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A Farewell to Arms Control
The organization that was at the center of the maelstrom of the Iraqi weapons-of-mass-destruction fiasco, responsible for bringing the world to the brink of war on no fewer than a half-dozen occasions during the 1990s, and then unable to prevent a war in March 2003, has departed the global scene. It left not with a dramatic flair befitting its former status, but rather with barely a whimper, reduced to nothing more than a historical footnote in the grand tragedy that has become Iraq. The United Nations Monitoring and Verification Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC), successor to its more accomplished parent, the United Nations Special Commission on Iraq (UNSCOM), was found to be redundant by an act of the United Nations Security Council, which created its disarmament mandate over 16 years ago when it passed Security Council Resolution 1687 in April 1991. The United States and Great Britain had been trying to close down the weapons inspection operation since the invasion of Iraq, citing the demise of Saddam Hussein and the occupation of Iraq by coalition forces as evidence that the U.N.-mandated inspection process was now moot.
In a way, the U.S.-British position has merits, as I for one, having led numerous inspections inside Iraq from 1991 to 1998, would have a hard time imagining the inspection teams operating in a safe and effective manner inside the insurgent-ridden Iraq of today. But the issue of the ongoing relevance of U.N. weapons inspections goes far beyond a simple matter of inspector security. What really galled the U.S. and British officials were the inconvenient truths about Iraq's disarmed status, something a continued viable inspection operation would officially register in politically damaging fashion. The lies and distortions concerning the threat posed by Iraqi WMD promulgated by the governments of George W. Bush and Tony Blair have been blasted into the background of domestic discourse in both the United States and Britain by the ongoing cacophony of violence exploding from occupied Iraq today, more than four years after the invasion.
While the ongoing violence is widely seen by most rational humans as a tragedy of enormous proportions, for those who lied their way into this illegitimate war by fabricating a nonexistent threat the continued surge of violence in Iraq provides a welcome buffer from any probing into the corrupt foundation of fabrication and deceit upon which the precarious structure of this pre-emptive war of aggression continues to be constructed. With the U.S. Congress, Republicans and Democrats alike, growing increasingly discontent with the status quo in Iraq, anything that prompted a renewed examination of why America and its few remaining allies are trapped in the quagmire would be most unwelcome. This is the true reason behind the demise of UNMOVIC-politics, nothing more or less.
The reality was, and is, that nothing could have been done to save UNMOVIC once Bush decided to activate his unilateral dream of regional conquest in the Middle East. Having made international law, and by extension the Security Council of the United Nations, irrelevant to U.S. foreign policy objectives, there was no chance that an organ of the Security Council-the weapons inspection process-could continue to be seen as relevant. Truth be told, UNMOVIC was always a red-headed stepchild in the world of disarmament affairs. It was born of illegitimacy, derived from a political need on the part of the United States to be seen as promoting U.N.-mandated disarmament in Iraq even after orchestrating the demise of UNMOVIC's predecessor, UNSCOM. When a major candidate for national office in the United States, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, can claim that the reason the United States found itself in Iraq in 2003 was that the government of Saddam Hussein had barred the UNMOVIC inspectors from entering Iraq, and not be held accountable for his ignorance-willful or otherwise-it only underscores the continued denigration of the U.N. inspectors that has occurred throughout their long and labored tenure.
Republicans are not the only ones guilty of misrepresenting the truth regarding Iraq and weapons inspections; President Bill Clinton had the gall to claim that Saddam Hussein had refused to cooperate with weapons inspectors in December 1998, evicting the WMD sleuths from Iraq on the eve of the 72-hour bombing campaign known as Desert Fox. Clinton knew full well that his administration had deliberately created a provocation against the Iraqis, seeking to inspect a Baath Party headquarters, and once it became clear the Iraqis would accede to this outrageous demand, it was Clinton, not Saddam, who ordered the inspectors out of Iraq, seeking to cover his tracks with a bombing campaign that ostensibly targeted "WMD sites," but which in reality was a thinly disguised assassination attempt against the Iraqi president. A leading candidate for the Democratic nomination for president, Hillary Clinton, continues to uphold the fiction of her husband's policy in Iraq, much to the detriment of truth.
Weapons inspectors have always found themselves aware of an all too inconvenient reality, one that postulated the possibility of a compliant Iraq, disarmed in accordance with the mandate set forth by the Security Council, and as such ready to rejoin the family of nations as intended by all Security Council resolutions passed on the subject. It was the unilateral policy objectives of the United States, centered as they were on regime change in Baghdad, which made the realization of Iraq's disarmed status undesirable. Truth, in the form of a verifiable report regarding the ultimate disposition of Iraqi WMD, was the enemy of a policy that hinged on the maintenance of the perception of Iraqi noncompliance regarding its disarmament obligations. UNSCOM was in a position to issue such a report by 1996, but American intransigence prevented that from happening. UNMOVIC could have pushed for a similar closure in early 2003, but it too found that the truth of Iraq's WMD was not a message anyone, least of all the United States, was prepared to receive.
In true, the weapons inspectors were more often than not their own worst enemy when it came to making a clear presentation of the facts. The successful infiltration of the weapons inspection process by American and British officials tasked with shaping a picture of Iraqi WMD that dovetailed with the notion of a recalcitrant and dangerous Saddam meant that even while UNSCOM inspectors on the ground were collecting and certifying the data that pointed toward the truth, the inspectors' leadership in New York was successful in navigating the inspection vehicle in a completely different direction: The establishment of fact would have little bearing on a process in which proving the negative had become the standard for any final judgment. It was all fine and dandy for the inspectors to document what they knew about Iraq's WMD programs; the problem came when they were called upon to bring to closure that which they did not know, and given the timely insertion of fabricated intelligence into the system by the United States and others, there was a considerable body of unknowns from which to draw upon when making the case that the inspectors' work had not yet run its course. "Proving the negative" became a disease which infected the entire process, casting doubt where once there existed certainty and clouding over any logical interpretation of the available facts with shadows and whispers of conspiracy and subterfuge.
This disease consumed UNSCOM in its final days, and went on to infect UNMOVIC as well. Even now, with the nails all but hammered in place on UNMOVIC's coffin, the head of UNMOVIC, Demetrius Perricos, continues to point to a "residue of uncertainty" about Iraq's disarmed status, saying there are people, material and intellectual know-how which still need to be monitored. One would expect the Bush administration and its defenders to leap on any suggestion by a senior U.N. official that Iraq was somehow not disarmed. Yet not even Bush and his coterie of blood-stained warmongers will breathe credibility into the fanciful mental meanderings of a captain whose ship has already sunk.
History has certified the work of the inspectors as being technically brilliant, and politically disastrous. Two things can be said of the U.N. inspection experience in Iraq. First, international inspections, properly led and equipped, can achieve meaningful disarmament results even under the most arduous of conditions. The second is that multilateral inspection regimes will always fail if the entirety of the body mandating the inspections fails to come to a singular agreement on the scale and scope of the disarmament mission. American (and to a lesser extent British) embrace of regime-change policies which were not contained in the U.N. mandate regarding Iraq meant the political death of the inspections. These are pure truths which need to be recognized and acted upon if any future multilateral international approach to disarmament and arms control is ever to reach fruition. So long as the United States continues to behave as if it has sole authority to deviate from the framework of international law set forth by the United Nations, there can be no hope for any meaningful progression in the field of threat reduction born of arms control and disarmament. Indeed, the opposite will occur-a world grown wary of American treachery will seek to acquire the means to deter, and perhaps even push back, what it sees as an American unilateral domination of the globe.
While it is difficult to predict the future, what can be said with absolute certainty is that the passing of UNMOVIC represents far more than a political stain on those who claim to embrace global nonproliferation but in reality smother it. The political aspects of the aggregate of failure which combined to sink UNMOVIC have been underscored above. The true tragedy of UNMOVIC's demise rests not with bad policy, but rather with the loss of irreplaceable technical expertise. I do not refer to the library of inspection data derived from the 16-year disarmament saga in Iraq; this data is tainted by the political corruption of the inspection process. What I lament is the passing of potential, both realized and future, represented by the proactive work of some of the world's greatest nonproliferation minds.
For the past seven years, UNMOVIC, led by the intrepid Russian weapons inspector Nikita Smidovich, has built an unprecedented program of training of international weapons inspectors. The qualification standards certified through this comprehensive training process has led to the creation of a cadre of international experts in the field of nonproliferation. Smidovich created a network of training opportunities in facilities in Canada, Argentina, Switzerland, Germany, Russia and Britain, to name a few. The hundreds of inspectors who have completed this training stood ready to go anywhere in the world at a moment's notice to investigate whether a given manufacturing process was legitimately utilized or instead covertly diverted for illegitimate use. This inspection capability far exceeded anything the world would ever need in Iraq, and had great potential for pre-emptive application in any number of proliferation trouble spots, from Iran to North Korea and beyond. For an annual cost of a few million dollars, the inspection potential created by Smidovich and others, operating under the umbrella of UNMOVIC, had the potential to prevent conflicts costing untold billions.
This capability is now forever lost with the demise of UNMOVIC, proof positive that the real problems confronting the world's collective peace and security continue to be undermined by an American administration willing to exact any price in order to win cheap political points. Americans rightly measure the cost of the Iraq war in terms of dead and wounded American service members. Some even spare a thought for the hundreds of thousands of Iraqi casualties. But scant few will reflect on the potential harm done to future generations of Americans, and others around the world, as we bid a silent farewell to meaningful arms control.
Scott Ritter was a Marine Corps intelligence officer from 1984 to 1991 and a United Nations weapons inspector in Iraq from 1991 to 1998. He is the author of numerous books. His latest is "Waging Peace: The Art of War for the Antiwar Movement" (Nation Books, April 2007)
Copyright © 2007 Truthdig
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12 Comments so far
Show AllWell the only fair question to ask is,if Iraq was flooded with peanut butter would we be killing our own and the Iraq's to save the people? Next Iwant to know where the Bush crime family has their money invested.
Carry peace in your heart or satan in your head.
Why would the world's Super Predator with the illusion of dominating the world need any weapons inspection regime when the mere presence of weapon inspectors would be an inconvenient barrier to the barbaric and sadistic policies of the pre-emptive attack warmongers? Since Bush Administration came to power, all international organizations, including the UN, have been reduced to mere pawns of the Super Predator and are regarded as being deep in the pocket of the U.S. They no longer merit respect.
This untamed guerrilla has turned the world into a dangerous jungle in which even it may be bit someday.
Advancing the NeoCon foreign policy agenda of regime change requires intelligence findings that other nations present a dire threat to America's security. By destroying the ability to gather timely, accurate intelligence making a bogus case to invade nations like Iran or North Korea, or making the case to preemptive attack Russia and China's nuclear missiles becomes easier. Destroying the United Nations Monitoring and Verification Inspection Commission was no accident; it fits a pattern of the Bush administration destroying several other intelligence gathering organizations to advance their radical Neocon policy of regime change.
The first breach of intelligence was in December of 2001 when the Bush administration released a clandestinely filmed video tape of Osama bin Laden talking with a crippled Saudi Sheik about the attacks of 9/11/2001. The stated purpose of the release of the tape was to prove to the Islamic world that bin Laden was indeed responsible for the attacks. The tape had been filmed by a Saudi Arabian agent that was attempting to set up a sting operation to take out bin Laden. By releasing the tape the Bush administration tipped bin Laden of the Saudi operation causing bin Laden to change security methods and preventing to this day bringing bin Laden to justice. It is probable that the release of this tape was approved by President Bush.
The second breach of an intelligence operation was to justify a bogus amber terror alert (that was based on information nearly two years old) a few weeks before the 2004 elections National Security advisor Condoleezza Rice disclosed information on an arrest in Pakistan that lead to the disclosure in the press of the identity of Muhammad Naeem Noor Khan, a Pakistani computer expert and communications agent to the highest levels of al Qaeda.
After Khan's arrest the Pakistanis had turned Khan into becoming a double agent, giving them a direct window into the inner workings of al Qaeda. Imagine had this source been allowed to come to fruition bin Laden's location might well have been determined and the plans of al Qaeda could have been disrupted.
Initially Rice admitted that she'd given the information on Khan to reporters "on background", then she recanted that she'd released anything identifying Khan.
The third breach involved Ahmed Chalabi, according to intercepts of Chalabi a drunken senior government official told Chalabi that the NSA had broken the Iranian diplomatic code and the code breakers at the NSA were reading the diplomatic dispatches to Iranian embassies around the world. Chalabi, who sat with Laura Bush during the 2003 State of the Union address, promptly told the Iranians who then stopped using the system we'd compromised. I have little doubt that the combination of hardware, software and human input in cracking the Iranian diplomatic code cost the American taxpayers many many MILLIONS OF DOLLARS. What's Chalabi's most recent job, aside from being Iraq's Oil Minister? Promoting President Bush's Baghdad surge.
There is also no doubt that when news of the Iranian diplomatic code intercepts broke every nation on the planet reviewed their communication and encryption systems.
The fourth intelligence breach of the Bush administration is the infamous Plame/Brewster Jennings leak. No specific details have been released on the impact of destroying the covert cover operation but informed sources suggest that a very large and important intelligence gathering organization was destroyed and deaths of covert operatives or their contacts ensued in the aftermath of Robert Novak's public disclosure of Plame's identity. It is believed that Brewster Jennings was involved in gathering intelligence on Iran's WMD programs.
I have no doubt that shit canning UNMOVIC was a part of the plan of the Bush administration to advance their desire to attack Iran. Unfortunately it's probable that by now the Neocons have learned that a blitzkrieg attack and a military occupation are two diffrent issues. Also due to the geography of Iran dishing out a big helping of "Shock and Awe" is going to be much more difficult. No nations in the Middle East are going to permit the use of their airfields for an attack on Iran. Tehran is 800 miles inland from the Persian Gulf and 1,100 miles inland from the northern Arabian Sea. Iran is roughly four times the size of Iraq and has triple the population of Iraq. America's conventional forces are also nearly used up from the four years of warfare in Iraq.
The only part of America's military not used up is nuclear missiles.
Iran has an arsenal of anti-ship missiles that can blockade the Persian Gulf, through which one quarter of the world's supply of crude oil flows.
The only military tactic to neutralize Iran's anti-ship missiles would be to carpet nuke an area the size of New York State along Iran's rugged Persian Gulf shoreline.
Fact of the matter was that Iraq was sitting on top of immense wealth at the same time as it was patheticaly weak, as state of affairs that was bound to attract a predator.
The UN disarmed Iraq, and America is now raping it. Partners in crime, essentially.
Welcome to the real world, Mr. Ritter.
The United States motto - Never let the truth stand in the way of your lie.
so it goes
www.NotOneMore.US/staythecourse.htm - a slightly humous look at how our leader makes decisions
peace, justice, human rights for all
...thanks Ritter..im glad you told us so much thru the years...the end of UNMOVIC is not THE END. there are always ways for the true to witness, discover, warn the children. good works never go unnoticed, and God never closes a door w/out opening a better one. in the face of evil, im always confident that The Remnant is alive, well, and working.
Another excellent and illuminating piece by the admirable Mr. Ritter. Thank you.
Scott Ritter is quite right to mourn the passing of UN arms control. Indeed, we should all be joining him in mourning the castration of the entire United Nations. I stayed up until 4AM this morning finishing *The Mess They Made*, by Gwynne Dyer, the Cassandra of this past 6 years of American imperial crimes. Here is what he has to say about the near destruction of the UN by Anglo-American aggression:
"The great unsung victim of the invasion of Iraq is the United Nations, or more precisely the international law banning aggressive war that was the main reason for the creation of the UN. Caught up in the polemics about a minor colonial war in Iraq that has killed fewer American soldiers in four years than died in an average month during the Second World War, people have forgotten that the great international enterprise of the past sixty years was to create a system that frees us from the cycle of great-power wars that has blighted all of modern history. Perhaps it was too ambitious an undertaking, although the alternative is probably to accept that one day we will stumble into another world war, and this time a nuclear one. But it was well worth trying, and now the project is gravely wounded.
"The core rule of the United Nations was simple: attempts to solve international disputes by force are henceforward against international law, and any gains acquired by force are illegal. Formulated in 1945, at the end of the worst war in history, the new rule was bound to be flouted by the great powers from time to time, but it provided some legal protection to small countries — and it gave the great powers an excuse to back away from confrontations among themselves, which could all too easily end in wars that would kill tens of millions. For sixty years no great power has fought any other, and even small countries have suffered fewer attacks than they used to. It may be a flimsy rule, more hope than command, but it was a step in the right direction, and because of it a great many people are alive who would otherwise be dead.
"The law banning wars of aggression can sometimes be enforced by the Security Council against smaller countries, but from the start it was understood that the great powers would have to obey it voluntarily, for who could enforce it against them? Their incentive for obeying it was the knowledge that in an era of nuclear weapons they were as vulnerable to destruction in war as even the smallest country, but it was to be expected that from time to time they would break the law, and on one occasion or another almost every one of them did. No surprise there: the United Nations and the international rule of law is a hundred-year project, and in the early decades it was to be expected that the great powers would continue to resort to force illegally from time to time. But at least they generally had the decency to pretend that what they were doing was somehow covered by the law.
"What has been happening in the past five years is much worse. The United States, the greatest power in the system, not only broke the law in 2003 by unilaterally invading another country, deliberately bypassing the Security Council when it was unable to get its approval for the war. In its domestic policy statements) the U.S. government now quite explicitly sets itself above international law) declaring that it will attack any country it considers a threat. This may not be a death blow to the project that the United States itself launched in 1945 but it has certainly done huge damage to it: in the Middle East in particular the United Nations is now regarded with little more than contempt. Even if a new American administration ends the flagrant unilateralism of the Bush years and acknowledges the role of international law, it will take a long time for the UN system to recover from the beating it has taken" (pp. 257-259).
Thanks Scott,I believe that my country is the largest proliferator of death and destruction in the world.It makes you want to withhold your taxes.I am putting my tax money in an escrow account, when the IRS comes to get me ,I will donate it to the first NPO that does relief work for the many victims of US war crimes! Peace out and in , Keep up the good work. jah
Reliable information and truth are enemies of the Bush Administration. Ritter does well, again, with this article.
Bill Moyers for President and Scott Ritter for Vice President on the Unity Ticket.
All hail Bill & Scott.