
-$
Yoi! Kem lighten up a little. Instead of assuming I'm an ignoramus think if you will, methane generally passes from asses and that's usually described as a fart, not a burp. So with no disrespect to the life work of any scientist or dispute aside from that minor observation that frankly I find amusing, Gaia's got indigestion in the form of humanity and is getting ready to let rip the mother of all flatulence. I for one think that's funny, scary-but still funny.