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US Expects Rise in Troop Casualties
General says toll will grow as more forces deploy in security plan. Eight Americans die in three separate attacks.
BAGHDAD - A U.S. Army general on Sunday warned that American casualties would rise in the coming months, a prediction underscored by the deaths of six soldiers and a foreign journalist in a roadside bombing north of Baghdad. Five other American troops died elsewhere over the weekend.
Maj. Gen. Rick Lynch, commander of the 3rd Infantry Division, said casualties would climb as American troops went deeper into enemy territory as part of a stepped-up military operation ordered by President Bush in January. Lynch, who oversees a swath of territory to the south and east of Baghdad, gave his bleak prediction on the heels of the deadliest month so far this year for American forces in Iraq.
In April, 104 U.S. troops were killed, only the fourth time since the beginning of 2005 that U.S. deaths have exceeded 100 in a single month. At least 25 troops have been killed so far in May, a grim start to a month in which Democrats are expected to keep up pressure on the White House to plan a withdrawal from Iraq.
At least 3,376 American troops have been killed since the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003, according to the website icasualties.org, which tallies casualties.
The latest American deaths came on a bloody day for Iraqi security forces and civilians as well. At least 58 Iraqis died in a string of attacks, including 42 killed when a car bomb tore through a market in the Baghdad neighborhood of Bayaa.
North of the capital, in Samarra, 12 police officers died when a suicide bomber rammed a car into the police headquarters.
Witnesses said scores of vehicles filled with people waving black flags representing the Islamic State of Iraq, an Al Qaeda-linked Sunni Arab insurgent group, cruised menacingly through the city before the attack. The occupants fired on police stations, killing one officer before the car bomber struck.
Samarra's police chief, Col. Jaleel Nahi Hassoun, was killed in the blast.
In February 2006, Sunni insurgents destroyed Samarra's Golden Mosque, one of Shiite Islam's most important shrines, in an attack that unleashed fierce sectarian warfare.
Bleak assessment
In his comments, Lynch echoed previous warnings that insurgent groups linked to Al Qaeda were escalating attacks in hopes of fueling sectarian violence.
Al Qaeda is "out there looking for another Golden Mosque," Lynch said.
He gave a bleak assessment of the situation on the ground. In coming months, as the remainder of 28,500 additional U.S. troops move into place to enforce the security plan launched Feb. 13 at Bush's command, Lynch said, American casualties will go up.
"There are going to be increased casualties during this surge because we're taking the fight to the enemy," Lynch told journalists.
He said troops in his area of operation were facing a "thinking enemy" that had been on the ground far longer than most U.S. soldiers and had adapted techniques such as planting roadside explosives deeper to thwart high-tech equipment.
"He dominates that terrain," Lynch said, adding that 13 of his troops had been killed since coming to Iraq in March. His region includes the provinces of Najaf, Karbala and Babil and soon will expand to Wasit, which stretches to the Iranian border. Lynch said most of his troops had died as a result of armor-piercing roadside bombs that U.S. officials allege are coming from Iran.
Lynch repeated U.S. assertions that agents from Shiite-ruled Iran were providing weapons to both Sunni and Shiite insurgents to add to the chaos. He said evidence in his area indicated "Iranian influence" on both sides of the sectarian divide, in terms of weaponry, training and technology. He would not go into detail.
"I think it's naive to think they aren't reaching out to the Sunni extremists as well," Lynch said of the Iranians.
Iran has denied involvement in Iraq's unrest.
Lynch praised the progress of Iraqi security forces being trained to take over from U.S. and other foreign troops, but said the forces - particularly the Iraqi police - needed more time.
"If we walk away ... before the Iraqi security forces are ready to stand up and maintain that security, it's going to be a mess. And that indeed is going to take some time," he said.
The latest attacks underscored the challenges troops face.
Eight U.S. troops died in combat Sunday, including the six killed in Diyala province, a Sunni stronghold east of Baghdad, when a roadside bomb exploded under their vehicle. A journalist traveling with them also was killed, the military said in a brief statement. It did not identify the journalist, but a military spokesman, Lt. Col. Chris Garver, said later the victim was on a temporary assignment to Iraq and was neither American nor Iraqi.
There has been an increase in U.S. troop deaths in Diyala since the start of the security plan, which drove many insurgents out of Baghdad and Al Anbar province to the west. At least 60 American soldiers have been killed in the province so far this year, compared with 20 all of last year.
Two other soldiers were killed Sunday in separate roadside bombings, one in north Baghdad and one in the southern part of the city. One more soldier died of noncombat-related injuries.
The military announced the deaths of two Marines in Al Anbar province, west of Baghdad, on Saturday.
Civilian toll
There also were signs of a resurgence in sectarian death squad killings, which had appeared to drop significantly since the security plan's launch. Police in Baghdad on Sunday reported finding at least 25 bodies across the capital in the previous 24 hours. It was the fourth time in the last week at least 25 bodies were found in a day. In the preceding four weeks, the daily toll reached 25 only twice.
Violence hit hard Sunday at civilians across Iraq, with the worst attack taking place at a popular outdoor market in Bayaa, in south Baghdad. Police said scores of people were injured in addition to the 42 killed when a car bomb went off in the late morning.
Other victims of violence included an assistant college dean gunned down in the Sunni neighborhood of Adhamiya in north Baghdad and a civilian killed in a roadside bombing in Dora, another notorious Sunni area of south Baghdad.
The U.S. military also reported Sunday that it had found a torture room and more than 150 mortar rounds, ammunition and bomb-making equipment in an early morning raid in the Baghdad neighborhood of Sadr City, a Shiite stronghold.
"They found a room that clearly had bloodstains in it. It had handcuffs in it," said Army Maj. Gen. William B. Caldwell IV, a military spokesman. Caldwell said the raid was part of an attempt to arrest a "known terrorist" linked to Shiite extremist groups.
The amount of munitions in the house was so large that U.S. troops decided to detonate them inside the building after clearing people out of nearby dwellings, Caldwell said.
Residents said at least two civilians were killed when U.S. helicopters bombed houses in the area.
Caldwell said troops came under grenade and gun fire while conducting the raid, which lasted from about 1:30 a.m. to 6 a.m. The suspect was not captured, but a separate military statement said eight to 10 "armed individuals" were killed in battles with U.S. forces
Special correspondent Hameed Rasheed in Samarra and correspondents in Baghdad and Hillah contributed to this report.
Copyright 2007 Los Angeles Times

14 Comments so far
Show Alland here is a projection of how many casualties we should be expecting in Iraq by 2017
Iraq and American Death Count to 2017
http://www.chycho.com/?q=2017
"It is expected that over 8 million Iraqi civilians and well over 27 thousand coalition troops will be dead by March 2017."
And how many we should expect in the world by 2012:
Degrees of Separation, the Numbers Game, and How to Bring Peace to the World
http://www.chycho.com/?q=degrees
"it is expected that by 2012 approximately 221 million people will be dead…. And approximately 1 billion wounded."
From Yahoo news a quote from Tony Snow White House spokesman:"We've known that, been saying it all along. We're getting into some of the grittiest security operations," Snow said.
Has anyone out there that has a TV set or reads the news somewhere other than the internet heard or read the White House "saying all along that casualties would be increasing"? I live in Mexico so don't read any English speaking newspapers but I read a lot on the internet-how do these clowns get by making statements like that in hopes of somehow minimalizing the message?
One can expect the lies and spin from the White House but for it to go unquestioned is infuriating.
One wonders how the spin works with an article like this. How could projecting more troop loss benefit the hawks in the Rep. administration? Someone help me figure this out. Could it be that bombarding the average American with this will desensitize and perhaps take away the movement to pullout? I don't get it. Perhaps we need some...
MEDIA REFORM
adamwestfakey@yahoo.com
Adam West May 7th, 2007 6:29 pm
One wonders how the spin works with an article like this. How could projecting more troop loss benefit the hawks in the Rep. administration? Someone help me figure this out. ...
Could it be they know that memories are short out there?
Yes, Media Reform I agree is probably the single most important issue now. Or is it maybe going to be Media replacement ? Could it be ?
Your opinion really doesn't matter. There is nobody working in the White House or on the Republican side of Capitol Hill that has a close relative in Iraq.
While American troops die the Bush twins party. What makes it ok for other families to send thie loved ones to Iraq when George W. Bush's military age daughters play on the Paris Hilton party set.
Your vote was stolen in 2000 and again in 2004. Anybody who thinks the US will get an honest election in 2008 is dreaming. When's the last time the current powers-that-be told you the truth.
Mistakes were made. Mistakes were made.
Adam West: "Someone help me figure this out."
They are just preparing you for the enormous amount of casualties that are expected... see my post above
Oh my. Here's a new one...Bush a fighter pilot? Puhleeze! Don't insult the real ones!!Dubya was removed from fighterdom while his butt was hiding out down South, under his daddy's wing. Probably too bloody drunk or doped to function anywhere NEAR fighter pilot status. But we'll never know will we...since all that info (including his DUI) has been secluded from public view for the next half century! "Mission Accomplished", indeed! Some folks just plain scare me...
Surprisingly, Senator Kit Bond from Missouri has a son in Iraq yet is a big proponent of the war. I am baffled. There has only been one parent in the public eye speaking out against the war--Cindy Sheehan, of course. The people I know personally with loved ones in Iraq are the biggest war advocates of all.
Bush's approval ratings are at an all time low--28%, yet every time there is a little flurry of anti-war activity, it fades quickly away. I hope everyone in Washington realizes they will be forever mocked and derided in the history books.
Why can't congress just do whats right and refuse to fund an illegal War and refuse to deploy american troops any longer complicent in war crimes. Why aren't the people in the streets in mass protesting this debacle in Iraq? At over a hundred billion a year, how long can this waste continue, before the country collapses into major depression?
WTF is wrong with everybody? Bushco has taken our government and is using the military to exploit ( steal ) middle east resources. He has trashed any rights that you thought you had, took over the state national guard, etc. and this country is being prepared for martial law, before 2009. Hasn't anyone noticed? Does american idol and the rest of those dumbdown shitcoms really keep folks from seeing what is happening?
Its all so obvious and yet it seems hardly anyone gives a rats ass about the highjacking of America, future enslavement, and the huge debt that generations will be paying, all to the Bankers who are doing this to us. Gonna be alot of sorry people when they wake one day and not find America. Bush and company need to be impeached and tried for trason and war crimes. Before he touches the match to Iran. What are those 34% of bushniks thinking?
Yeah, I know. They couldn't possibly have enough grey matter to form a thought of thier own. Man, I'm sad for this nation.
My prediction before the war began was that the people would force an end to the war when U.S. dead was about 5000.
Sadly, I now hope this is the case. My fear is that instead we may go until we have destroyed our economy or cause world war 3.
You can't fix stupid.
Bush keeps saying that one of the reasons for the war is so that we fight the terrorists "over there" instead of here. Does that mean he has sent our soldiers over there to be bait for the terrorists?
Expected deaths being explained up front are not as painful--this of course excludes the feelings of the decedent's loved ones.
Some one's got fight'm there so we don't have to fight'm here.
Connecting the dots: from human behaviors to ecosystem decline
http://StudentsForTheEarth.org
"At least 3,376 American troops have been killed since the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003, according to the website icasualties.org, which tallies casualties."
And Republicans in favor of continuing this war are no longer talking or even thinking about Iraq becoming a "democracy". What they're talking about now is staying in Iraq until the Shiites and Sunnis can agree to share not only the resources in Iraq, but the POWER.
I hope you are all willing to send your children to Iraq while the factions over there decide if they want to be a country of one people. That could take decades from the behavior we've been seeing from Iraqis.
Also notice that the Mass Media has not been using the term "civil war" lately. Why not?
The real casualities...in a War Against America...
These are the Real Terrorists:
http://www.alternet.org/waroniraq/41083/